More Thoughts On The Election

They shed their sense of responsibility

Long ago, when they lost their votes, and the bribes; the mob

That used to grant power, high office, the legions, everything,

Curtails its desires, and reveals its anxiety for two things only,

Bread and circuses.

Juvenal, Satires

I had said at least once that the “original sin” of the US Constitution is not slavery, horrible as it was, because slavery could have been, and mostly was, eliminated by the constitutional process. But the Founders, deliberately rejecting the British parliamentary system, also rejected its party politics and assumed them to be an aberration rather than the political default. So instead of having a Constitution that either accounted for partisanship or sought to eliminate it, they simply assumed that all races would be conducted on a non-partisan basis, which in the first few elections after President Washington proved not to be the case. Over the years, the two parties, whichever they happened to be, adapted the system to serve them rather than the other way around, which is how, among other things, the authoritarian party enacted Jim Crow laws and other institutions to preserve the spirit if not the letter of slavery. The party system is also how, for instance, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell was able to effectively veto President Barack Obama’s last nominee for the Supreme Court by preventing the nomination from even getting to the floor, where it might have passed. Nowhere in Article I of the Constitution does it give the Senate Majority Leader that power, perhaps because Article I says nothing establishing an office of Senate Majority Leader.

In fact, the problem is even deeper than that. The problem isn’t just that the Founders failed to check a partisan tendency that led to the preservation of our aristocratic groups, in many respects they sought to do this very thing. Followers of Antiquity, they rejected existing models ranging from the Iroquois Confederacy to the Confederation Helvetica, instead modeling the new Constitution on the Roman Republic, even knowing how it ended up. Like Rome, the structure is based on a Senate composed of an aristocratic, land-holding class, with some accomodation for the greater populace. And Rome was supposed to have most of its government done via the Senate, with its executive (consul) being limited to a few functions for specific purposes, but as the senatorial families squabbled with each other, they ended up turning more and more power to the executive just to get anything done, which is how the consul became a Dictator, then a Caesar, then an Imperator, and finally an absolute monarch.

This might seem familiar.

So it really doesn’t surprise me that America could turn into another Roman Empire, since that model is partly baked in. But I am still a patriotic American, and frankly, I find it a Goddamn insult that our first dynastic monarch could be an inbred slug that would make the Senators who approved Elagabalus retch.

There is this one politics show in the UK called “The Rest is Politics” that had a segment discussing “The Positives of a Trump Presidency”. The YouTube clip lasted 1 minute 15 seconds.

There will be some time to go over exactly what Democrats did wrong, and where they can go from here. If, as in the last elections both for and against Trump, people were dissatisfied with the party in power, Democrats ought to have a chance to come back. The problem is they may not get the chance. The model of “post liberal” or “illiberal” government is not to start martial law on Day One, it’s to keep all the trappings of a multiparty republic but to marginalize all opposition so that they can never get any real power. That’s what they did in Hungary and Venezuela (not to mention Russia) and it’s what they’re going to do here. We know this because in some states they already have.

Specifically, in Florida this election, there were state questions on the ballot, one being Question 3 (legalizing marijuana) and Question 4 (legalizing the right to your own uterus) and each got over 56 percent support, but in DeSantis Florida, you need 60 percent for an amendment to pass. A clear majority isn’t enough.

That’s the model. DeSantis Land is actually the best we can expect. And if as seems likely, the House remains Republican, there won’t be anybody stopping these guys from doing what they want to do. Certainly not the Supreme Court.

The problem with saying “Orange Man Bad” is not that it isn’t true, it’s that no one wanted to hear it. Yeah, maybe nobody cared that liberals were all offended that Trump used R-rated language and fellated a mic on stage. That’s part of the appeal. Because punk rock may not sell records anymore, but it’s great for politics. Saying that Trump is a fascist is true, but it’s also irrelevant. Because nobody cares if the government is fascist as long as the economy works. And you know, fair enough. The problem isn’t that you could make a case for a hypothetical Republican or for Trump in his first term (and I could), it’s that Trump in the here and now does not justify that argument.

To some extent if you were to judge the Trump economy only before COVID, you could say that it was a better economy than the Biden/Harris inflationary economy, and that would make a Trump presidency better. But there’s two problems: One, the wonderful Trump economy was actually wrecked by Trump himself, because of his fiasco response to COVID, and two, his main economic policy for the second term is a broad-based tariff program that would effectively shift the tax burden from the wealthiest to the middle class by forcing them to pay higher prices for goods, which pretty much everybody but Trump knows would be disastrous for the economy.

You could have had your hypothetical perfect Barack-Obama-meets-Jack-Kennedy Democrat running against Trump and it wouldn’t have mattered against a media and public that idolized Trump precisely because of his flaws. They support him because he’s vulgar. They support him because he’s ignorant. They voted for him because he hates everybody else.

We decided to have this guy, with his cotton-candy hair, circus peanut skin and retarded toad grin, saying that THIS is what WE want, because THAT is what we think we ARE.

After all, this IS a democracy. NOT a republic.

A comedian I follow on Facebook posted: “I’m sorry to say it, but the best way to increase the median IQ of this country is to have another pandemic.” And I think he’s right.

See, despite all the changes to my own politics, I still define myself as more right-wing than left-wing. For one thing, we have a party based on altruism and political correctness, and look where that got us. But I actually describe myself as a Social Darwinist. Which is exactly why I am against fascism. You would think otherwise, since we think of the two as synonymous. But in biology, Darwin meant “survival of the fittest” to mean “survival of the species best adapted to its environment.” The phrase is a misnomer because it’s meant to endorse “survival of the most fascist.” But fascism, social controls, using force to defy reality, are the exact opposite of adapting to the environment. And the results on the Right were a stagnating economy and living conditions even before going to war. And left-wing collectivism in the communist countries just meant the decline took place over decades instead of years. Darwinism, applied to society, ought to mean the culture (not the ethnic group) best capable of surviving and adapting to the world. But that requires systems that are accountable and capable of responding to information, as opposed to denying information to preserve an ideological agenda.

I had mentioned previously that we have a media environment that created a society where people not only don’t know the difference between reality and media, but don’t want to know. I had also said in 2020 that some people actually want a mass collapse and die-off to clear out the rot. It’s the only explanation for why so many voters actively opposed the one party that still believes in preserving the system. The system isn’t working for them. So rather than fix it, let’s just blow it up.

And when you don’t have a public infrastructure, you don’t have a health system, you don’t have disaster relief, and government serves no purpose except forcing you to pay taxes to support the already rich, you find out whether or not you can survive on just your resources.

Survival of the fittest.

I’m cold about this, but apparently some people need to learn things the hard way. We have developed an environment where people think that we have always had rule of law and social supports and therefore that’s not going to change. But that stuff takes maintenance, and it takes effort. It can be destroyed by our decision making. And you can’t demand radical change and not get radical consequences.

And if you decide you don’t want “the system”, there are consequences, and you’re about to suffer them. And so will everyone around you who knew better. And unlike the Germans in 1945, you won’t get to cry and say you weren’t warned. Because they didn’t have an example from history. This country can’t even learn from four years ago. And the Trump from four years ago is the best we can expect. And because of Trump at his best, over 300K people died from an easily preventable virus. You think the next four years will be better? Well, for some reason, I’m not very optimistic.

The United States of America: 1776-2024

It was surprising and sometimes consternating to find that notwithstanding the opportunities I had to learn the facts and despite one’s inherent distrust of what one learned from Nazi sources, a steady diet over the years of falsifications and distortions made a certain impression on one’s mind and often misled it. No one who has not lived for years in a totalitarian land can possibly conceive how difficult it is to escape the dread consequences of a regime’s calculated and incessant propaganda. Often in a German home or office or sometimes in a casual conversation with a stranger in a restaurant, a beer hall, a café, I would meet with the most outlandish assertions from seemingly educated and intelligent persons. It was obvious that they were parroting some piece of nonsense they had heard on the radio or read in the newspapers. Sometimes one was tempted to say as much, but on such occasions one was met with such a stare of incredulity, such a shock of silence, as if one had blasphemed the Almighty, that one realized how useless it was even to try to make contact with a mind which had become warped and for whom the facts of life had become what Hitler and Goebbels, with their cynical disregard for truth, said they were.

William Shirer, The Rise and Fall of the Third Reich

Well.

As I keep saying: God is real and he hates us all.

Either that or as I also said last time, either somebody ginned the election returns like Maduro did in Venezuela or the average American voter is too stupid to find their face in a mirror.

Judging from the US Senate results, I’d say the latter.

And I could say that a country that was too sexist to elect Hillary Clinton is too sexist and racist to elect a woman “of color”, but then why did so many women and Hispanics vote Trump? Even AFTER the Puerto Rico shit? You can bitch all you want about the Electoral College, but again, Republicans won the Senate, fairly clearly. The Electoral College has nothing to do with that. Hell, at the end of all this Trump might have the popular vote.

I think what it comes down to is, once again, the media making this a horse race between an entertainer and a bureaucrat, where the entertainer has a natural advantage. Not only that, the impression was given that the Democrats had a get-out-the-vote operation and the Republicans didn’t.

It’s one thing for Trump to win, since everybody was saying this was a coin flip, but in the next few months before the Ministry of Truth is established, we need to analyze exactly how he won THIS big.

I saw a Vlad Vexler commentary on YouTube in the aftermath of this election, and he was pondering what exactly we need to consider as to how we (the center-liberal people) could have let things come to this. And my response was, what is there to understand? After all we have learned about Trump, after we have seen him visibly deteriorate, after we have seen what is waiting in the wings if he dies in office, we (well, not me) elected him again? Why?? Was it all just “Fuck the Democrats”? I mean, I can kind of understand that. But it’s not enough. Just as the evil and incompetence of the Republicans is independent of the fact that Democrats are inadequate even by leftist standards, the fact that Democrats are inadequate is independent of the fact that Republicans are not only evil but objectively unfit to govern, because as in socialist countries, the evil of their ideology is going to dictate policy that is totally in conflict with reality. And whatever my misgivings with the Democrats, that was the reason I voted for them.

I cannot even say that I am sorry. What is there to be sorry for? I did what I could.

I am mad. Because anybody who claims to care about the world we’re in and voted for the Trump Party anyway made the world worse. We let the Middle East down. We let Ukraine down. We let Taiwan down.

This is a world of consequences. You cannot, say, tell everybody that abortion rights matter, and vote for abortion rights initiatives and then elect a government that is going to make the Dobbs decision nationwide. Contrary to what Trumpniks believe, reality exists and causality exists. And the reality and consequences of their actions WILL come back on them just as they did in 2020. The problem is they will also come back on the rest of us. It will mean that more people, in this country and throughout the world, will die who didn’t have to die. We know those are the stakes because that is what happened.

Seriously, fuck this place. The Republican Party quit being a republican party. The Libertarian Party quit being a libertarian party. And America just quit being America.

The only thing I can say as encouragement for the next four years – or however long this lasts – is that America is, or is supposed to be, a country of individuals. It doesn’t matter if the collective has decided to be stupid and illogical. If you are still an individual – if YOU are still America – then America still exists.

My Predictions For 2024

Up til this weekend, every election poll has had the race still tied between Vice President Kamala Harris and once-and-future Viceroy for Russian North America Donald Trump. But apparently because Trump has so much built in support, from his Party, the “liberal” media and his cult of apes in pants, he figured he could afford a few unforced errors.
Like, when he went back to New York, a state he will never win, and held a Sunday rally in Madison Square Garden in New York City, for some reason, and the first speaker was a “famous” podcast comedian that I’ve never heard of until now telling jokes about the fecundity of Puerto Ricans and saying their homeland was a floating island of garbage. And at least he could make the excuse that he was using roast humor. The other guest speakers, who used various slurs for Harris and called her campaign staff “pimp handlers” weren’t even as funny. But apparently it’s the garbage comment that everybody fixated on. So in his when-you’re-in-a-hole-dig-to-China way, Trump decided to embrace the image by wearing a garbageman’s orange reflective vest to a campaign event. Cause apparently he didn’t look orange enough. You know he’s a professional garbageman cause he still had his tie on. He also decided to make the metaphor even more perfect by bringing out a white garbage truck with the Trump/Vance logo on it. And then he flubbed it by trying and failing to get in the cabin, displaying further evidence of his deteriorating motor skills.

And in this one speech Friday in Arizona, he got so frustrated at a bad microphone that he started doing the hawk-tuah like he was simulating oral sex on it. So Trump must think he’s going to win. He’s already rehearsing for his next meeting with Putin.

But otherwise, with everything we now know at this point, if Trump wins it is either because they ginned the results the way Maduro ginned the results in Venezuela, or because the American public as a whole is too damn stupid to find their faces in a mirror.

There’s a reason that the media is only focusing on a few swing states: Cause all but seven states are pretty much spoken for. If you look at, say, 270towin.com, it’s got Harris listed at 226 electoral votes cause those are the states that are pretty much sure to vote Democratic. Like, you know most of the Northeast and the West Coast are going to go blue. Trump is listed at having 219 votes. Because Alaska and most of “flyover country” are guaranteed to go Trump. Democratic Senate candidates in Texas and Florida are making a serious challenge, but ultimately, both states are going to go Trump. After all, if one of them did go Democratic, that would be the end of the election. If both went Democratic, that would be the end of the Republican Party.

Allan Lichtman’s final analysis for the Electoral College map shows Harris winning with the following spread on the remaining swing states: Trump gets Arizona and Nevada. That’s 17 Electors. Pennsylvania is still up in the air, which it probably would be given the amount of time it takes to get the votes. But Harris gets Wisconsin, Michigan, North Carolina and Georgia. Now, if Harris got Wisconsin and Michigan that’s 25 Electors. If she got Pennsylvania that’s 19 more and that would be 270 by itself. Of course that still won’t be enough because the Trumpniks will try to contest the results everywhere and if she has only that many, flipping one state would be enough to deny the election. Which is why North Carolina and Georgia going blue is important. I personally think Pennsylvania is more likely to go Democrat than North Carolina, but North Carolina is almost even money at this point. Georgia is always the wild card. It’s been red for some time and has a Republican government that has done a lot to restrict voting, even if it isn’t quite as Trumpnik as the governments in other red states. Yet voter turnout (and the repellent nature of local Senate candidates) has caused federal elections in Georgia to go to the Democrat the last few times.

And speaking as a Nevada native, frankly if I were a Harris campaign staffer looking at the Electoral College map, I’d say North Carolina for Nevada is a great trade.

And then there was the news that everyone on the Internet was going on about, where a major poll Saturday by Anne Selzer showed Harris leading by 3 in conservative Iowa. At the same time, more sober prognosticators don’t think Harris is actually going to win Iowa, but the telling thing is that a reputable pollster is showing her gaining and potentially winning a state Republicans can usually take for granted.

Maybe, contrary to what the media is telling us, Americans don’t want a country where Elon Musk is running economic policy, Robert Kennedy Jr. is running the health system and a rapist is deciding whether we have a national abortion ban.

My bet would be similar but not quite the same as Lichtman’s: Arizona and Nevada go Trump, although there’s a possibility that the popularity of the Democratic Senate choices in those states might carry Harris. Pennsylvania goes Harris, though that may take days to determine after Tuesday. North Carolina goes Trump, though that may take days. Georgia goes Harris. Again, Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania would be just enough for Harris to clinch and if she gets either NC or GA, that would cement the victory, and if she gets both, or gets one of those plus either or both of AZ or NV, that would really cinch it. Remember, we all knew in 2020 that Trump wasn’t going to admit if he lost, and Biden won mainly because he won enough states by wide enough margins that Trump couldn’t steal anything by recount or state government interference, and as it turned out, none of the states he contested after Election Day went back to his column. That looks like what we’re going to see here.

All that being the case, I’m more interested in seeing how everything plays out, how quickly it plays out, and, just as important in the long term, who wins the Senate. Part of the reason I’m more optimistic about Harris is that Democrats in Senate races – especially Colin Allred in Texas – are polling a lot better in their races than Harris polls against Trump. And while there is always cross-voting it’s a little hard to believe that people who are voting for Democrats in downballot races are that disinclined to vote for Harris. (Just as, Democratic optimists not withstanding, it’s a bit hard to believe that all those rural Republicans in Nevada are flooding the early voting lists so that they can vote in Harris.) I’m also interested in seeing how the state election Questions, especially Nevada Question 3, turn out.

But still, we can never assume that Trump is done for or that he’s not going to win this election. Always remember: God is real, and he hates us all.

REVIEW: JOKER – Folie à Deux

“We do not need four more years of bluster and bumbling and chaos. We have seen that movie before, and we all know that the sequel is usually worse.”

  • Barack Obama, at the 2024 Democratic Convention

I can’t go to a bad movie by myself. What, am I gonna make sarcastic remarks to strangers?

  • Jerry Seinfeld

2019’s JOKER, starring Joaquin Phoenix, attracted intense controversy upon its release but also praise for Phoenix’ performance, and the direction of Todd Phillips. As I said at the time, it is not a “good” movie in the sense of being entertaining and uplifting, but it was good in the sense of being a film maker’s vision that was expertly presented. This year’s sequel, Joker: Folie à Deux, starring Lady Gaga, hasn’t even gotten that much respect. In fact the level of negative press and word of mouth was so hard that I thought: I just have to see this.

“Folie à deux ” is French for “a shared madness”, like two people having the same hallucination. As Arthur Fleck (Phoenix) is put on trial for the murders he’s committed, he is still in Arkham Asylum among the general population. His lawyer offers an insanity defense saying that Arthur is not culpable because “Joker” is a shadow personality who took control of his actions when he killed five people. Arthur is put in a musical therapy class by one of the guards, where he meets “Lee” (Lady Gaga) who followed his case on TV and says she’s a big fan. They bond when she sets the music room on fire in order to attempt an escape. Despite this, she gets released on her own recognisance and becomes one of the people pleading Arthur’s case to the media. Arthur, previously broken down by prison, starts to become more “normal”, which for him means swaying to imaginary music and hysterically laughing until he cries.

This love affair spurs several moments where Arthur (or Lee) breaks out into song, sometimes leading to fully orchestrated bits where they sing popular songs or musical numbers. This is one the elements that most turned critics off to the film. If anything, I find this the most realistic aspect of the movie, precisely because in the real world, nobody acts like that. In real life, if you see everyone around you singing and dancing like they’re in a Broadway musical production for no good reason, that should indicate that you’re suffering a psychotic break.

In the trial, Lee’s encouragement, and the support of fellow inmates and court crowds, causes Arthur to embrace his Joker personality and turn the trial into that much more of a circus, eventually firing his lawyer and successfully petitioning to represent himself in full Joker makeup. But things turn when the prosecution brings in Gary Puddles (Leigh Gill), who confesses how he saw Arthur kill a fellow co-worker. In cross-examination Arthur berates Gary, and the authorities, and his guards, saying they never really knew the real him. And Gary confesses that Arthur was the only guy in the clown company who didn’t make fun of him for his height, the only one who was nice to him, but now he’s become terrifying. Arthur is hauled back to Arkham and abused by the guards for badmouthing them on TV. And when Arthur’s best friend in the ward tries to speak out, they end up killing him.

This death finally breaks Arthur, and in court he finally takes responsibility for his acts, confessing not only to five murder charges, but to smothering his own mother, which appeared to be a natural death. This causes Lee, and several other fans, to leave the court in disgust. Arthur is shortly found guilty, but then some other fans blow up the room with a car bomb outside the courthouse, and help him flee. Arthur goes back to his old neighborhood, where Lee told him she was staying, and finds her, saying they can run away now. But she refuses, saying “all we had was the fantasy” and he ruined it.

Arthur is then captured and sent back to Arkham. One day he’s in the hallway and a fellow inmate comes up and tells him a joke. A psychopath sees a clown in a bar. He comes up and tells the clown, “I used to be a big fan of yours but now I realize you’re a fucking disappointment.” Then he offers to buy the clown a drink and says “I’m going to give you what you fucking deserve.” And then the inmate shivs Arthur in the gut. And as Arthur bleeds out, the psycho is in the background, slicing his own face with a knife.

Odd, isn’t it, that when you give people license to be irrational and violent, that sometimes they direct that violence at the person who inspired them?

As in the first movie, Folie à Deux is sold by the intense performance of Phoenix as a physical and mental wreck, whose circumstances are that much more grim than before. Meanwhile Lady Gaga’s character is a literal embodiment of the love affair Arthur has with his fan club, people choosing to spread his insanity to the outside world and then turning on him when he no longer wants to be the star of their show.

With the first movie, a lot of critics and pundits complained that Phillips was glorifying his anti-social “incel” subject by making him a protagonist. And yet when Arthur receives his comeuppance, no one wants to see that. At the end of it, he’s basically just a sad clown, who was never good at anything, has never accomplished anything, and for all the chaos and destruction he caused, has to be rated as a total failure.

JOKER, the original movie, was deeply unpleasant, by design. Folie à Deux is even more deeply unpleasant, by design. I guess I read more worth into these movies than a lot of people. But whatever value is in these movies may not be enough for you to watch. If anything, the overwhelmingly negative reaction to JOKER: Folie à Deux tells me that Americans don’t want to bring back a deeply unpleasant, psychotic clown in unnatural face paint four years after he left the stage.

My Impressions of 2024

One way or another, it won’t be long now. And as we go into the last few days before Election Day, things are still too close to call in the presidential race, and, after all we have seen of Trump, he is still gaining in some polls and early voting. How could this be? Well, two causes come to my mind:

One, God is real, and he hates us all.

But even more important than that, it’s because the American public is deeply, deeply, deeply, deeply, deeply,

D

E

E

P

L

Y

STOOpid.

If you don’t believe me, just check out those Jordan Klepper interviews of Trump voters on The Daily Show or YouTube. Or even better, look up the “Jaywalking” segments of the Tonight Show. Jay Leno left TV years and years ago, but that was also years before Trump became a politician, so all you have to do is look at those interviewees and realize that the American public has become even stupider than that.

But the impression I’m getting in all this is actually the same as I got in the last midterms, namely that the press, in its coverage and its polling, is engaging in malpractice, and yet even with them doing their damnedest to sell Trump, the other half of the problem with Kamala Harris and the Democrats not being able to sell the deal is that Americans can’t stand her party, for reasons completely independent of how bad the Republicans are. In 2022, the “red wave” turned into more of a trickle. But now the party of lemmings has their Hero God Emperor on the ballot, and if the Lamestream Media is not clearly declaring the danger in this, it’s because Trump is largely their creation, as is his audience, which they are loathe to lose.

Journalistic Malpractice

It should be obvious why we use terms like “the rule of law” and say that the premise of a democratic republic is that people respect the results of elections. You can’t have a government otherwise. You certainly can’t have a democracy, OR a republic or whatever you want to call a free country if a minority seizes control by force. Yet that is what Trump tried to do in 2021, and ever since he has been saying the election was rigged and stolen, despite all legal recounts and evidence to the contrary. And instead of removing him from office after January 6, Republicans now hold his position as the core profession of faith that you have to believe if you want to stay in the religious cult that used to be the Party of Lincoln.

There is a reason that Nazis and Communists don’t win elections in this country, because everyone realizes what their end goal is, and even if they did get some voters, they certainly wouldn’t get any media support. But because Trump and his sponsors have done a takeover on our only “real” notDemocrat party, everyone in the establishment thinks that they are now obliged to treat them as legitimate when their Leader has not exactly been hiding his sympathies with Hitler and with modern dictators, and the thought leaders of his party are basically the right-wing version of a Leninist cadre that works with the system only until they can control the instruments of force.

Therefore given Trump’s demand to throw out the results of elections and surrender everything to his authority, he should not be given any official legitimacy as a candidate, and the mainstream media organizations (and non-mainstream podcasts) should not be giving him or his campaign any coverage or audience. And that means not letting them do interviews or go on your TV shows, and YES, that means all the members of a previously respectable party who are still going along with the lie of their leader.

In a free country, you can’t ban those parties, prevent them from holding rallies or stop people from voting for them if they get on the ballot, but you don’t give them any comfort or legitimacy. Moreover, every public resource has to be devoted into educating people as to why voting for a communist or Nazi lover is bad and why history shows such politicians are bad for the countries that vote for them, not to mention their neighbors.

(If you’re wondering why this needs to be hammered into everybody’s heads, go up and see the point after ‘God is real, and he hates us all.’)

But in the past month, we have been getting increasingly frequent news of Trump cancelling interviews and engagements, as well as refusing another Harris debate and an interview with 60 Minutes. And then there was that thing where he was supposed to be holding a town hall with Kristi Noem but when people started fainting in a stuffy room, he decided to turn the whole thing over to playing music on the PA system while he alternated between swaying in place and doing his jerking-off-two-men-at-once dance. For about 40 minutes.

If we kept getting news like this about Joe Biden, the “liberal media” would be on a non-stop agenda to pressure him to end his campaign. We know this because they DID.

If the media culture insists that there are some rules that everyone has to follow, and there are some red lines that cannot be crossed, and YET they let Trump cross them with impunity, that is if not overt bias, cognitive dissonance.

The discrepancy between Trump and other candidates (including Republicans) who have to live in reality is made that much more clear by downballot polls. They have since tightened since early voting started, but this week incumbent Nevada Senator Jacky Rosen still leads Republican Sam Brown by either 4 or 7 points, in Arizona’s US Senate race, Republican Kari Lake is gaining on Democrat Ruben Gallego but still trails by about 7 percent, and in Michigan, Democratic incumbent Senator Elissa Slotkin is leading Mike Rogers by more than 3 points. Yet Trump is tied or leading in all those states.

It couldn’t be that everybody’s focused only on the presidential matches and so they’re not bothering to cook the books on the downballot races cause they’re hoping voters are just as lazy and superficial as they are?

NAAAAH!

Nobody Likes Either Of These Parties

But then you look at some of the actual early voting returns, which can’t show how people specifically voted but do show party registration… and it’s STILL tight. The Nevada Independent has been showing rural Republican counties outvoting Democratic Clark County (Las Vegas area) in early returns, and it’s looking like all Democrats can do to maximize turnout in the next week and Election Day, cause that’s what it’s going to take to win the state for Harris.

Because the Democratic Party under Biden was not that popular going into 2024, the main reason Joe won in 2020 was cause of Trump Virus ™, and while Harris has done a great job of presenting herself to the media and her supporters (compared to Biden), she is still running into the sexism that helped Trump win against Clinton and the anti-black racism that inspired Trump to run in the first place.

That would be one thing if there weren’t so many Black and Hispanic voters who have turned off to the Democrats because the economy that Democrats say is so great for Wall Street isn’t working out so well for the working class. In 2022, the middle 20 percent of income earners were down 1 percent in income from 2000 after adjusting for inflation. And recent ads have been hammering Harris on support for immigration, and for supporting the right of transgender prisoners to get gender reassignment on the public dime. That isn’t necessarily popular with non-white demographics either.

At the same time, while Republicans want to project their opponents as being some tranny Muslim commie conspiracy organized by George Soros, if Democrats keep the Senate they probably wouldn’t even do anything so radical as eliminating the filibuster. Which they would need to do in order to do practically anything else.

But if Democrats are as horrible as Republicans say they are, then Republicans should be pulling away with this, and not just in Nevada. And if Republicans are as horrible as Democrats say they are, Democrats should be pulling away with this. In fact, they ARE that horrible. As to why Democrats aren’t pulling away with this, see above for the advantage the media is giving Republicans by presenting them as still being a legitimate alternative. The problem for Republicans is when the rest of the country looks at their positions, and the policies they enact when they’re in charge, and decisively reject them.

There’s a difference between saying, say, that American public education is a ripoff because kids’ test scores have not improved relative to Asian countries in 20 years, versus saying, as Trump does, that if you send your son to school one day, they’re going to send him back as a girl. One is a policy issue, the other is culture-war paranoia. So even if there are real problems with the normie Democrat positions on issues, Republicans are not offering a serious alternative.

That doesn’t change the fact that the Democrats are objectively insufficient, but their incompetence and passivity mean that if they win this election, it will be mainly because voters are trying to restore the balance of power that Republicans did so much to destroy in only four years. If there’s anything that we should ponder, it’s that in the three years since the Dobbs decision, pretty much every state election and referendum to limit abortion rights has been defeated and every election to assert abortion rights has succeeded, even in states like Ohio where Democrats have been marginalized. A lot of these referenda are on the ballot this year, in states like Florida and Nevada. And it’s a little hard to believe that people who vote for abortion rights are going to vote in Trump, the president who is the direct reason Roe v. Wade no longer exists in the first place.

Conclusions

No one can safely predict how this is going to turn out. I would think, given Trump’s increasingly obvious senility, given that his tariff policy would undermine “conservative” positions on the economy, and given that his supine posture towards dictators would undermine our military strength by sabotaging our alliances, that Trump would be getting fewer votes. However, there’s all the people who were reluctant to vote for a woman in 2016 being that much more reluctant to vote for somebody who’s both female and black. And then there’s the growing suspicion that as Trump becomes more ridiculous than he was, that JD Vance is being presented as the brains behind the throne while Trump rules as a dumbass figurehead for public amusement, and a lot of “conservatives” seem to be on board with that idea. Except that Vance’s “post-liberal” statism would be almost as destructive to the economy as Trump’s tariff agenda, and his social policies would actually be worse.

Which again brings us back to the fact that it never should have been this close, even if Democrats win. That would be the problem even if there were no Electoral College, because Trump represents an anti-rational view that has hold of most of the Republican Congress and affects policy between elections.

In the present moment, some ask, “how did they let the Nazis come to power?” And the answer is clear: Because Hitler played a billionaire on “reality” TV and people thought, “This guy must know how to run an economy.”

There was an article from Vox I read recently that’s about a completely different subject: How AI is standardizing our cultural experience of the fall season. “AI-generated content is now infiltrating social media in ways that have a meaningful impact on people’s lives. Knitters and crocheters hoping to craft fall sweaters are being inundated with nonsensical AI patterns and inspo images on Reddit. An entirely fake restaurant has gained 75,000 followers on Instagram by claiming to be “number one in Austin” … Meanwhile, folks hoping to curl up with a cozy fantasy novel or a bedtime story for their kids are confronted with a library of ChatGPT-generated nonsense “written” by nonexistent authors on the Kindle bookstore, while their YouTube algorithms serve them bot-generated fall ambiance videos. Autumn, it seems, is being eaten by AI.”

This is what happens when people not only don’t know the difference between reality and media, but don’t want to know. So no surprise that maybe half of the country seems to think that politics is just some iteration of pro wrestling, about “owning” your enemies and scoring scripted victories. So no surprise that the people who (rightfully) scorn empty-headed Hollywood liberals who think their political opinion matters just cause they’re from Hollywood will worship an empty-headed East Coast celebrity because he was created for them, as Trump might put it, by Central Casting.

Something I saw on Facebook recently that summed the whole thing up:

2 died of Ebola – they said Obama should resign

4 died in Benghazi – they had Hillary testify for 11 hours, held 33 hearings and launched a 4 year probe

Over 300,000 Covid deaths (in 2020), an armed insurrection and theft of classified documents – they cheered, and want Trump as dictator

There is no “both sides” on that shit.

Trump, like other pathological liars, actually seems to believe that lying magically creates external reality, that if you get enough people to believe in your falsehood, that not only convinces them but makes the laws of physics and causality conform to your fantasy. It’s like being God, only better, cause God has to be celibate.

The Trump Virus of 2020 proved, or should have proven, that reality exists outside perception after all. You cannot bribe, bully or bloviate a virus. You cannot make a virus go away by calling it a “Democrat hoax.” And because Trump would not acknowledge reality – which would mean admitting he’d made a mistake – 350,831 people died, which could have included him.

The real joke is that Trump’s virus was what wrecked the economy that he says was so wonderful and led to the Biden corrections that caused inflation (after several markets in 2020 crashed for lack of demand). People lost friends, family and neighbors. And yet, lots of voters want to go back and give Trump back the White House, so he can do it all again.

But if Trump wins, he is either going to start World War III or another global pandemic, and that will cause a mass die-off and technological collapse that will make all that media fakery history. I will probably be dead because of it, and that will be something to look forward to. If anything this is why I still believe Harris will ultimately win this election for the establishment, because if there is anything this world has taught me, it’s that you don’t get out of it that easily.

Vote, Goddamnit

The Nevada mail-in ballots finally came in the mail this weekend. I got to look them over on my day off and now I’m taking my ballot in to the drop-off site.

Hey kids, guess what day it is? It’s FUCK TRUMP DAY!

But as I do during elections, I want to go over the various ballot questions each cycle in Nevada, just in case anybody is reading this. And I want to do that before going over the partisan races, because there is less and less suspense each election cycle as to which party to vote for.

Question 1: Shall the Nevada Constitution be amended to remove certain provisions governing the Board of Regents of the Nevada System of Higher Education and its administration of the State University and certain federal land grant funds to provide additional legislative oversight of public institutions of higher education through regular independent audits, without repealing the current statutory election process or other existing statutory provisions relating to the Board of Regents?

So right here, you’re going to see that you will need to consult the election sites – I recommend Ballotpedia – to go over these ballot initiatives, cause the first two at least are wordy, vague and confusing as all hell. Almost as if they were phrased to inspire a negative result.

The Nevada Board of Regents, under the state constitution, is an independent entity that governs the state’s university system, whose members are elected by the public. According to Ballotpedia, a “Yes” vote would remove the Board as a protected entity under the state constitution and render it subject to oversight from the state legislature. The actual amendment would affect Section 4 and Section 8 of Article 11 of the Nevada Constitution, removing Section 7 entirely.

There are points to be made on either side of this, but I voted YES on Question 1, because anybody who pays attention to state politics knows that this particular body is one of the more clear examples of bureaucratic misuse of power. And it’s not like we’re getting much for it.

Question 2: Shall Section 1 of Article 13 of the Nevada Constitution be amended to: (1) revise the description of the persons who benefit from institutions that the State is required to foster and support; (2) replace the term “institutions” with “entities”; and (3) add entities for the benefit of persons with intellectual or developmental disabilities to the types of entities that the State is required to foster and support?

This is another case of vague phrasing where the question is fairly straightforward if you already know the context. The amendment refers to phrasing in state law regarding the care of disabled persons, changing the term “institutions” to “entities” because the former word has a punitive or carceral association. Likewise the wording of the actual amendment removes “the Insane, Blind, Deaf and Dumb” from Article 13 of the Nevada Constitution.

Basically, this is changing the phrasing to more politically correct language. Not that this is necessarily a bad thing. For one example, “idiot” was once a clinical term for patients of subnormal intelligence, but is nowadays just considered an insult. So since this will be of some benefit and do no harm, I voted YES on Question 2. It’s the sort of thing even Republicans can get behind, given that they have been increasingly described with words like “insane”, “dumb” and “idiot”, so continuing to use these terms in a clinical context may make them feel like they’re singled out.

Question 3: Shall the Nevada Constitution be amended to allow all Nevada voters the right to participate in open primary elections to choose candidates for the general election in which all voters may then rank the remaining candidates by preference for the offices of U.S. Senators, U.S. Representatives, Governor, Lieutenant Governor, Secretary of State, State Treasurer, State Controller, Attorney General, and State Legislators?

I voted YES on Question 3. I have already gone into great detail as to why I advocate it. But let me make one more point here: We are going to need an alternative to closed primary rounds in partisan elections, not just in Nevada, but in America, because one way or another, after this election, we really won’t have a two-party system anymore. Either Trump will become God-Emperor, and Democrats will be house slaves for the plantation at best, or Trump will lose, and what used to be the Republican Party will lose that much more of its credibility, perhaps permanently. So you’re going to need a process in which an increasingly independent, non-partisan voter base can review candidates without thinking that their party affiliation will matter, because after this year, it won’t.

Question 4: Shall the Ordinance of the Nevada Constitution and the Nevada Constitution be amended to remove language authorizing the use of slavery and involuntary servitude as a criminal punishment?

Much like Question 6 (below) this is a case of state advocates heading off a changing federal standard. In fact the current wording deliberately parallels the US Constitution’s 13th Amendment Section 1: “Neither slavery nor involuntary servitude, except as a punishment for crime whereof the party shall have been duly convicted, shall exist within the United States, or any place subject to their jurisdiction.” That middle “except as a punishment for crime” part has historically been used as a loophole to enforce compulsory labor by another name, and in that regard it’s no surprise that the land of the free has 20 percent of the world’s prisoners, and why both Blacks and Whites each make up 40 percent of the prison population even though at the time of study Whites were 64 percent of the American population and Blacks were 13 percent.

Therefore, several states, not just Nevada, have been petitioning to remove the “punishment for crime” clause of their constitutions that forbid slavery. In the context of history, I voted YES on Question 4. Anything that makes this country less of a police state is a good idea.

Question 5: Shall the Sales and Use Tax Act of 1955 be amended to provide an exemption from the taxes imposed by this Act on the gross receipts from the sale and the storage, use or other consumption of diapers?

This is one of those things where you have to get into policy and revenue. It’s fairly relevant. During the presidential campaign Trump declared that he was going to get rid of federal taxes on tips, which is an obvious pander to labor in general and Nevada workers in particular. Harris, who is just as shameless in her own way, quickly followed suit. All of which raises the question of the consequences, such as, wouldn’t businesses just change all jobs to tipped labor, or how you’re supposed to cover the lost revenue.

This gets into the broader question of how taxes are applied. “Progressive” leftist policy has generally been to soak the rich and impose ever-increasing nets of taxes on the grounds that those who have more income can pay more. Trump, meanwhile, is now besotted with the idea of broad-based tariffs on all foreign goods, which are essentially taxes on import businesses that inevitably pass down to the consumer. He and some other right-wingers have stated that US tariff policy in the 19th and early 20th centuries were able to produce prosperity and government revenue without a personal income tax. However the costs to the consumer were such that they helped justify the federal income tax amendment, while later tariffs, such as the Smoot-Hawley Tariffs, led to trade wars that were a direct factor in the Great Depression.

So it’s one thing to say taxes should be this or so high, but it matters where they are derived and whom they affect. I voted YES on Question 5. It is of course a question on how the State will make up the revenue from diapers, but they ought to be able to get it without grabbing at young mothers or senior citizens.

Question 6: Should the Nevada Constitution be amended to create an individual’s fundamental right to an abortion, without interference by state or local governments, whenever the abortion is performed by a qualified health care professional until fetal viability or when necessary to protect the health or life of the pregnant individual at any point during the pregnancy?

Pros: Why not?
Cons: Why THE HELL NOT?

Question 7: Should the Nevada Constitution be amended to require voters to either present photo identification to verify their identity when voting in-person or to provide certain personal information when voting by mail ballot?

In other words, this is the “Voter ID requirement” question. I voted NO. It’s not that big a deal, since most of us have ID, but by the same token, it raises the question of why we need this. Especially since the state already mandates sending mail ballots and that in turn indicates that the state has already verified you as a voter. Really, what this is is another attempt by the Trump Party to corner the market. Since they can’t win by majority vote, they have to change the definition of “majority” and pick the voters instead of the other way around. This is especially obvious since, again, we have mail ballot voting and that is designed to address many of the legitimate voter ID issues. The second matter of “provide certain personal information when voting by mail ballot” just makes it that more obvious that they’re looking for a pretext to throw out politically incorrect votes. Now that I think about it, I shouldn’t have voted No, I should have wrote in FUCK NO.

Speaking of the Trump Party, this is where I have to get to the partisan federal races. And obviously, I recommend that people vote for Kamala Harris and the Democrats all the way down ballot. Not cause they’re any GOOD, but because they’re not robots of a Sundown Clown and Russian tool, and those are the only two parties that have a chance of winning. That being the case I shouldn’t need to go over the bleeding obvious, but given the polls in this country, and Nevada in particular, apparently I have to.

And that means I have to address the Republicans first. The only reason that things are this fucked up. Not just in this election, but, in analysis, on almost any other public issue you could raise.

It used to be there were a lot of issues I could agree with you on, but in retrospect it seems to me that there used to be issues that you agreed with me on. Like just for one, having a frothing mob of collectivists trying to break into the Capitol to stop an Electoral College certification just cause they didn’t like the result is a bad thing. And you know this cause I’m sure that in 2017 if all the leftists in pink pussy hats had broken into the Capitol waving Soviet flags and screaming to kill Joe Biden for certifying the vote, you’d be screaming bloody murder and demanding that the people who put them up to it be tried for treason. And I’d be there with you. But when the thugs are waving the Stars and Bars, and it’s your hero they’re doing it for, merely trying to impeach him over the affair isn’t just taken as a personal insult to you, but as blasphemy to your god. And apparently the rest of us are supposed to be okay with that, cause Trump is still getting to run.

So please don’t tell me that the system is rigged against you, please don’t tell me you don’t have a choice, and PLEASE don’t tell me that this is a republic and not a democracy. Because a, you don’t want this to be a republic, and b, it clearly is a democracy. Donald Trump tried to destroy the Electoral College process itself, and he’s still getting to run for president. This is not a country where candidates run on qualifications, but on popularity. The only reason a demented career criminal gets to run as a major party candidate for president is because you wanted him there. Despite all the evidence against him on performance and all the expert opinion telling you that he shouldn’t be sent back to the White House and would be better sent to prison.

Because liberals, if you want to know why we have an Electoral College, it’s because the Founders didn’t want stupid, emotional people deciding who is the next president. And conservatives, if you want to know why we need to get rid of the Electoral College, it’s because that institution is the only reason that that result ever occurred.

Now given the weight of factors, especially the early turnout in places like Georgia, I have reason to believe that Harris will eventually win the right number of Electors, but I can’t be certain that she will win state majorities big enough to avoid serious challenge by various Trump Party organizations, most notably the House of Representatives (which would vote for Trump if the Electoral College is hung) or the Supreme Court, which has intervened for Republicans before.

And that just gets to the point that the problem isn’t just Trump, but an entire party that follows him as a political role model. Because as I’ve said, if he didn’t have a cult that wanted him in politics, he’d be just another ratty old bum at the gas station screaming conspiracy theories at you while begging you for change. At least he’d have an excuse for that haircut.

So, Republicans, believe me when I say this. From the bottom of my heart:
Fuck you.

Fuck y’all.

All y’all.

Up the ass.
Fuck your entire party with John Holmes’ dead, AIDS-ridden dick.

So now liberals, Democrats, all of that means that if you don’t want even more violence, if you don’t want Dobbs vs. Mississippi all over the country, on steroids, if you don’t want JD Vance waiting in the wings for when Trump swallows a chicken bone sideways, quit ANY AND ALL OF YOUR FUCKING EXCUSES for why you don’t feel like voting for Harris or voting at all. I don’t care. You think the Palestinians are getting screwed with Biden, you’re gonna love when Trump brings Jared Kushner back to handle Mideast policy. If you’re Hispanic, and you think the Trump economy was better, you’re not going to enjoy it, cause he’s gonna deport you. What? You’re a citizen? You were born here? It won’t matter. I don’t care if you think the economy sucks. I don’t care if I think the economy sucks. Just vote. And get everybody you know who’s not already a Trumpnik to vote Democrat with you, because that’s what it’s going to take to keep the gangster party from stealing this. Make it clear that they will not be able to gin enough states to change the outcome. There are more of us than there are of them, and if we do not wish to live under occupation, we need to prove it once and for all. Just vote. If you’re in Chicago, vote twice.

Vote, Goddammit. Vote these Trump slugs out. ALL of them.

Vote like it’s the last time you’ll ever get the chance.

Just in case.

Another Response to Andrew Sullivan

RE: “He’s Winning This Thing

Dear Andrew,

If there is anything more embarrassing than Howard Stern and Stephen Colbert fangirling over Kamala Harris in their interviews, it’s you fangirling over a candidate you say you’re voting against. Like when Trump describes his word salads as “the weave.” You really think that’s clever? When I think of “the weave” in relation to Trump, I think of something else coming off the top of his head. It’s like a thatched-roof cottage up there.

And when you say Harris’ answers to substantive questions are generalities like “I believe in building consensus. We are a diverse people. Geographically, regionally, in terms of where we are in our backgrounds. And what the American people do want is that we have leaders who can build consensus”, quite so, but at least air is a substance. As opposed to Trump, who in his Detroit speech said: “I said who the hell did that, I saw engines, about three four years ago, these things were coming, cylinders, no wings, no nothing, and they’re coming down very slowly, landing on a raft in the middle of the ocean someplace, with the, circle, boom, reminded me of, the Biden circles that he used to have, right, he’d have eight circles, and he couldn’t fill them up, but then I heard he BS with the popular vote, I don’t know, I don’t know, couldn’t fill up the eight circles, I always loved those circles, they were so beautiful, they were so beautiful to look at, in fact the person that did that, that was the best thing his, the level of that circle, was, great, but they couldn’t get people, so they used to have the Press, stand in for the circles, because they couldn’t get the people, then I heard we lost, oh, we lost, now we’re never going to let that happen again, but we’ve been, abused, by other countries, we’ve been abused by our own politicians really more than other countries.”

He’s winning this right now? What kind of country is this where he COULD be winning right now?

I agree with you on some points. Like, Pennsylvania being as central as it is, Harris’ running mate should have been Josh Shapiro and not Tim Walz. But exactly what “bold and risky” thing do you propose she do that wouldn’t piss off her voter group, which lest we forget, is basically everybody in this country who’s not already for Trump, and can’t agree with each other on everything, maybe not anything?

We can’t get Obama back. For various reasons, we couldn’t get Pete Buttigieg to run, and I think both of us would prefer that. But Harris would have both of them in her corner. And as I said: We could have Biden, and we all suspect how that would play out. When you said he should bow out, you knew what the options were. This is what we’ve got. And if you can’t back Harris, you know what you’re going to get.

I know Harris’ problems. But it’s a little odd that the Michiganders who hate how Biden-Harris have not stood up for Palestinians think that Trump and Jared Kushner would be any more sympathetic. I find it hard to be believe that all the people who voted against abortion bans and supported state abortion rights in the midterms would go along with a guy who is going to support a national abortion ban. (And don’t say he wouldn’t. I actually believe that the guy who was in the Jeffrey Epstein Frequent Flyer Club doesn’t really care about banning abortion, and I can believe that the guy who had Elton John perform at his wedding party doesn’t really care about persecuting gays, but he caters to the people who DO.)

I have been asking myself over the past week or so: How is it that Ruben Gallego can be leading Kari Lake for the US Senate race in Arizona by 10 points in one poll, incumbent Democratic Senator Jacky Rosen is leading Sam Brown in Nevada by anywhere from 2 to 13 points, and incumbent Democratic Senator Bob Casey is leading David McCormick by anywhere from 2 to 8 points, yet polls in all three states show Trump either tied or leading?

Is Trump really that popular and Harris really that unpopular? I wouldn’t doubt it. After all Trump was unpopular enough that he lost to Biden even though Republicans made some downballot gains in 2020. But Harris is certainly not as repellent as Hillary Clinton, and neither is Biden, though you seem to be actively repelled by both of them while you almost seem to admire Trump’s skill (or chutzpah) and obviously admire Vance.

But the “Lamestream Media” wants to make this a horse race to the very end, and Nervous Nellies like you are part of the project. If anything that might help Democrats get out the vote. After all, everyone thought Hillary had it in the bag, and we know how that played out.

Like I said, Andrew, you should really apply for a job with Trump’s campaign, or apparently, his Cabinet. Cause you’re giving him better advice than he’s getting. Or seems to follow.

Or, Donnie can just go along like he has been, like going to the Detroit Economic Forum and telling all the people in Detroit what a terrible city Detroit is. At this rate, he’s gonna win Michigan by 5 points. Not because Trump is so wonderful or because Harris is so terrible, but because no one ever went broke underestimating the intelligence of the American public.

The 2024 Debate of Vice

The last presidential debate (with Kamala Harris) reamed Donald Trump about as hard as his behind-the-scenes meeting with Vladimir Putin at Helsinki in 2018, and I don’t think he enjoyed it as much. In fact, the only reason that that debate didn’t kill Trump’s campaign the way the Biden-Trump debate killed Biden’s campaign is that Biden was running mainly to keep Trump from being president again, so once he became a liability to that, he deferred to his running mate, whereas Trump is running mainly to stay out of prison. So given that Trump is just as timid in regard to a rematch as he was with Putin at Helsinki, the main suspense in the 2024 race came from anticipating the vice-presidential debate of October 1, between Vice-President Harris’ running mate, Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, and Trump’s running mate, Senator JD Vance of Ohio.

I did not really get to see it, because I work from home, and as is often the case on Tuesday evening, and especially on the first day of the month, the entire population of North America was maniacally cramming the call queue like it was a 24-hour McDonald’s drive-thru and emergency calls were Big Macs.

The most controversial aspect of the whole thing was that after ABC anchors made some mild fact references against Trump in his last debate, the Trump Party worked the ref in complaining about “bias”, and the mainstream media, as it does, caved. CBS announced prior to the event that their journalists, Norah O’Donnell and Margaret Brennan, would not engage in live fact-checking. Which as at least one comedian put it, is like running an NFL game without referees. But this was probably because CBS assumed that if the journalists had to ask questions AND fact check Vance, they’d be there till Election Day. This was not a very good idea. Especially towards the end of the debate when Vance said it was rich that Walz was calling Trump a unique threat to democracy when he peacefully left office like every other president in history. AFTER January 6. Saying Trump peacefully left office after that is like asking Mrs. Lincoln, “Other than that, how did you like the play?” In fact earlier, when Vance continued to blame illegal immigrants for the problems in Springfield Ohio – after he and Trump were brought up on charges for harassment and menacing by a Haitian community group – CBS moderator Margaret Brennan said, “And just to clarify for our viewers, Springfield, Ohio does have a large number of Haitian migrants who have legal status, temporary protected status”, Vance immediately complained, “Margaret, the rules were that you were not going to fact check and since you’re fact-checking me, I think it’s important to say what’s actually going on” – and this led to so much cross-talk that CBS cut the candidates’ mics. Which only confirms that Vance and the used-to-be Republican Party saw the no-fact-checking pledge as intended to be in their favor, which in itself is an indication that they see an advantage in lying.

You would think, given that Walz was the guy who popularized calling Trumpniks “weird” and was on board with that whole JD Vance/Couch thing, that he would be at least as forceful as Kamala Harris was in her debate, but the impression I got from commentators was that he was too “Minnesota nice.” Whereas Vance made a positive impression not so much by real virtues but the simple fact that he is not Donald Trump, does not mug for the camera when the other person is talking and does not act like a brain-damaged orangutan, only without the maturity and sense of grooming. As one pundit put it, maybe Walz was assuming that if he really ragged Vance, when Vance does a better job of presenting as a Homo sapiens than Trump does, it might backfire. Indeed, most commentators were pleasantly surprised that this debate marked a return to mutual civility. Which is good in and of itself, but not so good when both sides agree that the enemy is going to destroy the republic and one has a lot more evidence for that theory.

Walz did at least get the line of the night, in reference to that last election that JD seems to think went swimmingly, when he said, “When Mike Pence made that decision to certify that election – that’s why Mike Pence isn’t on this stage.”

One thing I saw on MSDNC after the fact was where they had a group of college voters and exactly one of them said he got a better impression of JD Vance from the debate, and even then he phrased in terms of Vance coming across a lot better when he has time for preparation.

But given that CBS by and large did not fact check Vance’s smarmy bullshit, and Walz was mostly not inclined to do so, this just confirms my suspicion that the media is setting this up to be a horse race to the very end, despite the fact that the Democratic ticket is composed of normal people with political credentials and the opposition is composed of JD Eyelashes and King Bingbongbingbangbing.

On presentation it was a draw. On substance, it was leaning Walz. Walz started slow but frequently made eloquent cases in his favor and against the Republican position, even if a lot of us thought he could have gone for the jugular. Meanwhile JD Vance came off as just presentable enough to be an acceptable substitute for Donald Trump as President should Trump keel over and die, which I imagine Republicans are praying very hard to happen right now. But then again they have probably given up assuming that God will answer their prayers, since Trump is still alive.

Nevada Question 3

So of course after Labor Day, the political ads are out in force. The other day I saw one of the few non-attack ads, where they were promoting Kamala Harris for President. The ad announced, among other things, that Harris is going to be the first president to push for a program of national price controls. (Not quite true.)

And I thought to myself, “But I don’t WANT price controls. I don’t think they work.” Any more than Trump’s wonderful “plan” to shift from income taxes (on the rich) to national tariffs (affecting goods for the middle class and poor) is going to work either.

But how we should run the economy or how government should get revenue are policy matters on which people can agree to disagree. But since 2016, one of these parties, the Democrats, is run by the sort of career politicians that MAGA populists justifiably rail against, but they’re still trying in their own way to keep the system running.

Meanwhile since 2016, the only opposition presidential candidate is a racist, convicted felon, also found guilty in a defamation case involving sexual assault, only three years younger than Biden but still has half as many brain cells, and at this point everything he says is like a turn in Cards Against Humanity. “I have a Plan to save Isreal from Hamas and it involves DAVID BOWIE RIDING A TIGER MADE OF LIGHTNING! Meanwhile, cause of Komrade Kamala, immigrants in Springfiled Ohio are filming TWO MIDGETS SHITTING IN A BUCKET!!!!”

And in his (Republican) party, there may indeed still be some people I like. Such as Joe Lombardo, the current governor of Nevada, who was a fairly good Sheriff in the Las Vegas area. Or Sam Brown, who’s running against incumbent Democrat Jacky Rosen for US Senate. Brown literally went through fire in Afghanistan, was permanently scarred but rebuilt his life and became a success. (This would also mean he’s one of those veterans Trump wouldn’t want to be seen with, cause ‘they’re either in very bad shape because they’ve been hit so many times by bullets or they’re dead.’) But I didn’t vote for Lombardo as Governor and I’m not voting for Brown as Senator, cause they’re both in the Trump Party, and that means that they have to do any fool thing that Trump wants if they wanna stay in the He-Man Woman Haters Club.

And just as Trump’s tariff position means that no longer are Republicans the fiscal conservative party (to the extent that they ever were) there aren’t any good alternatives in “third” parties even if you could somehow wish that your vote was the only one that counted and wouldn’t be cancelled by everyone else in your state. For years, I was a vocal Libertarian, but in the past few years alleged purists took over because they saw how Trumpism had purged all the moderate conservatives and gay-tolerant people in the Republican Party and brought them into the Libertarian fold. These are the same people who in 2022 killed the Libertarian Party position that “we condemn bigotry as irrational and repugnant” because apparently they wanted to attract bigots, not to mention the irrational and repugnant. Some of these people were sincerely trying to purge the “normies” but others were more openly aligning the party towards Putin’s Russia. That’s why the “free thinkers” in party leadership invited Donald Trump to the 2024 LP convention, where he openly demanded that they nominate him. That’s why the Party leadership is not supporting their own nominee, Chase Oliver, because he isn’t on board with the new agenda. Even though Party Chairwoman Angela McArdle tried to rationalize the party’s rejection of her favored candidate by saying the goal is to stop the Democrat (at the time, Biden) and get Trump elected. The irony being that in getting rid of the right-wingers who rejected Trump in order to recruit the “freethinkers” who like Trump, the LP is either not going to get any votes at all (because the fans already have Trump) or they will attract voters who might prefer Trump to Harris and therefore make a Trump victory less likely. Which is why the “freethinkers” got Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to drop out.

And then you have Jill Stein’s Green Party, which always WAS a fellow traveler.

So pretty clearly the party politics structure is not working, even for those parties outside the duopoly. In the case of the Democrats, it’s easy to see why. Government is their business. One might say racket. And they’re trying to protect their institution. But in the case of parties more motivated by ideology, namely the Republicans and Libertarians, it becomes a question of what you have to do to be a party member. In the case of the Republicans, if you believed in certain things, like being “pro-life” and pro-capitalism, you were in the club. If you were a constitutionalist, you were in the club. That is of course the point of a political party: To make sure that everyone is on the same page and working toward the same goal. But if the party gets taken over by some outside force for the sake of one of its political goals, then said force can change the definition of who’s a “real” party loyalist. In this case, being “pro-life” meant that the Republican Party changed into the Trump Party, and went back on pretty much everything else that it meant to be Republican, like being pro-capitalist, pro-Constitution and anti-Russia. Likewise (L)ibertarian suspicion of government COVID mandates (almost all of which were instituted by state governments rather than Washington, ironically) meant there was an opportunity for takeover by people who go for all the alternative-to-being-right positions, like saying that the Federal Reserve “brainwashes our children to not know the difference between boys and girls” (from a Libertarian Party of Nevada post that I got the other day).

And as long as who you are and what you believe matters less than what party you belong to, we’re going to be stuck in this system where Republicans and “third” party candidates have to appeal to the biggest whackjobs to win primaries and Democrats can just mope along cause they have no incentive to compete intellectually. Since parties are now less a means of enforcing party function than a guarantee of party dysfunction, they need to be de-emphasized in the election system, which after all is supposed to supervise the campaigns rather than the other way around.

There have been various attempts to reform things on the state level, some of which got farther than others. This year, on the Nevada ballot, we have Question 3.

The ballot question was already passed in the 2022 election, but in Nevada, any ballot question has to have two successful Yes votes in two successive elections to become law. This is on one level a good security measure, but in practice what it means is that a popular proposal can pass in one election and then the special interests who don’t like it will have time to mobilize and get enough support to get people to vote it down the next time. This is how a previous Question 3, requiring an open energy market and removing the monopoly of NV Energy, could get supported in 2016 and then voted down in 2018, after NV Energy spent twice as much money against it as the supporters had to promote it.

So now we have a fairly similar situation coming up, with far more “No on Question 3” ads slamming the media than there are ads and articles explaining it or promoting it. And with early voting coming up, I need to go over 2024’s current Question 3.

This is the text of the ballot question:

Amendment to the Nevada Constitution:

Shall the Nevada Constitution be amended to allow all Nevada voters the right to participate in open primary elections to choose candidates for the general election in which all voters may then rank the remaining candidates by preference for the offices of U.S. Senators, U.S. Representatives, Governor, Lieutenant Governor, Secretary of State, State Treasurer, State Controller, Attorney General, and State Legislators?

According to Ballotopedia, Question 3 greatly amends Article 15, Section 17 of the Nevada Constitution, stating first, “The primary election for partisan offices must be held on the date and time as provided by Nevada law.” Which right there challenges the current default where either of the two big parties can schedule a primary or even a caucus completely independent of what the State dictates. (Strange that no one complains about how confusing THAT is.) The main change is that the primary round would no longer be a party primary; “any registered voter may cast a primary ballot for any candidate for partisan office regardless of the political party affiliation of the voter”. Only the names of the five candidates receiving the greatest number of votes will advance to the general election.

It also creates a Section 18 detailing the process of ranked choice voting. It starts by saying that “The general election ballots for partisan office shall (be) designed so that the candidates are selected by ranked-choice voting.” Voters can mark (up to) five candidates in order of preference. It is not mandatory to mark more than one, but voters cannot assign the same ranking to more than one candidate for the same office. If no candidate is highest-ranked on a majority of ballots, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated and votes for that candidate will be counted towards each ballot’s next highest continuing candidate and a new elimination round is held until a clear majority is achieved.

Pretty much every organized Democratic interest in Nevada is against Question 3, but not Republicans. Interestingly, the state Libertarian Party is also against it, saying in a September 3 news email, “Question 3 needs to be defeated! The “Top-Five Ranked-Choice Voting Initiative” doesn’t guarantee that Libertarian candidates will be on the ballot. You can kiss checks and balances on the two-party system goodbye. Right now, a Libertarian candidate can run in every race, but if this abomination passes this won’t be the case.”

Which especially in comparison to the status quo is just as illogical as every other objection to Question 3.

One of the objections is that Question 3 would force people to learn about (oh no) up to five candidates in a race. I mean, heavens forfend that people actually make an informed decision while voting. And I say it’s up to five candidates because that assumes there will even be more than the two major party candidates or more than one per party. (One of the reasons I think the Libertarians protest too much about Question 3 is that half of the time when I have a general election ballot, they don’t even have any candidates in most of the down-ballot races.) And if, as is probably going to be the case, there are more than two candidates but they are only in two parties, then yeah, you’re actually going to have to do your research and not just trust someone cause the ballot says R or D.

Another objection is that the system would eliminate the choice you made. This is in fact what the proposal is intended to prevent. If (hypothetically, because Question 3 would not apply until after this election, and the wording specifically excludes presidential races) you’re Libertarian sympathizing and your choices for a hypothetical race are Chase Oliver, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, along with the other “third” party candidates that you don’t care so much about, you can prioritize. If you think Harris is the lesser of two evils, you can set your top three priorities as Oliver, Harris and Trump. If you really think Harris’ agenda is more of a threat to liberty than Trump’s, you’d pick Oliver, Trump and Harris. Assuming of course that you ARE a capital L Libertarian and not just a willing tool of Trump and his boss. If you’re a Von Mises “libertarian” it’s probably going to be Trump, Trump, Trump, Trump, and I-guess-I-have-to-pick-Oliver. In the current system any choices other than the big two are eliminated automatically, so if you had any sympathies outside the big two, you either eliminate your preferred choice before even voting or the system does it for you.

But the fact that this does involve a more extended decision process is something that is picked on by Democrats in particular, with their campaigns assuming that voters simply can’t sort through them all. Garbage. How do we know Democrats in Nevada can sort through a longer selection process with ranked voting? Because they already have.

In the 2020 Nevada Democratic Caucus, the party experimented with a ranked-choice system for selecting the Democratic nominee for President in the early voting period. I have already gone over how it worked. Interestingly, that contest ended up with independent Bernie Sanders winning over Joe Biden, 40.5 percent to 18.9. Now that was a closed Democratic caucus, but again it included Sanders who is technically not a Democrat and businessman Tom Steyer who had previously never run for office.

To sum up, if Question 3 passes, Nevada’s election system would change in two major respects: elections for partisan state office (including US Senator and Representative but not including President and Vice President of the United States) would be effectively open primaries in which all voters can participate, as opposed to being restricted to members of one party. This would produce up to five candidates in a general election, who would be ranked by voters so that if no one candidate has an absolute majority in the first round of votes, the ranking order creates elimination rounds until that majority vote is achieved.

This is important for at least two reasons. The first, again, is that the process would be under the control of the state government as a whole as opposed to being an internally controlled party affair. Whereas when Hillary Clinton’s people were in charge of the Democratic caucus in 2016, they basically threw out votes for Sanders and when Nevada law was changed after 2020 to eliminate party caucuses and set a date for the 2024 Republican primary, the Trump Party held a caucus anyway, basically so that they could guarantee the result.

Second, ranked choice voting in the general round addresses the point that while the practical default in this country is two-party voting, Americans are becoming increasingly dissatisfied with both Democratic and Republican institutions. It certainly does not guarantee that a “third” party politician would win state office, but it greatly increases their chances of advance (that is, above zero). The fact that up to five candidates can participate addresses one issue with our region’s other alternate model, California’s ‘top two’ runoff system, where you could have two Republicans against three or more Democrats splitting the notRepublican vote and end up with a general election where the two choices are Republicans.

So, Question 3 addresses the problems with independent voters being shut out of the primary process and the general election, and makes the process less dependent on the control of partisan organizations.

No wonder some people want to kill it.

Again, an issue with ballot initiatives in Nevada is that the need for them to pass twice in two elections means that people against the change can simply hoard their assets and create an opposition in the second election that wasn’t there when the question passed the first time.

It is true that the “Yes” campaign is being funded by both millionaires of both parties in Nevada as well as both Democratic and Republican donors from out of state, but their efforts haven’t been nearly as visible as the “No” campaign. Pretty much every TV ad on the subject in Las Vegas has been a No ad, and that would be one thing, but most of them are written on the lines of a few specious and just plain wrong arguments. Such as, you have to vote for more than one candidate (you don’t, but if you do, you have to assign each a different rank), your vote will be thrown out (when again, if you’re a ‘third’ party voter, your vote will almost certainly not count at all in the current system) or it’s just too hard to go over five picks (when again, Democrats in Nevada have already done so at least once).

What it is is that certain people, including in the “third” parties, are interested in brand protection. The Democrats, at least in Nevada, like things the way they are. And the one grain of truth in the No arguments is that since “third” parties effectively do not even have a primary process, since there aren’t enough people involved, the open primary system where only five advance might eliminate a third-party candidacy. But I’ve already given my personal response to that: In most general election ballots I’ve seen, “third” parties are only running for President (which isn’t affected by Question 3), or maybe Senator. By and large they haven’t been fielding candidates under the status quo, and only when they do would such objection be relevant.

And to review, this whole process, explicit or otherwise, is going to make party affiliation less relevant. Because when the election system is run by the parties, it is gamed to their benefit, which is a large part of why we have sought out “third” parties as an alternative to the duopoly. And frankly, that hasn’t worked, both because our first-past-the-post standard has made a “third” party candidate irrelevant at best and a “spoiler” at worst, and because what happened to the Libertarians and Greens demonstrates that Republicans are not the only ones vulnerable to a hostile takeover that obliges party voters to choose between what they thought their party was and what it is now.

And that gets to the big point which is relevant to America in general and Nevada in particular:

In Nevada as of July 1, there are 685,459 non-partisans compared to 608,048 registered Democrats and 578,365 registered Republicans. Being “politically homeless” is more and more of a thing, because the Republican Party has made itself more and more repellent, and that has not in itself made the Democratic Party better at government nor made other parties more attractive. And none of this changes the fact that in any given election, one candidate is going to win. Anything that creates more participation in the process can only help, given that the dysfunction in the current duopoly is based on their closed participation systems, which are becoming more and more unrepresentative of a country where fewer people can identify fully with either big party.

The current system is a trap, it’s only going to lead to increasingly negative returns, and the best way out is to de-emphasize party loyalty and have people vote for whoever the best candidate is.

You know, like in a democracy.

Is This Your King?

The big news leading up to the next presidential debate was that not only did Liz Cheney (former Republican Congresswoman of Colorado) announce last week that yes, she was voting for Kamala Harris, she said on Friday that her Dad, Dick Cheney, was voting for Harris too. Which seems like a big deal, given that the Cheneys are so conservative that they kinda started the Iraq War and everything. But I am reminded of when Nazi Germany invaded the Soviet Union and British Prime Minister Winston Churchill immediately urged Parliament to send military aid to Stalin, his political arch enemy. And when asked why, Churchill said, “If Hitler invaded Hell, I would at least put in a good word for the Devil in the House of Commons.”
That’s where we are now. Not that I am comparing Trump to Hitler. Hitler at least had an infrastructure program.

On one level, this is meaningless, just as Tulsi Gabbard and RFK Jr. endorsing Trump is meaningless, because just as those two represent the kind of Democrats whom the Democratic Party as a whole has rejected, the Cheneys are the kind of Republicans whom their party has rejected. But this is less a matter of “conservatism” (whatever that means) and more loyalty to the Mob Boss. And the Cheney endorsement just goes to show that leading up to this debate, whatever one thinks of the two parties, only one of them actually IS a political party. However dysfunctional and feckless the Democrats are, they at least think they’re supposed to be running a government. Whereas the Republicans are a combination Mafia family and religious cult that believes in leeching the taxpayer for all they can get while worshiping a criminal as God.

And if you want to play both sides-ism, both of these parties started off with a presidential candidate who is clearly too old to compete, but the Democrats actually acknowledged that in their case. And not only is Trump completely unqualified on a performance level, he has disqualified himself with his criminal activities to stop the 2020 election result, not to mention his hoarding of classified documents since leaving office, a point that neither Republicans nor the “liberal” media will emphasize.

And since the Trump Party IS a Mob, and have already announced that they’re going to try and interfere with election results, the best way for Kamala Harris and Democrats to win is to do what Joe Biden did in 2020: Win enough states by big enough margins that Republicans can’t steal enough elections to change the outcome.

And as with the DNC, which certainly pumped up the Democrats but doesn’t seem to have created much momentum in the polls, Democrats were looking at the debate as a means of shifting the momentum, whereas with all the advantages Trump has – namely a “news” media that wants a demented goon back in the White House cause he’s “great for ratings” – all Trump really needed to do was hang on and hope that his blind-faith cult can carry him the rest of the way.

Well, as Trump would say, “We’ll see what happens.”

Keep in mind, I only got to check so much of the debate in real time because I work at home, at night, and I was taking calls. But I noticed a couple things. Most of the people calling customer service had the debate on, which I could hear on their line while I was watching with the sound off. The other thing I noticed is that we weren’t getting quite as many calls as we usually do on a Tuesday evening. Of course as soon as the debate was over, every property in the United States suddenly started having emergencies again.

Just as well that I couldn’t hear most of it. I am not a fan of Harris’ voice, and even less a fan of Trump’s whiny-Mafioso-with-sleep-apnea voice. So as with Kennedy vs. Nixon, the visuals are everything. And the main visual I got watching this on TV was Trump on the left going off while on the right Harris was watching with an actively bemused, trying-not-to-laugh expression on her face, like you might have if your friend invited you to their house and you watched their four-year-old child try to recite Gilbert and Sullivan. Much more pleasant than watching Trump on the left as he Gish Galloped across the Pecos while Biden stood there wondering what the hell he was seeing, let alone Trump’s reactions to Harris, which were basically a sulky little boy hoping that if he frowned hard enough his stare could break a hole in a mountainside. That is, when he wasn’t rolling his eyes and pursing his lips in contempt, or grinning like a toad who’d just been given a lobotomy.

Not that the moderators didn’t ask questions that could challenge the Biden-Harris Administration. But you know what? She answered them. In regard to the Biden Afghanistan pullout, she pointed out that it was Trump himself who made the plans with the Taliban in 2020, bypassing the Afghan government. And as much as Trump hammered on immigration, and “border czar” and all that, she pointed out that there was a border bill written by a Republican that he told his Party to kill. And in regard to immigration, Trump repeated the racist-as-fuck story that Haitian immigrants in some communities were eating people’s dogs, which running mate JD Vance has also spread. In response, ABC news anchor David Muir said ABC did reach out to the city manager in Springfield and confirmed they had no such reports.

Co-moderator Linsey Davis also fact-checked Trump, noting that “there is no state in this country where it is legal to kill a baby after it is born.”

BREAKING NEWS: JOURNALISTS ACTUALLY DID THEIR JOBS

And when the debate turned to climate change, Trump blamed Harris and Biden for taking money from Ukraine.

Which only goes to show that Trump has his invincible bond with his voter base because he IS his voter: A belligerent dumbass who parrots any conspiracy theory you feed him cause he can be exploited by con men that much more evil than he is.

It went further. On the subject of Ukraine, Harris said “Putin would be sitting in Kyiv with his eyes on the rest of Europe. Starting with Poland. And why don’t you tell the 800,000 Polish Americans right here in Pennsylvania how quickly you would give up for the sake of favor and what you think is a friendship with what is known to be a dictator who would eat you for lunch.” She also said earlier, “And it is absolutely well known that these dictators and autocrats are rooting for you to be president again because they’re so clear, they can manipulate you with flattery and favors.” Trump later said, “Viktor Orban, one of the most respected men — they call him a strong man. He’s a tough person. Smart. Prime Minister of Hungary. They said why is the whole world blowing up? Three years ago it wasn’t. Why is it blowing up? He said because you need Trump back as president. They were afraid of him. China was afraid. And I don’t like to use the word afraid but I’m just quoting him. China was afraid of him. North Korea was afraid of him.”

Kinda proves her point, don’t it?

And Harris also said in regard to world leaders, “And that is why so many military leaders who you have worked with have told me you are a disgrace.”

Well, he IS a disgrace. Just this week, he continued to insist that he’d never met E. Jean Carroll, refusing to say her name, while also going into extensive detail about the number of times they’d met. He also denied guilt in her sexual assault case, saying “she would not have been The Chosen One.” At the press conference, he also had two of his lawyers flanking them while he said, “I’m disappointed in my legal talent, I’ll be honest with you.”

It’s like he was designed in a lab to be the most disgusting humanoid imaginable. I mean, Lenin and Hitler would look at him and go, “DUDE.”

And just after the debate, Taylor Swift posted on Instagram, announcing that she was endorsing Harris, because we need “calm instead of chaos.” She signed it “Taylor Swift Childless Cat Lady.”

Now here’s the real fight: Trump vs. Swift.

One is an Aryan tycoon with millions of fanatic worshipers who will kill you for disrespecting their idol. The other is Trump.

So, that’s it, then. It’s over.

I mean, it shouldn’t be that simple, but it probably is.

But then again: It should have been over in 20 fucking 16 after the Access Hollywood tape. It should have been over when Trump tried to kill his own Republican Congress on January 6, 2021 cause not enough of them would go along with his election steal. They all fluttered, and huffed, and then they all took Trump’s side in impeachment, and came crawling back to their Master anyway.

What else are they going to do?

Voters, Republican voters in particular, are like football fans. Everyone’s got their team. And as I’ve said before, it’s like if you’re a Dallas Cowboys fan from back in the glory days, and then Jerry Jones bought the team, and the very first thing he did was to fire Tom Landry, and every rotten thing that’s happened to that team since stems directly from that decision, but what’re ya gonna do, quit being a Cowboys fan?

And a lot of it is also “moderates” who want an alternative to the “socialist” party that’s raised inflation everywhere, but then who’s going to be the alternative to the alternative when the Republican cure for social democracy is a lot worse than the disease?

We are never going to be rid of these two parties because, for one thing, they need each other for their suckers to have someone to vote against. Also, no matter how dysfunctional one party becomes, its formal collapse would mean that there’s only one national party in this country, and that’s really not feasible. But what that means for the moment and the foreseeable future is that the Republican Party will just continue to deteriorate without dying because there will always be a need for an alternative to the Democrats, no matter how broken and evil it is.

The only way to get out of this trap is to break people of their football-team loyalty to party and de-emphasize parties in the election system, just as they have largely ceased to exist as governing bodies against their own politicians. You need things like open primaries and ranked choice voting. This ought to be damn obvious by now, and yet certain people don’t want their little system to change. And there’s a particular example of this that I will deal with in my next column.

Meanwhile, Back in Reality

Leading a race does not mean you will win it.

– African proverb

Hey, so what did you think of the Democratic National Convention this year? When they had a DJ? When they had Stevie Wonder? When people were singing, and happy, and it almost felt like a concert every night? Did you see how Tim Walz’ son was crying because he was so proud to see his Dad become the Vice Presidential nominee, and his Dad gave that love right back? Did you see how Kamala Harris surprised everyone by actually giving a great speech? Did you see how fired up everyone was? Did you see all those Lamestream Media people using words like “happiness” and “joy”? JOY?

Nauseating as fuck, wasn’t it?

What you need is to get grounded back in the reality of the last eight years of the Trump Era, in which you grind out day after day in a paycheck-to-paycheck job expecting the government to engineer some giant catastrophe (or stumble into one by sheer accident) while the Boss and his cronies continue to grift off the taxpayer and dodge prosecution, and you go to bed at night waiting for a sadistic God to grant you the sweet mercy of Death.

So let’s see what’s been happening in Trumpworld since Harris and Walz teamed up.

First, the big earth-shattering, game changing news: Robert F. Kennedy Jr. endorsed Trump. AND so did Tulsi Gabbard. Yeah, he should start picking out the drapes right now. These are the two people whose whole cultural role is being the people in traditional Democrat demographics who were never going to vote for Democrats anyway, and those people were never going to vote for Kennedy as an “independent” if it meant that Biden (now Harris) wins their state.

There was this one opinion column, I think it was from USA Today, but I can’t find it, where the guy talked about how the Kennedy family has gotten involved in all kinds of drug abuse and adultery scandals, but they act like Robert is a disgrace to the family, just cause he endorsed Trump?

Well, YEAH, guy. That’s just it. Do you know what it takes to embarrass the Kennedys?

I’m sure they wouldn’t appreciate a Kennedy endorsing any Republican, but there’s a qualitative difference between endorsing (say) someone in the Bush family and Trump. There are some Trumpniks who want to declare that the endorsement of RFK (and Gabbard) indicates that the Greedy Old Puritans are still a “big tent” party because they have the support of these very nominal Democrats, but in this case big tent just means tolerance to any crackpot theory or mental dysfunction, not just the ones Trump likes.

Kerry Kennedy, RFK’s sister, had said months before the open alignment to Trump, “I strongly condemn my brother’s deplorable and untruthful remarks last week about Covid being engineered for ethnic targeting,” Kerry Kennedy said at the time. “His statements do not represent what I believe or what Robert F. Kennedy Human Rights stand for, with our 50+-year track record of protecting rights and standing against racism and all forms of discrimination.” And then there’s the fact that RFK Jr. is just totally what-the-fuck even by modern Republican standards. In addition to his own drug abuse, diagnosed mental and physical problems and multiple admitted abuses of dead wild animals, the news recently requoted RFK’s own daughter going over another story of how her Dad used a chainsaw to sever the head of a beached whale when they were at Hyannis Port, then strapped the head to the family vehicle for the five-hour drive home, saying “every time we accelerated on the highway, whale juice would pour into the windows of the car” and that they “had plastic bags over our heads with mouth holes cut out, and people on the highway were giving us the finger, but that was just normal day-to-day stuff for us.”
But as Bill Maher said Friday, maybe RFK just has this weird attachment to decaying and bloated corpses. Which would also explain the endorsement of Trump.

And then there’s the big issue with the veteran community.

Trump, who is such a Macho Man that “Macho Man” is actually part of his campaign theme music (along with ‘YMCA’) apparently didn’t realize that saying the Congressional Medal of Honor isn’t as good as the Presidential Medal of Freedom “because everyone gets the Congressional Medal of Honor, [but] soldiers ‒ they’re either in very bad shape, because they’ve been hit so many times by bullets, or they’re dead” was not a good move for his reputation as a Real American Hero.

So Monday August 26, with the invitation (or pretext) by a family of the deceased, Trump and said family posed at the graves of servicemembers who died guarding the Kabul airport during America’s final evacuation of forces in 2021. Smiling with his shit-eating grin and his thumb up, the way he says “Happy Good Friday!” to commemorate the myth of Jesus dying in agony and harrowing Hades.

The reason this was a big deal is because apparently it’s against the law. The Army said in a statement, “Federal law prohibits political campaign or election-related activities within Army National Military Cemeteries, to include photographers, content creators or any other persons attending for purposes or in direct support of a partisan political candidate’s campaign.” The other issue being that when a cemetery official pointed this out, Trump’s “staff” decided to have an altercation. But Arlington National Cemetery also stated: “An ANC employee who attempted to ensure adherence to these rules was abruptly pushed aside […] the employee subsequently decided not to press charges. Therefore, the Army considers this matter closed.” So Trump got away with it.

Because of course he did. The Boss always wins. The Boss always gets his way. Laws don’t apply to the Boss. And if you got a problem with dat, we’re gonna make it real ugly for ya. Ya don’t want it to get ugly, DO ya, America?

Then there was the third issue this week, where Special Counsel Jack Smith had the Department of Justice reintroduce charges against Donald Trump regarding the January 6 insurrection with a superseding indictment.

Because as we know, the last decision of the Supreme Court’s last term was Trump vs. United States, in which the United States lost. In said decision, Chief Justice John Roberts unilaterally declared that the president can commit any crime he wants as long as he calls it an “official act.” It still raises the question of whether this applies to parts of Trump’s New York fraud coverup that he committed after getting elected, or whether it applies to Trump’s pressure campaign on a different official (Vice President Mike Pence) to throw the election result to him. And that’s because Trump, like Dobbs vs. Mississippi, was made up with no regard to precedent, let alone consequences, and like Dobbs is a piece of shit ruling that’s not worth the toilet paper it was wiped on, and ought to be overridden just like the Dred Scott ruling.

But this being the standard for now, Jack Smith rephrased his case to an untainted grand jury, this time changing various terms so as to refer to Donald Trump as an individual, rather than as the president, and referring to his January 6 speech to the mob as a campaign event – which you can seriously argue that it was, given that the whole point was that Trump was not conceding the election.

It is of course certain that if this case gets anywhere in the next few months and goes against Trump, his lawyers are once again going to climb the ladder to get Trump’s pet judges to save their boss from himself. They probably could, cause they’ve gone this far, but then again they’ve pushed their luck so far that President Biden actually started pushing Supreme Court reforms, including term limits, and Roberts probably doesn’t need to give Democrats any more ammunition, especially if Democrats win. And maybe Roberts ought to consider that he shouldn’t have decided that Presidents can do anything they want if right now Biden is President and Harris is in charge of certifying the Electoral result, and they are in charge of Washington DC security and can do all of that stuff that Trump wanted to do to stop a loss. Unless Roberts wants to step in and say “Wait, I meant only OUR guy can do that”, but that would give the game away, wouldn’t it?

I saw some self-described “libertarians” bitching on Facebook that Smith’s move is another case of the mean ol’ Democrats trying to eliminate any competition – although in other cases, this is a very real problem.

My reaction is: Grow up. Thanks to Trump’s various enablers, up to and including the Supreme Court, Smith’s case is never going to be decided in court before this election. If I were you, I’d be more worried about the sentencing in the already decided New York fraud case, which itself has been unnecessarily delayed. And even if your hero does get a prison term there, he can always appeal, and even if he went to prison, there is nothing stopping him from continuing to run for office. And if Trump wins his election, he can make Smith’s case go away permanently, and probably make Smith go away permanently too.

Because we should not forget the real reason Our Lord and Savior is making us all suffer for his sins:

TRUMP 2024: I’M TOO PRETTY FOR PRISON

The DNC 2024

Does anybody remember laughter?

– Robert Plant, The Song Remains The Same

It is a truism that a major party’s political convention immediately boosts its standing in the polls for the general election. That was not as much the case for the Democrats in 2020, because they were observing COVID quarantine, and even with Republicans conspicuously avoiding quarantine for their convention, the mood was down, and their clumsy deification of Viceroy Trump didn’t help. And believe it or not, they went even further in that direction this year, and given that Trump almost got shot to death just the weekend before, it almost worked. But then he nominated would-be populist Senator JD Vance (BR.-Ohio) as his running mate, and then everybody realized he had no appeal outside the Trump base, and maybe not even with them.

And then, in the wake of Joe Biden’s disastrous debate performance and Trump’s successful Jesus Christ Pose, President Biden actually agreed to do what people were telling him to do: Give up the campaign and switch endorsement to his running mate, Vice President Kamala Harris. And that gave the Democrats a kick, despite her lack of popularity and prominence up to then, because it was no longer a choice between two tired old white guys, either of whom might kick the bucket before 2028. And then, Harris chose as her running mate Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, who presents as a regular Midwestern guy much more successfully than JD Vance does, because unlike Vance, he IS a regular Midwestern guy. Not only that, he’s the guy who went on cable TV and casually described the Republicans as “weird”, and that’s somehow shifted the perception of them more than anything the Democrats have tried in over eight years.

And because of all that, whatever very slight momentum Trump/Vance might have had in the wake of their convention has completely evaporated, with Harris/Walz now leading in national polls and competitive in swing states that Biden was losing. And going into the Democratic National Convention, all the delegates that were previously won for the Biden/Harris campaign pledged themselves to Harris. So the question here is did this month’s convention give the Democrats the kick they needed to propel them to national victory in November?

Because to review, there is only ONE question that matters in the general election: Do you want Big Chief Ook-Ook Gorilla (formally known as Donald Trump) to be your absolute monarch, or do you want Trump to go to prison?

Those are the only choices, because Trump himself will allow no others. Because his own pride will not allow him to just peacefully retire like Hillary Clinton or George W. Bush. And because he has committed too many crimes, especially national security crimes, to be allowed to run free. And because he will not stop committing crimes, because he is a pathological criminal. It is patently obvious that Trump is running for president just to stay out of jail, and that means he has to be president for the rest of his life, term limits be damned. And because when the Supreme Court gave us Trump vs. United States, they enabled the President to commit any crime as an “official act” because they knew that if Donald Trump is back in office, he will not stop committing crimes. And when they used language that the president can act in ways ‘incompatible with the expressed or implied will of the Congress’, they are making it clear that the modern Right’s concept of government, Trump or no Trump, is explicitly at odds with the Constitution.

Stopping Trump is the ONLY thing that matters. Every other consideration, like, the fact that the cost of living is skyrocketing under Bidenomics and Kamala’s price controls are not going to help, is secondary. This is about whether we’re even going to HAVE an economy. This is about whether you’re even going to be alive. Or did you forget how many people died in 2020 from Trump Virus? ™

Night 1

It’s hard to say if there was an organizing theme to each night, the way the RNC was organized around one night being “Make America Safe Again” and another night being “Make America Monochromatic Christian Again” or whatever. In this case the DNC seemed to be organized simply around its keynote speakers for each night. It would have been Joe Biden concluding the convention with his acceptance speech, but of course that decision was made. So they gave him the keynote speech of the night, basically to confirm that he IS still the president of the United States and official leader of the Party – but things are moving on.

I wanted to listen to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’ speech, but I couldn’t get through it. Actually, from what I’ve read of AOC and seen of her interviews, she’s one of the sharpest people in politics right now, but her voice creates a certain amount of dissonance. Basically she sounds like one of those squeaky Gnomes from World of Warcraft. Really, imagine her saying “You have a great day now!”

During the evening, Michigan State Senator Mallory McMorrow brought out a gigantic prop, which was an oversized copy of the 900-page Project 2025 “Mandate for Leadership” document drawn up by conservatives. In fact, the DNC brought this up a lot. In fact, they even had Kenan Thompson from Saturday Night Live come on with the book Wednesday and interviewing people on video call to ask if they knew about some of its provisions, like eliminating civil protections for LGBTQ people. In fact, the DNC did a lot more to highlight the prominence of the Project 2025 mandate in their event than the RNC did the month before. Why is that, anyway?

They had several union guys come on to testify that Trump is a “scab” (which he is) and would be bad for labor, as anybody who heard his conference with Elon Musk could confirm. Most of the union guys who spoke were all wearing T-Shirts to the convention. This is a trend I can get behind.

However they also had a brief surprise moment where Kamala Harris made an appearance on the convention floor to give a brief speech. Given how this resembles Trump’s need to monopolize his own conventions, this is a trend I cannot get behind.

The other big event other than Biden himself was the speech from multi-accomplished former Trump opponent Hillary Clinton. Which, given the circumstances, was very much an “I told you so” thing, even if she was fairly gracious in saying that this was Harris’ moment to break the glass ceiling. Clinton still comes off as Pantsuit Palpatine to me, but it is testimony to Trump’s cosmic scale of evil and incompetence that she seems that much better a choice in retrospect.

At the end of all this, they had Joe Biden’s family members (not Hunter) come on to give remarks, and then President Biden come on for his bowing out speech. And the massive crowd held it up with cheers like “Thank You Joe!” Eventually, he proceeded, and you could see why it’s been decided that Joe is too old for politics, like the fact that he couldn’t look at the right camera most of the time. But his speech was at least as good as the last State of the Union, and when he recited the poem ending, “America, I gave my best to you!” that was a truly great moment.

Night 2

The main event in what passes for actual business in a major party convention is the roll call of the various states and territories, announcing their delegates and formally nominating the president and vice president. That was Tuesday. It is of course a total formality (like the entire national convention) when everything is decided in advance, but parties still keep this tradition because it allows people to come up and promote their state with speeches like, “Mr. Secretary, from the great State of Nevada, home of Reno, the biggest small town in the world, home of the Yucca Mountain nuclear waste suppository, and home of Las Vegas, the only city in the world where the hookers give out discount coupons.”

But this time, in addition to the secretary announcing the roll call, the DNC had an innovation: A DJ, who was dressed in a shiny blue suit and giant sunglasses like a gay Paul Shaffer. If that isn’t redundant. And this meant that each state got its own theme music, like Florida getting Tom Petty’s “Won’t Back Down”, Idaho getting the B-52s’ “Your Own Private Idaho” and of course, Nevada getting the Killers’ “Mr. Brightside.” The DJ party also set the stage for the surprise appearance of Lil’ Jon introducing the delegation for Georgia. The Democratic National Convention: Turn Down For WHUT?

The headline speakers of the night were both Michelle and Barack Obama, very appropriately, because while they are now old enough to be among the party elders with Biden and the Clintons, they remain as effective as ever on the podium. So after an emotive, call-and-response speech by Michelle, she introduced Barack, and by that point, the crowd were in his words “fired up” and “ready to go.” And not only did Barack Obama, like Biden, give an effective testimonial on the values and accomplishments of the Democratic Party, he peppered the speech with remarks (and at least one visual gag) belittling Trump. To me, Obama’s money quote was “We do not need four more years of bumbling, and bluster, and chaos, we have seen that movie before, and we know the sequel is usually worse.”

Which kinda brings up the question of what we would call Trump’s second term in office.

Trump 2: Electric Boogaloo

Trump II: The Wrath of the Con

Trump: The Secret of the Ooze

Abbott & Costello Meet Trump/Vance

Night 3

This night was the set up for Tim Walz to accept the Vice Presidential nomination. And the main attraction other than Walz himself was former President Bill Clinton, who is like Obama considered one of the great orators of the Democrats. Well, he was. Sorry, but good ol’ Bill’s voice is almost as shot as Robert Kennedy Jr’s, even if he’s clearly more on the ball than either Biden or Trump. Although I did like the part where he mentioned that Harris’ career in customer service made her the only presidential candidate who’s been in McDonald’s more than he has.

At least most of the speeches Wednesday were fairly brief, compared to Night 1. These included the aforementioned Thompson, Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, Andy Kim, New Jersey Congressman and Senate candidate most famous for volunteering to clean up the broken glass in the Capitol after the January 6 insurrection, and former Mike Pence staffer Olivia Troye. Along with the numerous other celebrities like Stevie Wonder who appeared, you had a central speech by Chicago’s own Oprah Winfrey, and while she pointed out that she was an independent, she made it very clear who she was voting for. In big, booming PRO-NOUN-Ci-A-TIOOONNS. Basically, Oprah was there to BE Oprah, and she did a very good job of that.

Before they had Tim Walz on, they brought on the players from the Mankato West High School football team where he’d served as an assistant coach, helping win the state championship in 1999.

Walz continues to come across as more approachable than most people in politics, including both Biden and Harris, let alone any of the Republicans. And in his speech, he continued to lean into his background, invoking his players as he gave a literal pep talk, saying that the Democrats are in the last play of the fourth quarter, down by a field goal, but they’ve got the ball. Like most of this convention, his speech did what it had to do.

To me, the two things that sold Tim Walz to me at least as much as his speech were: one, his son openly going crazy to see his Dad accept the nomination, and two, after the event, the Minnesota delegation stayed around for several minutes to wave giant cardboard Tim Walz heads, which I believe is a They Might Be Giants reference.

Night 4

And then of course we had the night for Kamala Harris. And there weren’t quite as many big names and they didn’t speak for quite as long. You had Senators Bob Casey and then Elizabeth Warren. The kind of person who would raise a cheer for the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. Al Sharpton came on with another one of the great visuals of the week, introducing four of “the Exonerated Five”, who had been arrested on suspicion of a violent rape in New York in 1989, at which point the media-seeking Donald Trump took out full page newspaper ads demanding the death penalty. The men were at one point convicted but then released years later when DNA evidence traced the act to a completely different man. But Trump has never apologized for his action, because reasons.

As cap off to the continuing parade of Republicans coming to the DNC to commit heresy against Our Lord and Savior, we had former Republican Congressman – from Illinois – Adam Kinziger come on. He said, “You never thought you’d see me here, did you?” And he told his fellow Republicans, “The Democrats are as patriotic as us.” (At which point the crowd chanted ‘U-S-A!’) And he made the direct point: The Republican Party is no longer conservative. It is a party in service to “a small man pretending to be big … a perpetrator pretending to be a victim.” There is a distinction between conservative and Republican because “Donald Trump has suffocated the soul of the Republican Party.” And he mentioned Ukraine and foreign policy, which a lot of observers have noted were not big subjects in the previous three days. And he said, “Democracy knows no party.” Well, the Constitution doesn’t, anyway.

We had another visual with Marine and Arizona Senate candidate Ruben Gallego appearing with a bunch of other veterans – including disabled Senator Tammy Duckworth – to present a contrast with Trump, who has praised our enemies and called veterans “suckers.” And after a bunch of other brief speeches, and testimonials on gun violence, and celebrity appearances, including Pink, they had Harris come on around 9:40 Central Time. And while I am not a big fan of her slow, almost preachy delivery, she hit all the right points.

She pointed out that not only is she now in a blended family (with Doug Emhoff and his children) but was raised by a single mom after her dad left and was raised partially with the help of a lot of other people who were not blood relatives. And that’s a situation a lot of Americans can relate to.

Harris made her case that in her California career, prior to becoming a US Senator, she was a prosecutor, and “for my entire career, I have had only one client, The People.” And this eventually placed her in contrast to Trump, whose only client has been himself.

She pointed out that Trump in the first half of his term did try to get rid of the Affordable Care Act, an Obama policy that was actually popular. She promised a middle-class tax cut (we’ll see) and she pointed out that Trump’s plan for a broad based tariff on goods is a “Trump Tax” that would pass down to all consumers. (Would that Democrats would admit that ALL taxes on production get passed down to the consumer. But it’s not like the Trump Republican Party is in position to argue that.)

She pointed out that in this country, pregnant women have developed sepsis and conditions that will prevent them from ever being able to give birth again, specifically because their states no longer allow abortion, which is a direct result of Dobbs vs. Mississippi, the Supreme Court decision that Trump frequently brags would not have been possible without his Court appointments. She also says that Trump is planning on a national abortion ban and other agendas like ending the Department of Education – which Trump has not explicitly endorsed, but many of his political backers have.

Harris said: “And let me be clear: After decades in law enforcement, I know the importance of safety and security, especially at our border. Last year, Joe and I brought together Democrats and conservative Republicans to write the strongest border bill in decades. The Border Patrol endorsed it. But Donald Trump believes a border deal would hurt his campaign. So he ordered his allies in Congress to kill the deal. Well, I refuse to play politics with our security, and here is my pledge to you: As President, I will bring back the bipartisan border security bill that he killed, and I will sign it into law.”

She pointed out that while she, and Biden, have sought to preserve America’s strength and alliances abroad, “Trump, on the other hand, threatened to abandon NATO. He encouraged Putin to invade our allies. Said Russia could ‘do whatever the hell they want.” She acknowledged the rights of both Israel and the Palestinians in Gaza.

She said, “Our opponents in this race are out there every day denigrating America, talking about how terrible everything is. Well, my mother had another lesson she used to teach: Never let anyone tell you who you are; you show them who you are.” She wound up saying “It is now our turn to do what generations before us have done, guided by optimism and faith: to fight for this country we love, to fight for the ideals we cherish, and to uphold the awesome responsibility that comes with the greatest privilege on Earth—the privilege and pride of being an American. So, let’s get out there. Let’s fight for it. Let’s get out there. Let’s vote for it. And together, let us write the next great chapter in the most extraordinary story ever told.”

It worked.

Conclusions

You may have noticed that I generally don’t have a high impression of Democrats. I am not a liberal. I vote Democrat only to stop Republicans. But that’s okay, I don’t need to have a high impression of Democrats. The problem is my impression of the American voter is even lower. After all, Trump DID win once, and 2020 was a lot closer than it ought to have been, with Republicans winning a lot of downballot races and then taking back the House in 2022. If things are as close as they were in 2000, we will get another Bush vs. Gore, and this Supreme Court is that much more nakedly biased towards Republicans than that Court was. If it doesn’t go there, Republicans can still try to move a contested Electoral College result to the House of Representatives, where according to Constitutional rules the votes are by state delegation, meaning Republicans will have a majority.

The only way to prevent that is actually to do what Biden did: win enough states by wide enough margins that the Trumpniks can’t whine and bitch and steal the election result in all of them. And even then, Trump tried to take the government by force, though I assume that will be harder now that Biden-Harris are running Washington and not Trump.

So if it seems like my analysis of these speeches is on the optics and how all of this is perceived, it’s because that’s the whole point. It all comes down to perceptions. For better or worse, a Harris Administration is not really going to have different policies than the Biden Administration. So what changed, and why the change? Because everyone thought that Biden was lost and confused at the Trump debate, and he probably was, but that could be because he was actually trying to make sense of Trump’s continual Gish Gallop instead of staying on message. This whole change is about perception. The idea that the implementation of policy is going to be different under a young, female Kamala Harris as opposed to a visibly aged representative of last century’s career politicians.

And in the sense of optics, I return to one of those quotes from Harris’ speech: “Never let anyone tell you who you are; you show them who you are.” Because that’s how a senile career criminal like Trump could smear Biden as crooked and senile, and do it so well that people are actually blaming him for everything bad that happened in his term, including Roe vs. Wade getting overturned. The fact that Harris was under the radar for most of Biden’s term actually turns out to be an advantage here, because Trump was so invested in branding Biden and forcing him to play his game that he never considered Harris and now she has the opportunity to set the agenda, and she has.

In that regard, it’s that much more remarkable that the DNC went as smoothly as it did given that they basically had to redo the whole thing from scratch after primary season while making sure that the delegates already pledged to Biden moved over to Harris. The professional, dramatic presentation with lots and lots of celebrities indicates that the kind of people who know how to put on a show were very helpful in regard to arranging things. You could say this is just another example of liberal Hollywood and liberal musicians showing their bias for the Democrats. Or, you could say this is the media doing penance for foisting Donald Trump on us in the first place by taking a multiple-bankrupt investor and presenting him as an actual billionaire through the premise of “reality TV”, two words that do not belong in the same galaxy, let alone the same concept.

As of the weekend, most of the polls state by state are still within the margin of error, and RFK Jr. has decided to endorse Trump. Not like the Fauci-engineered-mind-control-nanobots-in-the-vaccine-for-George-Soros crowd were going to be voting for Harris anyway. But every vote matters. If Harris is going to have a chance to stop Trump, she needs to keep the initiative and keep Trump on the defensive. Fortunately this Democratic National Convention shows that she and her team know how to organize an agenda, and that is good news for the coming stretch, and hopefully for a future Harris Administration.