Another Such Victory And We Are Lost

Some of you may already be familiar with the term “Pyrrhic victory,” but in case you’re not: In the days of Antiquity, when the Roman Republic was starting to take over the Italian peninsula, the Italian city of Tarentum (modern Taranto) recruited Pyrrhus, a king of western Greece, to help them resist the Romans. In the Pyrrhic War (280-275 BC) Pyrrhus’ skills as a general led him to victories over the Romans, but the losses were costly. And while his mercenaries were in limited supply, the Romans had a vastly greater manpower reserve. Eventually, at the Battle of Asculum, Pyrrhus realized that. When one of his people told him they had won the day, Pyrrhus looked at the battlefield and said words to the effect of “another such victory and we are lost.”

Well, here we are.

We now have probably the third-worst possible result of Election 2020: The worst, of course, would be a clear Trump victory that would also secure the Senate. Although no one had expected Democrats to lose the House, at least until this week. Either way, Trump and Mitch (the Bitch) McConnell would have gotten to do whatever they wanted and Nancy Pelosi would be just as powerless to stop them as she is now.

The second worst result would have been if the Democrats’ famous “blue wave” had taken the Senate and expanded the House lead but the Electoral College still secured the presidency for Trump. Then Trump would still retain his toxic influence over the government and the culture, but then Pelosi and Chuck Schumer would be able to hem him in and Mitch wouldn’t be able to protect him. Not only that, Trump would still get the blame for every rotten thing in the government.

What we have coming up is the third worst possible result where the “blue wave” smacked up against the reality of Republican base support, just as it did in 2018 Senate races, but Joe Biden still gets the Electoral College. He’s still got to deal with McConnell, and he’s not going to get much if anything done through the Senate. And all the while, in his next two years, Republicans will be doing their damndest to keep this country bass-ackward and then blame Biden as the figurehead of the Democrats, and quite likely take back the House in the 2022 midterms as a result. And that will set up a humongous effort for Republicans to take back the whole thing in 2024.

And while Trump’s toxic influence would still be removed from institutional authority, unless he’s immediately indicted and effectively prosecuted by the State of New York, he will run again and quite likely win. And if he can’t, you know Donald Trump Jr. is waiting in the wings to wave the bloody shirt for dear old Dad. And I’ve seen Don. He’s not senile, he’s slightly less idiotic than his Dad, and he’s actually a decent public speaker.

You know why I say Democrats are the people who couldn’t get laid in a whorehouse? This is why.

Let me first go over the good news: The Biden plan DID work.

It was expected that with the coronavirus, it would be harder to vote in person (almost as if Trump let the virus run wild during an election year so it’d be harder to vote against him), and it was expected that as a result, Democrats would have to concentrate on mail-in voting while Trump implicitly and explicitly told his people to vote in person, even though many affluent Republicans (like Trump himself) had normally voted by mail for convenience. This set up a “red mirage” that caused Election Night to show a huge lead for Trump in critical states like Pennsylvania. But since mail-in voting was a thing even before coronavirus, Trump couldn’t declare that mail-in ballots were “cheating” and therefore couldn’t stop them from coming in. And much to his apparent surprise, most of them weren’t for Trump. And that’s how Biden won Pennsylvania, created run-offs in Georgia, and maintained his lead in Arizona and Nevada.

In short, Trump played himself.

The plan to rely on changing demographics to pull away red states ultimately did not work in Florida, Texas or North Carolina. But it is sorta working in Georgia, and it definitely worked in Arizona.

This doesn’t change the fact that it has not yet worked for Florida, Texas and North Carolina, and it may not work as the Democrats expect it to, partially because a lot of brown and black people “of color” do not assume themselves to be Democrats just because, while a lot of white people DO assume themselves to be Republicans just because.

A libertarian (and black) Facebook friend turned me on to this article by Umair Haque: “America’s Problem is That White People Want It to Be a Failed State“. Example quote: “White Americans are the rich world’s most hostile, ignorant, violent, cruel, and selfish social group — by a very long way. “Voting conservative” after all doesn’t mean nearly the same thing in Europe or Canada. There, even conservative parties agree on the basics — people should have healthcare, education, retirement, that the only point of the public purse isn’t endless war and death machines. Conservatism in America is off the charts, and so “voting” that way carries a very different meaning. It means that White Americans are the rich world’s most regressive, ignorant, and self-destructive political bloc — by such a long way that they might as well not be in the rich world at all.

I don’t mean any of that as an insult, by the way. I mean it objectively, literally, factually. You’d think that by now White Americans would have figured out that voting against their own standards of living ever rising just because it meant black and brown people would have public goods too was…imbecilic. Especially watching Europe and Canada rise and prosper. They’ve had more than half a century to figure that out. But they still haven’t. What else do you call the inability to learn from the world and history but…ignorance?”

Now, Haque is a brilliant writer, but I often find him not only anti-American but overly despairing. But again, he is a brilliant writer. And as much as I wanted to disagree with the premise, the harder and harder it was to refute. How can I disagree with it when we’ve got almost a quarter million dead already from Trump Virus because he personally has told so many people that a $3 mask is possessed by evil spirits?

How can I disagree with it when at least three times in the last two weeks of the campaign, Trump bussed in supporters to watch him talk in front of Air Force One and then didn’t pay for the buses to take them back to their cars, literally leaving them out in the cold? Those people turned around AND VOTED FOR TRUMP!

These are the people who went out after the election to parrot the line “STOP THE COUNT” in Arizona, where Trump needed to count all the votes to still have a chance!

It’s not just a case of not wanting black and brown people to have public goods. Maybe it was once, but it’s gotten worse than that. These people have internalized their own bass-ackwardness to the point that they want to inflict it on the rest of the country, if not the world. Like I said in the first campaign: “When these people reject any argument against Trump, what some of them are saying, consciously or not, is, “My life sucks, and it will never get any better. I am too old and too poor to retrain for a decent-paying job, assuming there are any left in my town. And the only power I still have is the chance to force everyone else to live in the existential hellhole that I am now trapped in for the rest of my life.”

The fact that some Americans are trapped in an existential hellhole because of deliberate political strategies, some of which they voted for, isn’t the point anymore. Because now that’s their identity. And identity is everything.

It doesn’t matter that both Biden and Obama are both a lot closer to Eisenhower or even Nixon Republicans than anybody in the Republican Party today, all “conservatives” care about is stopping the guy who they’re told is a socialist.

“What does ‘socialist’ mean to you?”
Someone who wants to control our economy! Someone who wants to control our schools! Someone who wants to take our guns! Someone who praises Communist dictators! Someone who only wants THEIR party controlling things! Someone who says that anybody who disagrees with him ought to be jailed or beaten up!”

“Oh, so like Trump?”

“Yes! Wh- NO!”

“Socialism” isn’t the point here. Geez Louise, the first retirement system in Germany was created by Bismarck. The point is that you’re acting on tribalism and negative partisanship, and your favorite demagogue knows which buttons to push to make you act like good little robots, and you end up endorsing all the things you say you oppose, because all he had to do was switch the labels.

This is illustrated by a pretty good article by Alex Pareene in The New Republic, where it’s pointed out that in some respects it doesn’t really matter if Joe Biden is too left-wing for the country or not left-wing enough for “progressives.” “Huge percentages of voters support government-sponsored health care, more state intervention in the economy, and more government support for clean energy. We have, of course, just learned some important lessons about the limitations of public opinion polling, but these majorities are too large to be completely dismissed as mere polling errors. That Democrats cannot translate robust support for their central policies into consistent electoral victories suggests that something is amiss in the democratic accountability feedback loop. It is of course true that on many of these issues, like health care, the Democratic Party firmly rejected the left’s popular proposals in favor of a confusing and diluted alternative. That is what Democrats nearly always do. Perhaps that is what the electorate punishes them for. But that same electorate also regularly elects Republicans, who are very vocally opposed to all of those fine, popular ideas.”

The author goes on: “Faced with this dilemma, some commentators have insisted that Democrats just need to shut up about everything else in their great big platform and talk solely of dollars and cents. There is a liberal version of this argument, articulated by people like Mark Lilla: that Democrats should abandon their commitment to “identity” issues. And there is a left-wing version of this argument (caricatured by its opponents as “class reductionism”): that leftist politicians should focus on material concerns to the exclusion of all else.

“But what if the argument itself is moot? What if it barely matters what Democrats “talk about” or “campaign on”? What if this is less a problem of political messaging or positioning than of political education, information access, and ubiquitous propaganda? In other words, if the Democrats actively try to abandon “identity issues,” will anyone in this political environment actually stop associating them with “identity issues”? If they ran a strictly class-focused campaign, how many marginal voters would hear their messaging and believe it?

“It seems possible, in other words, that voters no longer believe that the Democratic Party represents a coalition that includes the working class, and that even if the party puts forward Democratic candidates who support pro-worker policy, it simply will not suffice to reach or convince voters.

“This is not uncharted territory. Writing, in 1979, about the United Kingdom’s “swing to the Right,” the sociologist Stuart Hall argued that it could be explained (in part) by the fact that, once in power, social democratic parties became parties of the state, rather than parties of labor, as the state intervened to put the “national interest” above the “class struggle,” disciplining labor on behalf of the markets.

“In the absence of any fuller mobilization of democratic initiatives,” he wrote, “the state is increasingly encountered and experienced by ordinary working people as, indeed, not a beneficiary but a powerful, bureaucratic imposition. And this ‘experience’ is not misguided since, in its effective operations with respect to the popular classes, the state is less and less present as a welfare institution and more and more present as the state of ‘state monopoly capital.’”

“The Democratic Party, unlike most of its left-of-center brethren in the developed world, has never been a true labor party, but it seems plausible that many voters view it as a party representing a state that never helps them, even as they, personally, practically beg for a large and powerful state that would step in to improve their lives.

“The question Democrats now face is whether saying they will empower the state to improve people’s lives will actually work on anyone.”

This goes to a point that I’ve frequently made. One of the reasons that Republicans can succeed with an apparently counterintuitive strategy to not broaden their base is that this means they only have to appeal to a certain group of people, whereas the Democrats have to simultaneously be the party of woke socialists and the default NotRepublican party for everybody else, including a lot of us who might be Republican if they hadn’t gone insane. In that environment, branding, negative partisanship and team identity are everything. And just as left-wing “parties of labor” eventually become “parties of the state” when they become successful, the formerly Hamiltonian Republican Party switched to a Jeffersonian, anti-Big Government stance with Democratic hegemony, and in their crusade against the other party, they’ve become against any government initiative at all, even as they cling to the perks of government all the more desperately.

And yet it works on precisely the biggest victims of government neglect, precisely because the party that identifies with government is in turn identified with all the areas in which Big Government has failed “flyover country”, the inner cities and everywhere else. And in turn, the party that is conspicuously anti-government and is very transparent about seizing power only to raid the community piggy bank still gets support because at this point, the victims of government expect to get screwed, they just want THEIR team to be the ones screwing them.

It’s a lot like Russia, which is of course one of Trumpworld’s main cultural role models.

Which is where you have the mainstream Democrats like Congresswoman Abigail Spanberger (D.-Va) saying “don’t say socialism ever again” and socialist Democrats like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez saying “I’ve been begging the party to let me help them for two years. That’s also the damn thing of it. I’ve been trying to help. Before the election, I offered to help every single swing district Democrat with their operation. And every single one of them, but five, refused my help. And all five of the vulnerable or swing district people that I helped secured victory or are on a path to secure victory. And every single one that rejected my help is losing. And now they’re blaming us for their loss” and – bear with me here – they’re BOTH right.

Remember my axiom: “It is possible for two different things to be true at the same time.”

AOC also said in her New York Times interview: “I think it’s going to be really important how the party deals with this (loss of House races) internally, and whether the party is going to be honest about doing a real post-mortem and actually digging into why they lost. Because before we even had any data yet in a lot of these races, there was already finger-pointing that this was progressives’ fault and that this was the fault of the Movement for Black Lives.

“I’ve already started looking into the actual functioning of these campaigns. And the thing is, I’ve been unseating Democrats for two years. I have been defeating Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee-run campaigns for two years. That’s how I got to Congress. That’s how we elected Ayanna Pressley. That’s how Jamaal Bowman won. That’s how Cori Bush won. And so we know about extreme vulnerabilities in how Democrats run campaigns. … And I’ve looked through a lot of these campaigns that lost, and the fact of the matter is if you’re not spending $200,000 on Facebook with fund-raising, persuasion, volunteer recruitment, get-out-the-vote the week before the election, you are not firing on all cylinders. And not a single one of these campaigns were firing on all cylinders.”

The reporter asked her, “So what are you saying: Investment in digital advertising and canvassing are a greater reason moderate Democrats lost than any progressive policy? ” Ocasio-Cortez responded: “These folks are pointing toward Republican messaging that they feel killed them, right? But why were you so vulnerable to that attack?

“If you’re not door-knocking, if you’re not on the internet, if your main points of reliance are TV and mail, then you’re not running a campaign on all cylinders. I just don’t see how anyone could be making ideological claims when they didn’t run a full-fledged campaign.

“Our party isn’t even online, not in a real way that exhibits competence. And so, yeah, they were vulnerable to these messages, because they weren’t even on the mediums where these messages were most potent. Sure, you can point to the message, but they were also sitting ducks. They were sitting ducks.

“There’s a reason Barack Obama built an entire national campaign apparatus outside of the Democratic National Committee. And there’s a reason that when he didn’t activate or continue that, we lost House majorities. Because the party — in and of itself — does not have the core competencies, and no amount of money is going to fix that.”

The moderate centrists are right in saying that if the Democrats are tied to socialism, they’re doomed. The socialists like AOC are right in that ‘socialism’ isn’t even the fucking point. Her core question: “These folks are pointing toward Republican messaging that they feel killed them, right? But why were you so vulnerable to that attack?”
Because Democrats, for some silly reason, still focus on policies, and Republicans focus on branding. And if there’s one thing that Trump is genuinely good at, it’s branding.
We used to think that nobody in America could go along with fascist sympathizers, “white nationalists” and the rest of the human fungi, but look at us now. All they had to do was have the right branding. All that took was the same skill set it took to convince people that a six-time bankrupt career swindler was a financial and administrative genius who “tells it like it is” cause he played a billionaire on NBC.

Whereas a lot of “radical socialist” ideas like a $15 minimum wage have support in a lot of states, including Florida, where Democrats lost the presidential election. Just as “radical” ideas like gay marriage have widespread support now, and (for the moment) legal status, just as interracial marriage used to be some abominable Communist plot to corrupt our pure Christian bloodlines. Mind, those things are still horrible Communist plots where some people are concerned, but they’re no longer literally unthinkable.

The alternative-to-being-right doesn’t actually CALL itself fascist, of course. They wrap themselves in “traditional values”, “making America great again” and all the other stuff that no one should object to. The Left still hasn’t figured out how to make what they want synonymous with what the country as a whole wants, in the way that Reagan or even Trump did.

And I think a large part of that is that the left spectrum, especially the institutionalists who still run the Democratic Party, have no better definition of “socialism” than the libertarians have of “libertarianism.”

And just as (L)ibertarians have not done enough to dispel the public perception of libertarianism as “Fuck You, I’ve Got Mine” and the “conservatives” are actually promoting a perception of their politics as making everyone else suffer for the sake of their greed and sadism, leftists haven’t figured out that (especially in this duopoly system where all politics has to be filtered through mainstream parties), they can’t sell “socialism” as though it meant the same thing to the rest of the country that it seems to mean to them. I can go on Facebook until I’m figuratively blue in the face and tell people that libertarianism is not a conservative plot to turn the country into serfs and kill Roe vs. Wade so that women will be forced to give birth so that Charles Koch can go to the maternity wards and eat the babies, but when a lot of the people I’m debating are invested in promoting that assertion, I’m going uphill. But those people don’t understand that the rest of the country has come to think of “socialism” as synonymous with Leninism, and when they try to define it as a social democratic movement (which incidentally is NOT socialism, in that leftist parties in the EU don’t intend to destroy the capitalist system that they need to finance their public funding), they’re going uphill versus the rest of the country. It certainly doesn’t help that a lot of these guys (like Bernie Sanders) DO praise Communist dictators and DO want to take our guns. Not to mention that, again, Democrats seem at odds themselves as to what they really mean by these terms. And if you haven’t defined your terms, the enemy will define them for you.

Now, am I saying that branding is all there is? That Americans, even ones with brains, don’t engage with political issues beyond the surface and only make political decisions in shorthand? That you can get some of them to eagerly devour wet camel shit if you’ve convinced them that that is consistent with their existing programming?

Well, I’M not saying that, I’m saying that’s what the election results are telling me. How else could Trump and his party have gotten as many votes as they did when people knew that a Trump victory would mean rewarding the government that allowed coronavirus to spread, and would continue a policy that would mean no progress and no national policy on the virus, causing continued death and the continued retardation of our economic recovery as a direct result?

Democrats from FDR on did take ideas that their opponents called radical socialism and they did make them part of mainstream American thinking. It’s not impossible. It’s just not possible with the current mindset. What that party needs is someone who can take supposedly radical ideas that are in fact being entertained by voters and make them acceptable to the country at large.

Which is why in retrospect Joe Biden, the old-school guy who is accommodating the New Left (or being used by it, depending on your viewpoint) really was the best candidate the Democrats could’ve had this year. I think he is to the Democrats what Tom Brady is to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Way past his prime, and his team really doesn’t have what it takes to get where they ultimately want to go, but they’re still a lot better off with him than they were four years ago.

The scare among the Trumpnik cult is that Biden is just a tool or a stalking horse for the radicals and that they needed Republicans to act as a counter to that, blanking out the point that Trump, the alleged outsider, was the stalking horse for radical anti-democrats and reactionaries to sell something that could not be sold otherwise. There was a Markos Moulitsas/Daily Kos article on Monday: “There’s nothing “shy” about these people or their support for Trump, yet pollsters aren’t catching them. They turn out for Trump, but they didn’t turn out for Republicans in 2017, 2018, or 2019. Remember, last year Democrats picked up governorships in the blood-red states of Louisiana and Kentucky. … (Yet Republicans stormed back this year) because Trump was at the top of the ballot. So again, who are these people who only vote for Trump, otherwise ignore the Republican Party (despite Trump’s pleading), and don’t talk to pollsters? The hidden deplorables aren’t Republican. They aren’t even conservative. They’re apolitical, otherwise ignoring politics, because their lives legitimately suck.”

Which is exactly what I’m saying. The “Trump voter” isn’t necessarily a Republican voter. The reason polls turned out so well for Democrats in 2018 and the Kentucky election and turned out so badly this time was that the Trump voters didn’t turn out then and did turn out this time. Even when they have brains, they don’t engage with issues except on the surface, and even if they are in the abstract against corruption and two-party shenanigans and for ‘progressive’ ideas, they end up endorsing the most corrupt and regressive candidate cause they’ve bought into his spiel.

By the same token, a lot of the left spectrum who “shoulda” turned out for Hillary Clinton last time and didn’t, did turn out this time for Biden, just as they turned out for Obama, because each of these people is a symbol of what their parties represent, and people preferred Trump to the Democrat last time (despite her superior record and policies) because she represented something negative, and people voted in Biden over Trump this time, because Trump’s negatives increased and Biden represented more positives than negatives.

Remember, however much liberals whine about how un-democratic the Electoral College is, it IS the only federal election in which every voter in the country has a say. Every other election race is per House district, or per state. It’s just that the Electoral College filters results state-by-state instead of as a direct national popularity poll. So as you look state-by-state, a lot of voters decided they preferred their Republican Senator or didn’t want their Democratic Representative. But when you look at the Electoral College, when you combine the 100 Electors assigned for the Senate to all the votes for House districts, you get a national consensus where Joe Biden, like Trump in 2016, got at least 306 Electors because the high-Elector states went for Biden, including Arizona and Georgia, which could have gone either way.

It’s almost as if the public at large can’t stand either party and didn’t want either one of them to win, even knowing that one of them was going to win the White House.

So: Woke socialism is NOT popular. Being anti-Trump just for the sake of being anti-Trump is not popular. But neither is Trump ultimately that popular. Yet politics aside, we need to protect the Constitution and human rights. And there does seem to be some grass-roots sentiment for reducing government control over our personal choices, including the right to marry.

Hey- anybody know of a non-leftist political party that believes in liberty and human rights?

You’re Fired

So, apparently the election was called for Joe Biden. I say “apparently” because it’s 2020, and you never know.

There will be another time to go over how bad things are for the Democrats. And I will. But for now, let us reflect on exactly how deeply, deeply Trump has LOST.

Indeed, while Trump got more votes than ever before, Joe Biden got more votes than even Obama. And that underscores the point that however badly the Democrats got shellacked in downballot races they “shoulda” won, the fact that Trump still lost as clearly and decisively as he did indicates that Trump might actually have under-performed the rest of his Party.

If nothing else, when the entire Goddamn world celebrates your loss of an election like it was the last scene in Return of the Jedi Special Edition, you really need to take stock of how much people fucking hate you.

And yet, our Boy King still went out a couple days after Election Day to say, “If you count only the LEGAL votes, I won easily.” He’s become less and less prone to be on camera since then and yet more and more prone to whine on Twitter. “Pennsylvania, they’re busin’ in ILLEGALS from Ethiopia, or Somalia, or wherever Ihlan Omar’s from! It’s not Election Day anymore! You can’t count votes after Election Day! That’s ILLEGAL! MOMMY! They’re pickin’ on me! It’s vewy UNFAIH!! Why’re they still countin’ votes?? You can’t just say the guy who got more votes won a state! Whaddya think this is, a DEMOCWACY?!? They’re tryin’ to STEAL the ewection fwom me! This ewection is WIGGED!!

“Wigged, I’m tellin’ ya! WIGGED!!!”

Somebody on Quora had the stones to ask, after the Democratic down-ballot humiliation and Trump’s apparent victory Tuesday, whether the media “were finally going to start telling the truth.” And then Trump had his little temper tantrum on Thursday, which MSDNC covered only briefly and which various news organizations refused to directly quote. CNN did play it in its entirely, but it was immediately ridiculed by various anchors, most famously Anderson Cooper, who said, “That is the president of the United States. That is the most powerful person in the world, and we see him like an obese turtle on his back flailing in the hot sun, realizing his time is over, but he just hasn’t accepted it and he wants to take everybody down with him, including this country.”

That IS the media finally telling the truth, or at least giving an honest opinion. The lie was when various media shills gave Trump free media and uncritical exposure that they never would have given Jill Stein or Gary Johnson, and after they helped get him elected by treating him as a serious politician, they continued to lie by giving him the decorum expected of a president, as though he were a rational adult and not a babbling ape-boy screaming to the Moon that he is the Lord of All Creation. And once there was even the possibility that that would no longer be the case anymore, they no longer felt the need to pretend, and there was no point in covering a press conference that was less a genuine news event and more of a psychotic break captured on television.

“I believe that what Gus is trying to tell you, Mr. President, is that you can suck it.”

Not to say that Trump won’t try to throw out every roadblock, but the longer he insists on delaying the obvious, the less he will look like George W. Bush in 2000 and more like Gore-Lieberman 2000. aka “Sore-Loserman 2000.” And not to say that Trump won’t pull every nasty little trick in the book, like getting his pet state legislatures to draft a whole set of partisan electors for him and then have his handpicked Supreme Court tell us it’s all as kosher as bacon-wrapped shrimp, but the more clearly and repeatedly the public makes clear to him how happy we are even to have the chance to be RID of him, the more he and his goons will fear the clear will of the majority. To defy that, even with the Supreme Court, is to delegitimize the entire government, and will require relying on the military to maintain power, which is not such a good bet, especially now that they know what Trump thinks of them.

Plus which, the real reason I think that’s not gonna happen is because Trump is the laziest fucking slug on Earth to be mislabeled Homo sapiens. To go against a wave of public opinion that is now turning into a tsunami would require Trump to keep martial law up all the time. It would require him to be on guard all the time. He’d have to spend all of his golf time just keeping a lid on things. But that would require work. It’s just too HARD. The thing is, whether liberals liked Trump or not, and whether they liked the Electoral College or not, they put up with Trump and his bullshit because those were the rules, and unlike Republicans, they actually like rules. The only reason they put up with Trump under minority rule was to protect the Electoral College and the rest of the Constitution. You game the rules of the Electoral College after the election, you invalidate the Electoral College, which is the only reason you were president in the first place. If you had majority support, you wouldn’t need the Electoral College. If you don’t even have that… You. Are. FUCKED.

As in, six-foot cactus, straight up ass, attached to an electric blender, set on “PUREE.”

Look, Trump: I never liked you. But… no, there is no ‘but.’ I never liked you. For the life of me, I will never understand how such an obvious phony got such a following from the same ‘flyover country’ that New York elites like you so openly disdain. The fact that they worship you so deeply just because you turn around and tell them what they want to hear indicates that such disdain is justified. Such support as you have reflects just as much on them as you, as the continued success of your party in this election indicates that they have embraced truly destructive values.

At the same time, the fact that you had such support, and that no Democratic hoax could dislodge Susan Collins, Mitch McConnell or Lindsay Graham indicates that even some Republicans realized that however much they liked the idea of Trump, they couldn’t deal with the reality. They seem happy to have a government where people like them are making the real decisions, as they did with the last Supreme Court appointments… they just don’t want YOU leading it.

You are more senile than Reagan, more crooked than Nixon, more incompetent than Carter, more vulgar than LBJ, and more imperious than FDR. You are certainly the worst president in American history since James Buchanan, who presided over the start of the Civil War. And of course you still have about three months to top him. Not only are you the worst president, you are the only statesman on Earth who combines in one person the gluttony of Augustus Gloop, the vanity of Violet Beauregard, the sheer brattiness of Veruca Salt, and the media obsession of Mike Teavee. And so, in the immortal words of Willy Wonka:

Good DAY, Sir!

Current Events

Well. Let’s see who ELSE is up this late.

Technically, this election is not over, because a lot of the urban areas in Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Georgia do not have all their votes in, but the problem is, Joe Biden is going to NEED those votes. At the very least, he’s going to need Pennsylvania.

So while there is not – yet – cause for despair, there is great cause for anger and depression.

This is NOT 2016. The Democrats had a candidate people liked, or at the very least didn’t have Hillary Clinton’s negatives. They had a huge amount of early voting, which is at this point the only thing that can save the election. Most importantly, it is that much more damn obvious what an evil incompetent Donald Trump is, and it ought to be obvious that we will not have an economic or coronavirus recovery as long as he’s president, because if he’s that half-assed about dealing with it now, how’s he gonna be when he no longer has to worry about the voters?

And YET, the Democrats didn’t get Texas, they didn’t get Florida. Nor was I expecting them to. But they didn’t get Ohio or Iowa, and they may not get North Carolina.

Worse, the overall weakness of the national results indicates that Democrats probably will NOT get enough Senate races to take that chamber.

And of course while Biden did the responsible thing and declared optimism at the eventual result, Trump – waiting until almost midnight Pacific time – decided to have a little news conference in which he declared that he was going to contest the election in the Supreme Court to keep votes from being counted, since apparently all the votes not yet tabulated are after Election Day even though they were in fact submitted by Tuesday. The childishness of this argument is demonstrated by the fact that the Trump campaign IS still contesting Arizona, where Biden is leading. But then, with Brett Kavanaugh on the Supreme Court, who knows?

The only good thing about this is that, as pundits are saying, Trump has been telegraphing this approach for some time, and likewise the Biden campaign has been taking all this into account, which is why they focused on taking the Great Lakes and Pennsylvania from Trump rather than going for big but tough prizes like Florida. Likewise the talking heads on TV have been warning us for some time that it is not uncommon for election results (statewide and elsewhere) to not be resolved overnight, Your Favorite President’s decrees to the contrary.

It’s just that it shouldn’t have come to this point.

I can sort of understand Latinos in Florida coming in so big for Trump, since Cubans and Venezuelans actually ARE familiar with one-party socialism, and unlike either duopoly faction in this country, actually understand why it’s a bad thing. It’s just that right now the party closer to that endgame is the one that wants to control the economy and the borders, with a Maximum Leader who swims in corruption and praises dictators, including Communist ones. What I don’t understand is all the white and black (but really, mostly white) people who by now should really know better.

What the result shows even now is that a critical percentage of Americans – perhaps more than last time – are either too stupid or too fanatical to acknowledge the evidence of their own eyes, even with Trump Virus on track to kill over a quarter-million people in this country before the end of the year.

Even if you don’t like the Democrats, or even if Biden ends up winning, that is a very, very bad thing for this country.

Well… I’m gonna do a few things around the house, and then get to bed.

Wake me up when November ends.

Election Night

So, as Halloween rapidly transitions to Dr. Tongue’s 3D Election (Ooh, scary, kids) we have some things to keep in mind.

At FiveThirtyEight, Nate Silver has all but wrapped up his own analysis of pre-election polls with his site giving Trump only a 10 percent chance of winning the election. It used to be at least 15%. “And if nothing changes at all in the polls, Biden’s chances of winning will nonetheless increase slightly by Tuesday morning in our forecast. That’s for two reasons: Trump is still receiving a tiny boost in our forecast based on economic conditions and incumbency, currently amounting to an 0.2-percentage-point shift. But this will fall to 0 percent by Election Day. Uncertainty in the forecast will also be slightly reduced when we actually make it to Election Day. ” Furthermore: “At the same time, though, a 2016-style polling error wouldn’t be enough for Trump to win. …I’ve taken our final polling averages in 2016 and shown how they compared to the actual results. And then I’ve shown what the results would be based on this year’s polling average if the polls were exactly as wrong as in 2016 in exactly the same states.

“Takeaway? Joe Biden would win. In fact, he’d win 335 electoral votes, including those in Florida, Georgia and Arizona. A lot of these wins would be close — he’d win by around 2 points in Arizona and Wisconsin, by and less than 1 point in Florida, Georgia and Pennsylvania, so he’d have to sweat a bit, but he’d win.”
Silver’s caveat: “And note that, with his 10 percent chance, our model is specifically referring to a legitimate win; we do not account for what we call “extraconstitutional shenanigans,” by Trump or anyone else, such as trying to prevent mail ballots from being counted.”

If you watch MSDNC, Steve Kornacki has been showing a national Electoral College map showing some states in the bag for Biden (the West Coast besides Alaska, Nevada, most of the Northeast besides Pennsylvania) and some in the bag for Trump (most of the Rocky Mountains besides Colorado and New Mexico, most of the Deep South) and other states (Arizona, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa, Texas, Ohio, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia and Florida) as toss-ups. Without the toss-ups, Biden starts with a base of 232 electors. Trump starts with 125.

In a way this is telling, because it helps explain why Democrats, with 16 years between Bush v. Gore and the Trump election, didn’t do a damn thing to reform the Electoral College, because in large respect it still favors them. When it doesn’t, it’s because the Republican can win certain key states with lots of electors (other than California and New York, of course). This is also why Republicans think that dirt does vote, and why they’re so easily impressed by a 2016 election map that showed a sea of red states despite losing the popular vote by 3 million or so. Republican votes are spread out, except in Texas and Florida, and Trump won because some of those states Hillary Clinton was counting on, and normally would be able to count on, broke Trump’s way.

Of course this means the two campaigns have to focus on those states. Everyone’s been looking at the huge early vote in Texas, and thinking, ‘Oh, THIS is the year Texas turns blue.’ Well, they say that every election, they said it when Beto O’Rourke was running against Senator Ted Cruz, and every time it never actually happens, partly because of voter suppression schemes like Governor Abbott restricting ballot access to one station per county. However, the fact that Texas has already exceeded 2016’s total vote indicates the scheme isn’t working. Still, I feel safe in predicting that Trump is going to keep Texas.

Winning Texas is not the point, and I suspect Team Biden knows it.

The point is to be just competitive enough that Republicans will lose Texas unless they spend time and money shoring up a territory that would have been considered totally safe not long ago. And given that the Trump campaign has pissed away its campaign budget like a cokehead pisses away Atlantic City casino money, that means they have to perform triage and decide where they have to fight, because now they have to fight everywhere, but can’t.

The Republicans can keep Texas, and Florida, and maybe even Pennsylvania, but they would have to lose Minnesota and Wisconsin. If they do that, they may lose Iowa. They focus on those places, they may have Pennsylvania, Ohio and the Great Lakes, but they could lose Arizona and maybe even Florida.

They lose Florida, it’s probably over. They lose Texas, it’s REALLY over. As in, 1932 over.

Remember this: Officers study tactics. Generals study strategy. Real generals study logistics.

But again, none of this could matter, because Trump has one advantage that he didn’t before, which is that he IS the president and could use the office to cheat his way out of a lawful election in the same way that he’s bullshitted his way out of everything else.

MSN reproduced a guest column at CNN’s website (Fuck You, CNN) from Russian genius and Putin refugee Garry Kasparov in which he finds his former situation very much like this one:

http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/opinion/win-or-lose-with-trump-prepare-for-the-unimaginable-after-the-election-opinion/ar-BB1azpu8?ocid=ientp

“Normal people don’t like to imagine terrible events, which is why autocrats consistently surprise them. (As when I wrote here back in April that it would seem logical to someone like Trump to try to sabotage the US Postal Service if he thought it could help his electoral chances. Unimaginable, until it happened.)

“You could make a very long list of things pundits insisted autocrats would never do that they eventually did. I made such a list myself, about Vladimir Putin. In my 2015 book, “Winter Is Coming,” I called it the “Putin would never” list. It included things like taking over private media companies, arresting Russia’s richest man for dabbling in politics and invading Georgia and Ukraine.

“Doesn’t Putin realize how bad this looks?” became the experts’ refrain after he crossed line after uncrossable line. As if he cared how things looked. Why should he? Dictators don’t ask “Why?” They only ask, “Why not?” They don’t stop unless someone stops them. No one stopped Putin.

“For years, my colleagues and I in the Russian democracy movement warned that Putin was building a dictatorship. Even when it was crystal-clear that Russian democracy and civil society had been gutted, the free world fiercely resisted acknowledging that truth.

“Putin laid bare the huge disconnect between autocrats and normal people — the autocrats’ ability to do things that simply don’t occur to people with a sense of decency and a respect for norms and traditions. Autocrats are aware of the consequences they might face for the damage they do, but they believe they can avoid those consequences by staying in power, forever if necessary. Trump might have been indicted several times over were he not protected by his office, and a sense of impunity tends to make one sloppy.

“Trump no doubt believes that he has more to lose by leaving office than by fighting — lawlessly or not — to stay. The oligarchs and thugs he so admires surely agree. They won’t easily let go of such a lucrative investment — one of their own kind in the Oval Office.

“Putin and Mohammed bin Salman of Saudi Arabia, to name two, have surely reaped many benefits from Trump, beyond political ones. It will take years to untangle the web of his financial dealings and how the treasure and might of the United States was exploited to serve the President’s personal interests and those of his cronies.”

Which is why Trump really has no reason NOT to get his goons to intimidate voters, get his judges to throw out massive amounts of legal votes just cause they can, and get his handpicked Supreme Court to flat-out ignore all precedent and declare that the original intent of the Constitution is that Donald Trump can do anything he wants, not cause he’s the President, but because he’s Donald Trump. And then he’ll spend the next four years flashing that retarded toad grin and campaigning for TRUMP 2024: “Sure you’ll be dead of coronavirus by then, but before that, YOU’LL STILL GET TO MAKE LIBERALS CRY!!”

And that’s why pretty much everybody thinks the only way to shut down that possibility is to prevent it from happening in the first place, and that’s means you need a Democratic blowout. Problem is that the demographics in that sea-of-red Midwest will keep even the most wild Biden victory from being a 1984-level blow-out where Reagan was re-elected and Walter Mondale only won his home state of Minnesota. And now the polls in Iowa and Pennsylvania are tightening up: https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2020/10/31/election-2020-iowa-poll-president-donald-trump-leads-joe-biden/6061937002/ “J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., said while men are more likely to support Trump and women to support Biden, the gender gap has narrowed, and independents have returned to supporting the president, a group he won in 2016.

“The president is holding demographic groups that he won in Iowa four years ago, and that would give someone a certain level of comfort with their standing,” she said. “There’s a consistent story in 2020 to what happened in 2016.” But, she said, “Neither candidate hits 50%, so there’s still some play here.”

So given that Election Day itself still hasn’t happened, we have to hope that the early vote for both candidates is at least as much a factor as the Tuesday vote, and that said early vote favors Democrats.

Probably the only hope there is that Trump’s lookit-me-Mommee need for attention and his subsequent compulsion to keep holding rallies even after getting infected with Trump Virus himself have created supersoaker events that have, according to a Stanford study, led to 30,000 coronavirus cases traceable to the rallies with over 700 deaths. This includes people who were subsequently infected by contact with attendees, but it’s hard to say how many of them were Biden voters.

Oh sure, I shouldn’t wish death on anybody, but it’s not like anyone put a gun to these people’s heads and told them to go out and catch coronavirus just to show the rest of us how butch they are. Indeed, if anybody’s using weapons to threaten voters, it’s these guys.

And yet, with Trumpniks being so afraid of losing their object of ego identification, and Trump so afraid of indictment, you have to expect these people to fight like the cornered rats they lick, both at the ballot box and in the courtrooms. So a lot of these states – especially the ones both candidates need, like Pennsylvania – could be subject to legal hassles for weeks or months. Like Florida in 2000.

Christ Jesus on a pogo stick, is this gonna come down to fucking Florida AGAIN?

Well, that would make 2020 that much more 2020, wouldn’t it?

No, It’s Not A Democracy, And At This Point, It’s Probably Not A Republic

“Dad- what is democracy?”
“Got something to do with young men killing each other, I believe.”

Johnny Got His Gun

So now it’s time for the spookiest, SCARIEST time of the year – Election Day 2020!

It is of course spooky and scary this year because of the stakes if Joe Biden loses the election (and Republicans keep the Senate) which seems that much more likely now that “Boofin’ Brett” Kavanaugh and the other conservatives on the Supreme Court have shown their hand in preventing Pennsylvania from taking mail ballots received after Election Day. And Amy Comey Barrett is now waiting to take her place to help rule on the various cases that Viceroy Trump is going to bring to throw out Biden’s votes.

And of course liberals whine and wail about how unfair all of this is, as if there’s any sort of rule against the President appointing a Supreme Court justice during an election year – just as there was not a rule against a President filling a SCOTUS vacancy in 2016, and in both cases it amounts to Mitch McConnell can do any damn thing he wants cause he’s got the votes in the Senate. Which leads to more liberal complaining about how “un-democratic” the Senate, and the Electoral College, and the whole American constitutional system are, as though that wasn’t the point. But at the same time, we have, through constitutional process, made the American republic more democratic and inclusive than the way it started out, and the Republicans really are going back on what we have come to think of as democracy. The real problem is that they are going back on what it means to be a republic.

The fact of the matter is that ‘democracy’ and ‘republic’ mean much the same thing.

‘Democracy’ comes from the Greek demos (people or demographic) and kratia (rule or government), thus democracy means ‘the people rule’ or ‘popular government’. According to Wikipedia, ‘republic‘ is derived from the Latin res publica, publica of course being public and res referring to a property or matter in question. Thus the phrase could translate as ‘public matter’ or ‘public concern.’

Political science and history make a distinction between the two. Each Greek polis (city-state) had its own form of government, and the main ‘democracy’ of the period was the polis of Athens. Women, youths, slaves and foreign-born men could not participate in the vote, but every other adult male citizen was obliged to participate in politics in the same way that a State Assemblyman or US Congressman would as their job. However, the Founders of the United States, influenced by classical philosophers such as Plato decided that a pure democracy would lead to mob rule and the prospect that a demagogue could exploit the system and create a tyranny. This was the Federalists’ explicit reason for the Electoral College. In actual history, Athens’ primary example of a demagogue was Alcibiades, who won Athens great victories in the Pelopennesian War, but also turned around and worked for both Sparta and Persia for the sake of his own advantage.

The Founding Fathers, rather than follow the Athenian example or even a contemporary example like the Iroquois Confederacy, modeled their government after the Roman Republic (which is one reason we have fasces at the Speaker’s podium in the House of Representatives and in much of our iconography), which after the overthrow of the Etruscan king was built around the Roman Senate. “Senate”, incidentally, is taken from the Latin senex, or “old man”, thus a senate is literally “a group of old men.”

In the days of the king, the Senate was simply the council of elders that the king consulted, but once the monarchy was overthrown, Roman culture professed to disdain inherited title and kingship while still using the Senate to preserve class privileges of established families, which is similar to the purpose it holds today. Even with a separate House of Representatives (similar to the British House of Commons) and the Progressive reform to have Senators under popular election rather than chosen by state legislatures, the Senate is still very much the upper house that like the Electoral College exists to slow or outright stop the popular will. In the not-too-far-off old days when senior Republicans were moderate and liberal government was the rule, the Senate was the Elephants’ Graveyard where conservative ideas went to die. Now that bipartisanship is dead but the Democrats have retaken the House, the Senate, and its capacity to appoint federal judges to lifetime terms, is all the Republicans have left.

In political language, the ‘democracy’ that we define as separate from a republic is called direct democracy, but the main example of this in Western civilization is Athens itself, and later liberals, like the Americans, hewed closer to the Roman pattern than the Athenian one, or like the British, simply evolved their system of representation in an organic, trial-and-error manner. Thus, while we think of “democracy” in terms of broadly protecting civil liberties and human rights, the form of said democracy is technically more of a republic, or a representative government, in which people vote for a professional class of politicians to represent them in government rather than perform day-to-day governance themselves.

In practice, though, we apply the phrase ‘democracy’ in the generic sense that we use ‘Coke’ to refer to any carbonated soft drink (even when most people who prefer Coke to Pepsi or vice versa will never get them confused). To be really technical, we could most accurately call this country a democratic republic; it follows republican features but has generally sought to expand the franchise to more and more people. However, this also means not every democracy is a republic – the United Kingdom, for instance, still has legacy positions for the Lords and the monarch that do have a real influence on the government from time to time, even as the day-to-day function of government is a parliamentary democracy. Indeed, with the increasing autonomy of Scotland and other localities, it could be argued that the British are now more democratic than us.

It’s just that with the natural ambiguity of the English language and the deliberate ambiguity of political language, American politicians take the primary God-word of our political heritage – ‘democracy’ – and apply it in a completely subjective manner to make it mean something good or bad depending on what they want to suggest at the time. So liberals have suggested for years that the Constitution is a living document that in a democracy changes not so much by the formal amendment process as by how the majority wishes to interpret it, but when the political majority changes to interpret the Constitution against liberal standards, suddenly that’s a violation of democracy. And at the same time, when they point out to the Right that their political majority is misleading because red states in particular have throttled the “right” to vote, the Right will actually agree, and say, with Senator Mike Lee (BR.-Utah) that this is a republic for a reason and “(we) want the human condition to flourish. Rank democracy can thwart that.” Of course, these are the same people who howled that when Democrats in the House impeached their President, they were thwarting the will of the American voter, never mind the fact that Mike Pence would have succeeded Trump as his elected successor and the result of the election would have been preserved.

The character of this sentiment is demonstrated by its implications. The fact that the Right will engage in this doublethink in sanctifying “freedom” and “democracy” on one hand and then disparaging democracy/majority rule on the other simply indicates the package deal we have where America identifies “democracy” not in terms of the “bad” democracy of the Athenian polis but the “good” democracy of the Roman Republic. But even by that standard, “democracy” means that the voters pick their representatives. And if the political class, the current representatives, want to use the courts and other entities to throw out votes, limit ballot access and play other games to keep themselves in power expressly against the voter consensus, then never mind “It’s a republic, not a democracy”, under that system, it’s not even a republic anymore.

Under that setup, the defenders who trash democracy on one hand yet praise “democracy” “freedom” and “liberty” on the other are defining freedom, liberty and political rights as something belonging to only their demographic, and elections are simply a plebiscite to approve what they want.

Right-wing cynics like to joke that “Democracy is just a setup where two wolves and a sheep take a majority vote on who gets eaten for dinner.” By that logic, a republic is just a setup where the sheep has the right to vote on which wolf has the first right to eat him. Keep in mind, Nazi Germany, the Soviet Union and Communist China are all technically republics. A mere republic is nothing to celebrate.

The fact that there is both a distinction and an intersection between the two terms democracy and republic, and that it is possible for the popular will to crush the rights of minorities, as was the case for so much of American history, is why the subject is so complicated, why “conservatives” are able to exploit that ambiguity, and why for instance it is not easy to say that Trump is a fascist or anti-democratic. After all, like Hitler (but unlike Mussolini or the Bolsheviks), he used the democratic system to attain power. This was a subject that the Vox website famously addressed early in the Trump era, and Dylan Matthews recently returned to the subject this month, asking eight experts if Trump qualifies as a fascist. And while most of them agreed that Trump is truly dangerous, they all said that fascism has specific characteristics and Trump doesn’t necessarily qualify. As Roger Griffin at Oxford University told Matthews: “You can be a total xenophobic racist male chauvinist bastard and still not be a fascist.” He also said later on that “(Trump’s) relationship to democracy, I would really insist, is the key to answering whether he’s a fascist or not. Even in four years of incoherent and inconsistent tweets, he’s never actually done a Putin and tried to make himself a permanent president, let alone suggest any coherent plan for overthrowing the constitutional system. And I don’t even think that’s in his mind. He is an exploiter, he’s a freeloader. He’s a wheeler and dealer. And that is not the same as an ideologue.

“So he’s absolutely not a fascist. He does not pose a challenge to constitutional democracy. He certainly poses a great challenge to liberalism and liberal democracy. And I think real favor will be served by journalists who, instead of seeing liberal democracy as a single entity, see it as a binomial. Democracy can exist without liberalism.”

This observation leads to two points.

First off, using ‘fascism’ as an umbrella label is an old Communist tactic from the pre-Nazi period of the German republic, which unlike us has always had a social democrat mainstream left. And the Communists, seeking to compete with and replace the Social Democratic Party, identified them as ‘social fascists‘ simply because they were not communists. (They were also the originators of the term Antifa.) Don’t fall for it.

Secondly, and more relevant to this piece, the fact that there is such a thing as illiberal (right-wing) democracy and that the communists often refer to themselves as ‘democratic’ or ‘popular government’ movements simply justifies why America’s founding fathers were at pains to distinguish their system from democracy and why it has so many counter-majoritarian elements. They were far more concerned with protecting liberty than democracy. Which in some respect is understandable. If we can argue that the Nazis had broad popular support (and one could argue the opposite) then something like the Nuremberg Laws could be considered an example of democratic action.

Given that, it makes sense to have a Supreme Court acting against the political trend so that they can point to the laws and precedents of the country if the rest of the government wants to pass a racial law like the Nuremberg codes and say, “No, you can’t do that, the Constitution forbids it.” But then, the whole premise of the Republicans’ Supreme Court fight is that the anti-democratic plurality seeks to corner the judiciary, not to protect the original intent of the Constitution against political trends, but to protect their political position against unpopularity.

And in regard to the comparison, Weimar Germany did have a very liberal constitution, but when the Nazis passed the Enabling Act, through perfectly constitutional means, they basically authorized Hitler’s government to act as it wished without approval from the Reichstag.

Which is where we get to the real issue. The Germans had a government of laws, and so do we, or so we thought. We had a whole slew of laws passed to guard against corruption in government, the White House in particular, after Watergate, but if nobody’s going to enforce them, they might as well not exist. And this gets to an overall issue with American government. I have often compared it to the rules of a board game or role-playing game where the Constitution and other written laws are the Rules As Written and the various legal precedents and “norms” are the house rules, how the government actually operates from day to day. And this touches on the classical liberal/libertarian concept of “negative rights.” Negative rights basically mean that government is prevented from doing something, as in the First Amendment starting “Congress shall make no law” and specifying from there. In this case, “Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging the freedom of speech, or of the press; or the right of the people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the Government for a redress of grievances” means that our rights to freedom of worship (implying a right not to worship) are insured by the fact that the government cannot dictate a religious standard. Similarly, while government has restricted the press and the right to assemble for both practical and political reasons, there is an overall standard holding that the rights to speech and assembly exist because Congress is not allowed to prohibit them. The reason for the distinction lies in a point frequently made by Ayn Rand:

“The fundamental difference between private action and governmental action—a difference thoroughly ignored and evaded today—lies in the fact that a government holds a monopoly on the legal use of physical force. It has to hold such a monopoly, since it is the agent of restraining and combating the use of force; and for that very same reason, its actions have to be rigidly defined, delimited and circumscribed; no touch of whim or caprice should be permitted in its performance; it should be an impersonal robot, with the laws as its only motive power. If a society is to be free, its government has to be controlled.

“Under a proper social system, a private individual is legally free to take any action he pleases (so long as he does not violate the rights of others), while a government official is bound by law in his every official act. A private individual may do anything except that which is legally forbidden; a government official may do nothing except that which is legally permitted. This is the means of subordinating “might” to “right.” This is the American concept of “a government of laws and not of men.”

Which is of course, just Rand’s opinion. But even in the Bill of Rights, the Ninth Amendment says “The enumeration in the Constitution, of certain rights, shall not be construed to deny or disparage others retained by the people” and the Tenth says “The powers not delegated to the United States by the Constitution, nor prohibited by it to the States, are reserved to the States respectively, or to the people.” The whole reason for having a Bill of Rights is to insure that certain rights are protected against the rationale that there is no law preventing (say) interference with the press. The implication of the Bill of Rights, the Ninth and Tenth Amendments particularly, is that the government is constrained by law. And yet, as with the Roman Republic, we, both voters and Congress, have given more and more power to each branch of government, especially the executive, because it was considered more convenient (to some people) than using the Rules As Written. There’s also the point that a lot of our necessary rules aren’t even in the Constitution. The number of Supreme Court Justices, for instance, wasn’t set until the Judiciary Act of 1869. And with regard to the President in particular, the person holding the office has been given a great deal of leeway simply because he’s the President. I had mentioned just as Obama was leaving office that libertarians and principled liberals thought that his reliance on executive orders and unilateral actions was setting a precedent that Trump could refer to. Reason Magazine said that the powers Barack Obama assumed were like leaving “a loaded weapon lying around” for his successor to use, and liberals scoffed. But before Obama, the political class in both parties, even Democrats under the George W. Bush Administration, put up with such power creep because however much the opposition might have disliked the guy in charge, he didn’t grossly abuse the privilege, before Trump. But it’s that much worse when the person in question has always had an inflated sense of entitlement and even before becoming a government official always operated on the maxim “it is easier to ask forgiveness than permission.” Now the standard operating procedure for the Trump Organization is that they can do anything they want because there’s nothing specifically forbidding them from doing so, and even if there is, nobody’s enforcing the laws.

The fact that Trump is simply taking a more blatant approach to what had gone before means that this was a problem whether you think the American government before Trump was democratic, republican, or fascist.

So on one level, the question of whether this is a republic or a democracy, like the question of whether Trump is a fascist, is meaningless compared to the results of actions. A huge part of the issue is a paradoxical matter of trust. Democrats ought to know by now they can’t trust Republicans, and not only do Republicans not trust Democrats, they think they’re Satanists, commies, or worse, liberals. And at the same time, the more politically active contingents know they can’t even trust their own parties, which is how you got the “progressives” on one side and the Tea Party/Trumpniks on the other. Not only does this increase extremism, that in turn increases the power creep in government as the party in power can only rule unilaterally and not by cooperation. I’m sure Obama’s defenders would point out that he had to rely on executive orders, especially after losing Congress, because Republicans wouldn’t cooperate with him. This is also why Democratic Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid killed the filibuster on judicial appointments, because prior to Dems losing the Senate, Obama couldn’t get any judges appointed at all otherwise. And then of course, once McConnell took over the Senate, he took the last judicial power Obama did have, because the judicial branch is the only way conservatives can prevail without that pesky “negotiate with the other side” process at all.

The paradox is the fact that as partisans of each camp become more distrustful of the other, the more they have to place their trust in their self-assigned gang, no matter how much they hate them. The cycle of tribalism means you have to tolerate the nutbags on your side no matter how much you would have objective cause to disavow them, because you hate those other nutbags even more. The fact that this is a process that incentivizes being a nutbag, and thus makes bad policies more likely, seems to be lost on everybody.

Therefore, while in the short run it may be necessary to throw out the Republicans, and in the long run it will be necessary to hold Democrats accountable by not trusting them any more than necessary, the real change is only going to occur once each voter examines their own motivations and decides how much to trust the rest of the country versus how much power they want to give government to control the people they don’t trust.

I suspect that the thought of such self-examination is what really scares the hell out of America.

Third Time’s The Charm. Except It’s The Second.

So we had what was supposed to be the third presidential debate and was actually the second because Viceroy Trump got himself coronavirus and wouldn’t agree to a virtual debate. This time, both he and challenger Joe Biden were tested on debate night and found negative, so the Commission on Presidential Debates decided to take down the plexiglass barriers that they were going to install between the two men’s podiums.

They were also supposed to mute the inactive candidate’s microphone during the active candidate’s question time, but I still heard these guys talking over each other. And while Trump didn’t “work the ref” with Kristen Welker nearly as much as he did with Chris Wallace (or Lesley Stahl) he still insisted on having his turn even when it wasn’t his turn. But I guess his handlers got the message through to him that not letting anybody else talk at all wasn’t going to work in appealing to the public. So Trump was ONLY as stupid and belligerent as he was in the debates with Hillary Clinton, and it’s doubtful that will work any better for him than it did last time. After all, even Trump fans don’t think it was the debates that won 2016.

The problem is that for all the Trumpublicans’ attempts to make Biden look sleepy, senile and corrupt, when Biden actually gets to talk (as he did tonight) he actually comes off as fairly together and professional, which is only a problem if you, like the Trump fan club, consider being together and professional as a trait of some Deep State disguised lizard person. Trump once again tried to pin Hunter Biden’s scandals on Joe, and he pointed out that the only guy who got in legal trouble over Burisma was Trump when his ethical violations toward Ukraine ended up getting him impeached.

They had a certain amount of time to discuss renewable energy versus environmental initiatives, and Trump said that contrary to opinion, he wanted “the cleanest air… the most crystal clear water..” – all these superlatives without a policy behind them. Apparently no one ever told him that running the White House isn’t like running a used car lot. Biden said (not entirely fairly) that Trump said windmills cause cancer. Trump in his best Biff Tanner mode said, “I know more about wind than you do.” (He’s certainly a lot better at producing it.) And when Biden admitted he wanted a conversion to renewables by 2025, Trump taunted that this would kill the oil industry. And he said, “will you remember that, Texas? Will you remember that, Pennsylvania?” As he himself would say, he wouldn’t have to beg Texas and Pennsylvania for votes if he wasn’t losing.

It’s certainly not impossible to critique the Democrats or counter their arguments, it just looks that way when Donald Trump is your intellectual champion. He had maybe two good points to make against Biden or for himself, and both are, and were, easily countered. One, the coronavirus is in fact making a comeback in a lot of the places where it seemed to be under control. Biden pointed out that the current outbreak in Europe is from a much smaller base of cases than here, precisely because we let the virus get out of control. Secondly, there were a few different points at which the debate went to prison sentencing and other areas where the Trump Organization has made a few token gestures, and Trump kept goading Biden, saying, “you had eight years, why didn’t you do anything about these problems you’re talking about when you had a chance?” First, Biden did respond, but almost in passing, that a lot of his time in the Obama Administration was with a Republican Congress. Secondly, it’s quite true (as a lot of black ‘progressives’ will point out) that the Democrats really didn’t care about sentencing reform, or police brutality, or civil rights issues, and did take non-white constituencies for granted. But that gets to the real issue that I’m not sure Biden is think-outside-the-box enough to get to and was too diplomatic to raise even if he did: Up to this point, Democrats assumed that Republicans were peers whom they disagreed with, and not an enemy who would never negotiate in good faith. During most of the pre-Trump period under Obama, Democrats (and Obama himself) acted as though negotiation was still possible, even when no Republican would vote for the Affordable Care Act and Mitch McConnell said after getting the Senate majority that his goal was to make Obama a one-term president. Even then, you could still assume that was just partisan conservatism, as opposed to obviously being a reactionary, counter-majoritarian policy to disregard the entire rest of the country (even white people) and run things the way the apartheid regime did in South Africa. Thanks to Trump saying the quiet part loud (really loud, and repeatedly), it’s a bit harder for Democrats to deny where they really are, and there’s no reason for them not to play hardball in response.

Otherwise, Biden did what he had to do: He kept pointing out that for all of Trump’s bragging, the country is in the ditch right now, precisely because of his policies. We can’t “learn to live with” coronavirus, as Trump says, because it means more people are going to die needlessly. We can’t get our economy back until we reverse the spread of the disease. And while Trump mocked at Biden’s “kitchen table issues” talk, mocking was all he could do, because he doesn’t have a plan, and everyone knows it.

But since everyone’s minds are made up, the best Biden could do was not screw up, and the best Trump could do was not make things worse for himself. He probably accomplished that. Is it enough to turn the trend away from losing Texas, Pennsylvania, and the other states he needs? As the man would say, “We’ll see what happens.”

Vote? Already?

There’s a lot I could say about the Republican Senate’s confirmation hearings for Amy Comey Barrett as Supreme Court Justice, but to me it all just seems like an exercise in disingenuousness on both sides: If abortion was that popular, Democrats wouldn’t need to be ambiguous and call it “the right to choose” as though terminating a pregnancy was like deciding between Swiss or Provolone for your sandwich, and if Roe v. Wade was that UN-popular, Republicans wouldn’t need to pretend that they, or their nominee, were going to be completely neutral on a matter where both they and the nominee have made their position very clear. Nor would they need to ask why everyone is asking Barrett to recuse herself on SCOTUS’ upcoming ACA case, or on a Trump challenge to election results, when they are literally risking giving each other coronavirus knowing that they already have a 5-3 conservative majority on the Court without Ruth Bader Ginsburg, but are afraid that Chief Justice John Roberts would place the health of the nation over an “originalist” opinion that interprets the Founders’ intent for the Constitution to mean “Donald Trump can do anything he wants, not because he’s president, but because he’s Donald Trump.”

But since by design, Republicans don’t want anyone else to have control over the process, we have to focus on what we can control. In Nevada, the state government decided that for safety’s sake, every registered voter would get a mail-in ballot, although there is an option to take it to an official polling place, or to the early voting sites when that option becomes available on October 17th. And as I did the last couple of times, I wanted to go over my decisions for the current election.

President of the United States: Joseph Biden, Democrat.

Why? Because FUCK TRUMP.

What it ought to come down to is looking at the world around you. You don’t like your loss of freedom? You don’t like the fact that your favorite restaurant had to close? That the stores that are still open reduced their hours and their floor space? That everywhere you go you have to wear a mask or people think there’s something wrong with you? Or in the case of Nevada, it’s the law? Blame Trump.

Yes, the virus DID come from China. Yes, the Communist government covered up how bad it was. But Trump helped. And he continued to cover up when everyone else in the world knew it was a pandemic, and even after the extent of the problem became clear, Trump continued to use his “bully pulpit” to belittle low-cost, common-sense measures like social distancing and wearing masks. He continues to do so even after being diagnosed with the virus himself, and part of the reason he can is that the White House won’t be straight with us about what his condition is.

Coronavirus is a little like racism: Trump didn’t invent it. So he can’t be blamed for creating it. He did, however, decide it was to his political advantage to encourage its spread as much as possible. And when it spreads too long unchecked, people get killed.

Even if you liked the Trump economy up to that point, or Trump’s picks for the courts, you have to realize that we are never getting that economy back under Trump, because he didn’t create it, he inherited it. As with his family fortune, he inherited a profit from someone else (in this case, President Obama), took credit for someone else’s work, and then proceeded to completely waste it. If you’re voting Trump and Republican, you’re not voting for the previous three years. You’re voting for four more years of the last eight months.

I was registered Libertarian, and after this election, I probably will be again. I’m not voting Libertarian this time, even though the margin in my state is probably safer than it was when I voted for Gary Johnson, assuming (correctly) that it wouldn’t cost Hillary Clinton my state. And what that comes down to is that the meta-politics have changed. Trump has greater power to interfere with the election results, and the best way to undermine the political support for him doing so is to create such a huge margin against the Party of Trump in every state, including those where Republicans were safe (such as Iowa), that such efforts cannot get off the ground.

As I’ve said before, I don’t have a lot of faith that Joe Biden has a serious plan for coronavirus control or reviving the economy that Trump decimated and that Republicans refuse to relieve. But the first day that Biden is president will be the first day that Trump is not president, and that in itself will do wonders for our recovery.

US Representative: There are several choices on the ballot in Nevada, including a Libertarian in my district, but again I have to endorse the Democrat, who in this case is Dina Titus, someone who’s been a fairly effective representative for the voters.

Why? Because FUCK TRUMP. And that means fuck EVERYONE in his party of enablers, who have revealed over the past four years that he simply represents a mentality that they always held but couldn’t admit to until swayed by his cult of personality.

That goes back to the point above about how we have to think nationally, and not just in terms of the presidential election and local election. Trump can’t do what he does without at least one of the two houses of Congress (especially the Senate) and vice versa. Mitch McConnell may have a safe seat (though he’s not doing himself any favors) but if you take the majority away from him, that’s both houses of Congress acting against a re-elected Trump, and if it gets to that point it’s that much less likely that Trump will be re-elected. It’s extremely unlikely that they will be able to foist the Republican Party maneuvers to install Trump against the popular vote and even the Electoral College if the result can be delayed to the point that it goes to the House of Representatives. Because while under the Constitution, the delegations would be per state and the Republicans currently have a majority of those, that could change under this election. And in the case of a contingent election, the Vice President is elected by the Senate, which again would be changed by this election.

I mean, everyone in the Republican Party is a professional Christian, so most of them ought to know the Book of Exodus, right? About how the Hebrews were liberated from bondage in Egypt, but fell to worshiping a golden calf, and then rejected the land that God had promised them, and so they were made to wander the desert for forty years? Well, then, they can’t be too surprised if they end up in the wilderness for at least two. These guys need to be punished for inflicting the current situation on the country. Pure and simple. We need to get them to the point that they’re going to wish for the good old days of FDR.

And if they wanna whine about Democrats turning this country socialist, we can all say, “Hey! Remember the last time you said you were gonna save this country from socialism, and you sold us a dumbfuck Putin bitch who let the virus spread here from China and it crashed the consumer economy and killed a quarter-million people cause he thought wearing a mask would shrink his weewee? Good times!”

US Senate: This go-round of rotating Senate elections, Nevada doesn’t even have a Senate race this cycle, but still. Fuck Trump. Why? BECAUSE FUCK TRUMP, that’s why.

Now that that’s out of the way – the other choices on the Nevada ballot are basically non-partisan positions that usually don’t have opposition candidates, and I don’t know enough about the local candidates in any event. So I’m moving on to the ballot questions.

Nevada State Question 1: Shall the Nevada Constitution be amended to: (1) remove provisions governing the election and duties of the Board of Regents and its control and management of the State University and require the Legislature to provide by law for the State University’s governance, control, and management and the reasonable protection of individual academic freedom at Nevada’s public higher education institutions; and (2) revise the administration of certain federal land grant proceeds dedicated for the benefit of certain departments of the State University?

In other words, should the Nevada state university system continue to be administered by the Board of Regents or by the state legislature directly? I’m not a huge fan of the Board of Regents. I’m even less a fan of the state legislature. The wording indicates that if the Board of Regents is removed, the legislature would need to create provisions for governance and control, which would probably be the same thing under a different name, only with new bureaucratic shuffling. Plus, the second part indicates that we would need to revise the administration of land grant proceeds for the university, but it is not clear as to whether this is made necessary by the abolition of the Board, nor why, nor what would need to be done. In the absence of more precise explanation, I vote NO on Question 1.

Nevada State Question 2: Shall the Nevada Constitution be amended to: (1) remove an existing provision recognizing marriage as only between a male person and a female person and require the State of Nevada and its political subdivisions to recognize marriages of and issue marriage licenses to couples, regardless of gender; (2) require all legally valid marriages to be treated equally under the law; and (3) establish a right for religious organizations and clergy members to refuse to perform a marriage and provide that no person is entitled to make any claim against them for exercising that right?

This is one of those cases (as with the Civil Rights Act nearly a century after the Reconstruction amendments) where you would think rights are self-evident enough to where they don’t need further legislation, but then it turns out they’re not.

For one thing, the Question refers to the point that there is still a provision in the State Constitution that only a marriage between a male person and a female person may be recognized and given effect in Nevada. The ballot page explains that because of a US Supreme Court decision in 2015 (Obergefell v. Hodges) this provision is currently unenforceable.

Well, that’s something the Party of Trump is trying to correct this week. It just gets to a huge part of what’s wrong with our current legal system. While we are seen as having a technically liberal country in that our constitution is written with specific provisions as opposed to say the United Kingdom, which political scientists call an example of an ‘unwritten constitution’ with everything being based on a body of precedents, in practice much of our Constitution (Rules As Written) has little to do with the game as actually played, and in the game as actually played, the people in government generally assume that they, in government, get to do whatever they want unless specifically prohibited and the citizen can only act where specifically allowed (against the spirit and the letter of Ninth and Tenth Amendments).

Accordingly, we need to remove loopholes from our law that statists can use to infringe civil rights when they get power. I also agree with the third provision that clergy should not be forced to perform a gay marriage against their religion, because there are plenty of places where you can get a secular marriage under a Justice of the Peace. Besides which, I’m not totally sure why a couple would want the blessing of a person who disapproves of their marriage in the first place.

I vote YES on Question 2.

Nevada Question 3: Shall the Nevada Constitution be amended to: (1) require the State Board of Pardons Commissioners—whose members are the Governor, the justices of the Nevada Supreme Court, and the Nevada Attorney General—to meet at least quarterly; (2) authorize each member of the Board to submit matters for consideration by the Board; and (3) authorize the Board to grant pardons and make other clemency decisions by a majority vote of its members without requiring the Governor to be part of the majority of the Board that votes in favor of such decisions?

This Question standardizes the parole and pardons procedure. A “No” vote would maintain the current standard where there is no set schedule for the State Board and the Board is not authorized to vote on clemency decisions unless the Governor is part of the vote.

I ultimately decided to vote NO on Question 3, not because I do not see the rationale behind it, but because the Board under the Constitution already consists of the state Supreme Court plus the Attorney General and the Governor, and it is unlikely that the Governor will be able to veto any decision where the Board already has a consensus. Plus which, the authors do say there would be necessary expenses to the state (including the creation of an additional administrative position) and since we already have at least one meeting of the State Board of Pardons Commissioners per year, this ought to be sufficient for parole demands, and more meetings can be called if the government is petitioned.

Nevada Question 4: Shall the Nevada Constitution be amended by adding a new section guaranteeing specific voting rights to all qualified and registered voters in the State?

Simply put: YES. This is another case where we can’t just assume that we have rights, we have to make sure they are in the system. In particular, Americans assert there is such a thing as a “right” to vote, yet state governments and the US Supreme Court are ultimately asserting the position that voting is a privilege that they can restrict or grant in such a selective way that the political class pick their voters instead of the other way around.

According to the ballot explanation: https://cms8.revize.com/revize/clarknv/Election%20Department/2020/NV4-20G.pdf?t=1602112454755&t=1602112454755

“This ballot measure would amend the Nevada Constitution by providing an enumerated list of voting rights guaranteed to all qualified and registered voters in the State similar to the enumerated list of voting rights currently protected by existing statutes. Specifically, each voter would be guaranteed the constitutional right to:

•Receive and cast a ballot that is written in a format which allows the clear identification of candidates and accurately records the voter’s selection of candidates;

•Have questions concerning voting procedures answered and have an explanation of the procedures for voting posted conspicuously at the polling place;

•Vote without being intimidated, threatened, or coerced;

•Vote during any period of early voting or on Election Day if the voter has not yet voted and, at the time that the polls close, the voter is waiting in line to vote at a polling place at which, by law, thevoter is entitled to vote;

•Return a spoiled ballot and receive a replacement ballot;

•Request assistance in voting, if needed;

•Receive a sample ballot that is accurate, informative, and delivered in a timely manner as provided by law;

•Receive instruction on the use of voting equipment during any period of early voting or on Election Day;

•Have equal access to the elections system without discrimination;

•Have a uniform, statewide standard for counting and recounting all votes accurately as provided by law; and

•Have complaints about elections and election contests resolved fairly, accurately, and efficiently as provided by law. “

I don’t have a problem with any of this. The wording specifically addresses the concerns a lot of voters’ groups have (especially ‘vote without being intimidated, threatened or coerced’) and the long-standing issues that exist with the voting process, in particular not having a uniform standard for how to vote, whether we can vote on Election Day without being effectively suppressed because the state government didn’t create enough polling places for everyone to get in before deadline, and whether there are standardized, straightforward systems for recount and resolution of votes.

I’ve mentioned at several other points that Nevada actually seems to assert much of this principle anyway, as demonstrated by the fact that we’ve already had early voting, and the state mandated a mail-in ballot for pandemic purposes without having to be dragged into it (as opposed to some places like Texas where they’re doing everything they can to restrict the vote) but it’s good to have a standard that is legal and clarified. Of course the fact that Nevada already is better in most states in that respect just illustrates the problem that the greater the need for certain legislation, the less likely it is to happen, precisely because of the forces that made things dysfunctional in the first place.

“Please Note: There is no State Question Number 5 on the ballot. The next question is State Question Number 6.” Why didn’t they just take Question 6 and make that 5? Welcome to Nevada.

Nevada Question 6: Shall Article 4 of the Nevada Constitution be amended to require, beginning in calendar year 2022, that all providers of electric utility services who sell electricity to retail customers for consumption in Nevada generate or acquire incrementally larger percentages of electricity from renewable energy resources so that by calendar year 2030 not less than 50 percent of the total amount of electricity sold by each provider to its retail customers in Nevada comes from renewable energy resources?

This was the Question 6 from the previous election ballot of 2018, and as required, needs to be approved twice by voters in order to take effect. Last time I decided to vote NO, mainly because voters (or rather, NV Energy) had already defeated a ballot question requiring the state to create an open and competitive energy market, so any requirement from Question 6 would be administered by the NV Energy monopoly anyway. Nothing I’ve seen has changed that decision. Still, the ballot question arguments against passage almost turned me off enough to vote Yes, with cites from Fox News and Washington Times and quotes like “Home means Nevada! Let Nevadans decide, not some San Francisco billionaire.” Who writes this shit?

Stupid and Contagious

Time for lust, time for lie

Time to kiss your life goodbye

Send me money, send me green, heaven you will meet

Make the contribution and you’ll get the better seat

Bow to Leper Messiah

-Metallica, Leper Messiah

Before the first presidential debate of 2020, two days before Viceroy Donald Trump was announced as having coronavirus, it was clear that his “Republican” Party in the Senate was going to ignore all protocols to push his Supreme Court nominee through, specifically to make sure they wouldn’t have to rely on John Roberts and an eight-justice Court in a political strategy that relies less on votes and more on fixing the judicial system to bypass republican voting.

And now, as we have less than four weeks to go before the next election, it is that much more obvious that Trump and his Banana Republican Party would rather cling to power than life itself.

Of course, there was that now famous moment where Trump left Walter Reed hospital and walked up the stairs to stand at the White House portico to take off his mask, which more than one liberal journalist compared to a Mussolini moment. Presumably that would be where Mussolini walked to a balcony to pose dramatically in front of Roman columns, not the moment where he and his mistress tried to escape from Italy, were captured by leftist partisans, and had their bodies hung up by their heels in an abandoned gas station so everyone in that pissed-off country who could reach the scene could spit on his corpse.

As information surrounding Trump’s activities over the past two weeks haphazardly leaked out, and is confirmed at least in the sense that no one in the Trump Organization will deny it, Trump appeared late for his debate with Joe Biden so that unfortunately he could not be independently tested on site. Members of the entourage, including Melania Trump, who has also tested positive for coronavirus, were the only people in the debate audience who refused to wear masks, against protocols. Perhaps because Trump refused then to tell anyone what he and his people knew about his status, thus raising a very real possibility that he went into debate night intending to expose Joe Biden to coronavirus, The Committee on Presidential Debates announced this week that the debate scheduled for next week would be virtual, which was probably for the best anyway because it had already been planned as a town-hall format where the candidates would take audience questions. This of course offended Trump because the video formatting would indeed allow, perhaps require, moderators to cut the mic of the non-active speaker. Not only that, he wouldn’t be able to appear to the crowd in person so that he and his entourage could flout the mask and testing rules and demonstrate yet again that they don’t apply to them. So, predictably, he refused to attend, and predictably the Committee has officially cancelled the debate.

So now that he’s been saved by the most advanced medicine government can provide, he’s making more speeches from a government podium, promising to have more one-party control over the government, promising to give government more control of the economy and health care, promising prosecutions of his enemies, and promising more celebrations of his power and benevolence. Why? To stop America from becoming a socialist nation, of course!

The real problem of course is that Trump’s stupidity has always been more contagious than any virus, and now all of his courtiers feel obliged to follow his example. South Carolina Senator and White House Purse Dog Lindsay Graham for example decided to cancel his second debate with Democratic challenger Jaime Harrison because Harrison insisted that Graham be tested for the virus. I mean, it’s not as though people who hang out on a close basis with the president have been demonstrated as more likely to contract the disease.

Meanwhile as Republicans discuss the election as though it were still a future hypothetical that they don’t have to address in the here and now (much like the possibility that their president’s continual flouting of medical safety could cause him to get COVID-19), people are having early voting and mail-in voting, and it looks like most of the people voting early are Democrats:

“While Democrats fret about the possibility of Mr. Trump repeating his 2016 Election Day turnout that swamped Hillary Clinton’s early-voting lead, Democrats’ early-voting advantage this year, particularly in states like Florida, is worrying top Republicans. While many Republicans expected turnout before Election Day to be slightly depressed by the president’s criticism of mail voting, the gap means that Republicans have to flood the polls on Election Day. And a lack of absentee ballots returned could leave the G.O.P. blind as it adjusts its get-out-the-vote operation in the weeks ahead.

“One of the advantages of having absentee ballots or voting by mail is it gives you a little bit of a snapshot as they are returned, and finding out who is returning them and where you are in your field operation,” said Matt Gorman, a Republican strategist. “If Republicans aren’t getting accurate reads on that, they’re not getting accurate reads on where they need to adjust more.”

Republicans used to take more advantage of the mail-in ballot option. But then, Republicans used to acknowledge science and didn’t think that they should avoid medical safety devices just because their tribal chieftain told them they were full of evil spirits.

This actually matters because to hear observers say it, Team Trump has been betting on an electoral phenomenon called ‘blue shift’ where vote-by-mail and absentee ballots that tend to go Democratic are counted after votes on Election Day and therefore early returns that seem to favor Republicans eventually shift to the other party. However, more states are allowing not just mail-in ballots but early voting where you actually get to vote in person, and thus you don’t have all those votes crammed together to be processed in one day. The early votes would be just as ‘good’ for that purpose as ones in November. This change has happened in some states to account for coronavirus, but other states (like Nevada) have already been doing early voting for years. Republicans, however, don’t seem to have gotten the memo, and are still anticipating in-person November voting as having the same impact as it did before early voting started becoming a thing. That’s why when Democrats are telling people to vote as though their lives depended on it (whether by mail or in-person) Republicans are telling their people to vote in person (and risk Trump Virus) as though their lives don’t matter. The problem is even if Trump has enough cultists that survive another four weeks to go to the polls, they have to show up in sufficient numbers that it would clog the system. We know this because, thanks TO Republican state governments making it more difficult to vote in primaries and special elections, lines for those contests earlier this year have been backed up. This creates the real possibility that the ‘blue shift’ may reverse and more votes will come in for Joe Biden in most states before the Trump votes can all be counted. And since Trump is pinning all his hopes on saying that only Election Day votes count and if he gets more of those, he would be forever Your King, Lord and God, if it turns out that Democrats have more votes on Election Day, whining for more time would make him look that much less omnipotent and that much more like a tool.

Of course as far as the Party of Trump is concerned, even stupid shit like votes don’t really matter, cause if Biden actually wins the Electoral College fair and square, Trump and his cronies in Republican legislatures can just whip up their own slate of Electors for their dominus et deus, the actual vote be damned. And if that maneuver goes to the Supreme Court, guess who just got himself a 6-judge majority?

But this is a tactic that implies weakness, not strength. I’ve mentioned for a while now that pretty soon white people are going to learn what it feels like to be black people, that is, to be disenfranchised. Republicans not only don’t want non-white and poor people with no transportation to polling places to vote, they don’t want anyone else to vote either, which is why they’re herding their own people into a situation where they have to risk coronavirus to do so. Forget ‘it’s a republic, not a democracy’ – the whole principle of a republic is that voters pick representatives, and if the government isn’t letting us do that, it’s NOT a republic anymore.

Secondly, if things get to that point, it will be because the Trumpniks no longer have enough numbers to even win the Electoral College by the skin of their teeth the way they did last time. Not only that, any result where Biden won the Electoral College would probably not be a 2000 election where only one state made the difference. It would be enough of a blowout where the Banana Republicans would have to substitute Electors in several states and thus create several challenges. Furthermore, any result where that happened would probably mean that Democrats also ended up winning the Senate, because however much liberals hate that institution, modern Senate races are statewide contests that are subject to neither district gerrymandering nor the Electoral College.

In other words, even if Republicans took this all the way to the House of Representatives (where they have enough delegations to give the election to Trump), the efforts required to do so, while technically legal, would be that much more cheap and desperate than Trump at a Jeffrey Epstein party. People only put up with the results last time because we knew that the Electoral College was a thing, and we had known it since at least 2000 (even if Democrats chose to forget) and however stupid and awful George W. Bush was, he didn’t actually destroy the country. This time? Not quite. This time it’s getting increasingly clear that the only way Viceroy for Russian North America Donald Trump can be retained as nominal President of this country is if the complicit Republican Party games the system to their benefit. And since it is becoming increasingly clear that the system under their control benefits nobody else, including the Republicans’ favorite interest groups, keeping it in place raises the very real chance that the public is a whole will no longer treat it as legitimate. And at that point Republicans will finally realize that they can’t play “we can do anything we want and nobody can stop us, cause we’re the biggest gang” cause they’re not the biggest gang.

This is why modern people, who don’t find “only one person wins” to be very entertaining, don’t play much MONOPOLY anymore. After four hours of dragging towards a result that everyone can see coming yet has already taken too long to arrive, somebody (maybe even the player in the lead) flips the board over in frustration and everybody else goes, “Next time, why don’t we try Dungeons & Dragons or Cards Against Humanity?”

The Debate Of Vice

So in the short term, we had Wednesday’s previously scheduled event where incumbent Vice President Mike Pence went against Democratic California Senator Kamala Harris in the only vice-presidential debate. As in, where you have to choose your favorite vice: socialism or theocracy?

What, you don’t like either of those? You want more choices?? Tough. This is America.

I didn’t actually see any of this live, because as opposed to last Tuesday’s debate, I had something else on my schedule. Plus which: Fuck You, CNN. Going into this, the main controversy was actually over the debate committee’s decision to protect the candidates by installing two plexiglass shields between each of them, an action possibly inspired by the South Carolina US Senate debate, where Democrat Jaime Harrison installed his own shield wall to his podium to protect against Banana Republican (read: rat-licker) Senator Lindsay Graham. I mean, talk about bringing the shade. And because this IS now the party of rat-lickers, Pence’s team objected to installing the shields for the sit-down debate with Senator Harris, although by Wednesday, they eventually relented, possibly because they realized it wasn’t important enough to make a difference.

I mean, most of the post-debate coverage didn’t mention the fly that settled on Pence’s head for about two minutes, but it was all anyone on social media could talk about. It just shows what it takes for Mike Pence to get attention. Plus which, making a big deal of coronavirus restrictions would only point out the fact that Mike Pence is (allegedly) head of the White House Coronavirus Task Force, and they haven’t actually contained the virus.

Other than that, even though moderator Susan Page got some flak for letting Pence go over his time, he didn’t interrupt nearly as much as resident rump, and it worked somewhat to the Republicans’ benefit, because letting Kamala Harris speak let observers judge whether her answers were valid. She, like Joe Biden, was asked to give a straight answer on whether the Biden-Harris Administration would engage in court-packing to counter Republican control of the Supreme Court, and like Biden, refused to do so. The difference being that Trump kept talking over both Biden and Chris Wallace when he was trying to press Biden on the issue, so that the story last week was not “Biden won’t admit he’d pack the Court”, it was “Biden told Trump, ‘Man, why don’t you just shut up?”

I mean, the Democrats ought to at least say they’re keeping the option open, cause after all, FDR didn’t need to actually appoint six more Justices to make his threat work. And if Democrats think that conservatives are so far gone that the only way they can get balance is to appoint their own people, they ought to say so. Republicans are motivated to the point of risking coronavirus over this because they know the results will shape the judicial system for decades. Democrats shouldn’t be that stupid, but they shouldn’t be afraid to show voters that they take the issue as seriously as Republicans.

Otherwise while both candidates dissembled, they both came off as normal politicians, which is not really a good thing, but if this event was normal, it only reinforces the point that the singular factor in making American politics abnormal is Donald Trump, and that while the unpopularity of both Democrats and establishment Republicans helps explain why Trump won the first time, he has had four years to demonstrate that people do not say “this is not normal” because they think that’s a GOOD thing.

Pundits usually say that the Vice President’s first job is ‘do no harm’ which for the challenger’s party really means that the running mate should do no harm to the head of the ticket. Harris certainly didn’t harm Biden, and Pence certainly didn’t harm Trump. But if the result is mostly a wash, we’re left with the fact that Pence is still defending a Trump Organization that is the primary cause of a coronavirus pandemic in America that not only wrecked the economy and weakened their voter support, it’s currently hollowing out their own membership. And everyone knows Pence can’t really do anything about that.

So in that respect, even if one is generous to Pence and calls this debate a draw, a draw does no favors for Republicans.

The Power Of COVID-Positive Thinking

So now, our divine Sun King, having lain in the Abyss for three days, has risen from Walter Reed Hospital, on behalf of all mankind (meaning, himself) and returned to the White House, without a mask of course. After all, there’s no point in safety precautions now that everyone else there is infected too.

It was clear to most of the press (as in the ones who aren’t Fox or OANN) that Viceroy Trump was not out of the woods (almost every doctor says that you need to isolate for at least 14 days once you’re shown to be positive) and a lot of them watched the film coverage of him ascending the staircase to the upper balcony of the White House and then take his mask off to stand and salute, and said that he looked unwell, straining to breathe. I’m frankly not sure how that’s different from any other day. He always looks like he’s straining to breathe. The impression I got was that he’d rather have been anywhere else but he had to keep up a brave face. As in, more so than usual.

You ever see that video of the two-year old who picked up an onion and started eating it cause he thought it was an apple? And you could tell from his face that he’d made a tremendous mistake, but he kept eating it anyway, to make it look like he MEANT to do that?

You know, this video?

https://video.search.yahoo.com/search/video?fr=yset_ff_syc_oracle&p=kid+eating+an+onion#id=1&vid=f5854dac6448ba5c730211b0b57a378b&action=click

That’s Trump.

Based on the information that the Trump Organization has deigned to be released, one of the reasons Trump was feeling well enough to return to his forever home was that doctors had prescribed an uncommon regimen of drugs including not only remdesivir but a steroid called dexamethasone, which is only recommended for patients with a severe case of COVID-19. Which actually makes sense, because Trump would never have gone to the hospital if he could have helped it. After all, they weren’t even going to admit that anyone in the White House had the virus until the news about Hope Hicks leaked out.

The reason that Trump feels so well may be related to the side effects of dexamethasone, which while it has been shown to have real effects in treating the disease also has side effects including: “confusion, delirium, mania, and a higher risk of other infections. The drug can even complicate a patient’s recovery by suppressing the immune system’s virus-fighting response.” That is why it’s only recommended for serious cases.

So: confusion, delirium, mania and a higher risk of other issues. Again, what’s the difference from before?

If these side effects are genuine in this case, the real problem is that they combine with Trump’s already existing personality tendencies, specifically his serious belief in the power of positive thinking. Now, there’s nothing wrong with that concept in its limits, if you can psych yourself up to achieve something that is possible with the right motivation. But there’s a difference between keeping the right attitude and whistling past the graveyard, which in most cases is a metaphor we don’t use literally. When Trump left the hospital Monday, he did a video speech from the entry of the White House, where he said “I just left Walter Reed Medical Center, and it’s really something very special. The doctors, the nurses, the first responders, and I learned so much about coronavirus. One thing that’s for certain, don’t let it dominate you. Don’t be afraid of it. You’re going to beat it. We have the best medical equipment. We have the best medicines all developed recently, and you’re going to beat it. I went … I didn’t feel so good. And two days ago, I could have left two days ago. Two days ago, I felt great. Like, better than I have in a long time. I said just recently … better than 20 years ago. Don’t let it dominate. Don’t let it take over your lives. … Nobody that’s a leader would not do what I did. And I know there’s a risk. There’s a danger. But that’s okay, and now I’m better. Maybe I’m immune. I don’t know. But don’t let it dominate your lives.”

Coronavirus? Nothing to worry about. After all, if you’ve already died, there’s nothing to worry about, and if you’re alive, you’ve got the resources of an entire government and the ability to command Walter Reed Hospital to give you experimental drug treatments. What, most people can’t do that? Well, too bad for them, I guess.

But then, if you’ve already lost your job, lost your movie theatres, lost your favorite shops, lost your favorite restaurants, and lost your favorite relative because of a virus that Trump has let run wild for the better part of a year, the advice “don’t let it take over your lives” might seem a bit odd.

Meanwhile, while Trump continues to believe as usual that nothing bad can happen to him, more and more people in his circle are determined to have coronavirus, including White House Press Secretary For Now Kayleigh McEnany and senior staffer Stephen Miller, an event which confirms that the virus can jump species. There were also at least two unnamed housekeeping staff who got the virus but according to the New York Times’ Maggie Haberman were told to use “discretion” in discussing it with reporters.

And as for making bad decisions on steroids, that might explain the worse-than-usual decision of Trump on Tuesday to announce that there would be no negotiations on a second coronavirus stimulus deal “until after the election when, immediately after I win” a decision that Jonathan Chait called “The Worst Political Blunder In History.” (I don’t know. I’d say that was either voting for Trump or Trump running for president in the first place.)

The problem with this isn’t the idea that there was any question of whether Congress was ever going to get to a coronavirus stimulus bill. It’s not, because Mitch ‘the Bitch’ McConnell has already held up all Senate business except approving Trump’s Supreme Court nominee Amy Comey Barrett, even though the virus now running rampant through Washington is threatening the lives of Senators and possibly Barrett herself. The problem with this maneuver is the idea that Trump has any say in that process and can hold it up because he’s an almighty god of money and prosperity from whom all blessings flow and who will personally stop any chance at economic recovery unless the voters give him the unlimited power to indulge his petty whims and desires for revenge. What this did was reveal that rather than holding the voters’ fates in his hands, it’s the other way around. Trump has confirmed that both he and McConnell are playing an empty hand with no chips. Not only that, Trump blew the one asset he always had, the idea that he was good for the stock market, and could save himself by priming the economy. Now that’s gone. Stock markets crashed on Tuesday. That and perhaps some choice language behind the scenes led Our Very Stable Genius to reverse course and twit shortly before 10 pm Eastern, “The House & Senate should IMMEDIATELY Approve 25 Billion Dollars for Airline Payroll Support, & 135 Billion Dollars for Paycheck Protection Program for Small Business. Both of these will be fully paid for with unused funds from the Cares Act. Have this money. I will sign now!” Ha ha ha. That’s so cute.

I’ve always thought that Trump’s whole approach to the virus was the same as his approach to everything else, where he could just pretend to be the biggest, loudest, meanest, stinkiest ape in the jungle, and he was gonna pound his chest, and bellow to the sky, and BEAT that virus to death with his bare hands. And then his fan club would just shake their heads and say, “Oh, that Trump! He may be a gorilla, but at least he’s OUR gorilla!”

Again, that IS how he’s done everything else so far. And it’s always worked.

Well, apparently that now is the official position of the Party of Trump. The always moronic Matt Gaetz (Banana Republican-Florida) said, “President Trump won’t have to recover from COVID. COVID will have to recover from President Trump.” (Much like the rest of the country.) Embattled Georgia Senator Kelly Loeffler actually took an old Donald Trump video from his WWE days and edited it to show him laying the smackdown on coronavirus. (Of course Trump has always had an affinity for pro wrestlers. They have certain things in common: bad decisions, steroids, and making bad decisions on steroids.)

But as I’ve said, it’s one thing to bullshit and bully a social structure, but you can’t bullshit or bully a virus. And while the appeal of Trump may be the idea that he can get away with anything he wants, and you can live vicariously though him, it is getting increasingly hard to live vicariously through Trump when there’s such a high chance of you dying from Trump Virus. (TM) Not only that, it is now harder to believe that Trump can get away with anything he wants, because clearly he was at least infected. And while Trump and his fan club share the goal of presenting Trump (and by extension themselves) as invincible, we’ve already had over 207,000 people die from this thing. How many of them were people who voted Trump in 2016? How many new voters is he going to get this year that he didn’t have last time? Probably not that many, and not enough.

Which is why Trump is so desperate to get back on the stage with Joe Biden for their previously scheduled second debate next week, even though Biden, who at first agreed to continuing the schedule after last week’s fiasco, is now saying that the debate should be called off if Trump is still infected.

But if Trump can’t have a debate, how is he supposed to pretend that everything is okay?? After all: It is better to look good than to feel good. If you know what I mean. And I think that you do.

Well, if Biden won’t let Trump pretend, Trump can always stage his own live event this weekend, and pull out all the stops for his redcap base:

TRUMPOSAURUS!!!

SUNDAY! SUNDAY! SUNDAY!

Watch Trumposaurus eat 10 pieces of KFC, a Big Mac, a Filet-O-Fish, a rack of ribs and a large DIET Coke!

SUNDAY! SUNDAY! SUNDAY!

Watch TRUMP ride a rolling-coal pickup truck on six-foot high tires over a supply of American farm produce that we’re keeping from the CHINESE!!

SUNDAY! SUNDAY! SUNDAY!

Watch TRUMP force Chuckie Schumer and Crazy Nancy Pelosi into a two-on-one battle to THE DEATH – in a STEEEL CAGE MATCH!!!

SUNDAY! SUNDAY! SUNDAY!
Watch TRUMPOSAURUS fuck TEN PORN STARS bareback and then break the neck of an endangered Siberian Tiger and EAT ITS HEART!
ALL before a LIVE AUDIENCE!
Get your tickets NOW!!
SUNDAY!
SUNDAY!!
SUNDAY!!!

Actions Have Consequences

Well now.

What’s my reaction to Trump getting the ‘rona after telling us all it was the Democrats’ new hoax?

I would first recommend reading David Frum’s column, reproduced from The Atlantic: “What Did You Expect?” That says it as well as anybody could.

http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/opinion/what-did-you-expect/ar-BB19Edcu?ocid=ientp

But in the meantime, it’s good to recall something Mitch McConnell always loves to tell Democrats: “Elections have consequences.”
Indeed they do. For while Clinton Democrats will to their dying days damn Jill Stein and Gary Johnson to the sewer system under the 10th Circle of Hell for “stealing” votes from Queen Hillary the Inevitable, Stein and Johnson both ran against Romney and Obama in 2012 with no bearing on the outcome, and the real problem with 2016 was the substantially greater percentage who DID vote for Donald Trump, because they had no faith in Hillary Clinton and business-as-usual and were in fact so nihilistic that rather than vote Green or Libertarian they voted for a guy who makes Mr. Haney from Green Acres look as honest as George Washington.

Everybody else knew that Trump was just doing what he does best – marketing himself with unbelievable bullshit – which is why nobody took him seriously until it was too late, including Donald Trump, who according to Michael Wolff at least was absolutely horrified on Election Night when he found out he won.

Because rather than getting to live off of right-wing grievance media for the next four years and play shoulda-coulda-woulda, Trump was actually obliged to govern. Moreover, all the Republicans who controlled Congress were obliged to repeal and replace Obamacare and do all those things they said they couldn’t do because of Barack Obama’s veto.

So (since Trump had no idea how to fulfill his pie-in-the-sky populist promises and needed to keep old-time Republican loyalty) Trump abandoned everything he said about healthcare and infrastructure and raising taxes on the rich and went along with what Paul Ryan and Mitch McConnell wanted him to. This led to the Ryan Congress’ tax cut bill that Trump signed, and the unpopularity of a tax cut should have signaled that the Republican Party was becoming less popular in general. Seeing the writing on the wall, House Speaker Paul Ryan refused to run for re-election even though he could have easily kept his seat, knowing he wouldn’t keep his Speaker’s post- and not desiring to be around Trump any longer. And while Republicans did keep the Senate in 2018, they also lost the House, and that soon meant that all those scummy deals that Trump made with shady banks to avoid personal bankruptcy prior to 2016 were under investigation by Democrats, along with the possibility that Vladimir Putin put his thumb on the scales to influence our elections (a rumor which, IF true, is probably looking less and less like a good idea every day), not to mention Trump’s arm-twisting of the Ukrainian president to create dirt on Joe Biden, which is what actually got him impeached.

But because the low-tax, pro-business policy of the Republicans superficially bolstered the economy, Trump retained a core of popularity with both his base and people who didn’t really like him but liked the results they were getting. So Trump, being as deep as a layer of water spilled on the countertop, assumed that all he needed to do to stay in power (and stay out of jail) was to keep the good news going and do everything he could to keep anyone from hearing any bad news. In this he was simply emulating an actual one-party dictator: Xi Jinping, who by the time impeachment was winding down at the top of the year was facing reports of a coronavirus out of Wuhan that was rapidly spreading. And at the time, Xi was doing everything he could with his one party socialist state to keep the news from getting out, and then once the disease spread to Iran and elsewhere, to keep people from knowing how bad it really was. But since at the time, Donald Trump was also pursuing a big trade deal with China, he was at pains to help Xi in this effort, even going so far as to tweet on January 24:

A line which may stand as Donald Trump’s political epitaph, and perhaps his actual one.

It could have been different. The governor of New York, like the leaders in Italy, Britain and other places, at refused to acknowledge the true depth of the threat, and this led to massive casualties. But the leaders in Europe learned from this and radically changed their policies on social gatherings to suppress the spread of the virus and flatten the curve. They did something similar in New York. But we could not, and cannot, do that as a national policy in America, because Trump was fixated on not taking the virus seriously, because making people aware of how serious it was would cause “a panic”, and that would cause the economy to crater – never mind the fact that the economy already was cratering because private businesses and various governors were taking the virus seriously and cutting back their activities, which we now have to do for the foreseeable future because unlike the Europeans, we have never had a plan to reduce the spread so that we can resume some level of normalcy.

And as part of his continuing campaign to present himself as the invincible Sun King, Trump continued to hold indoor events with huge crowds, even after Tulsa, where masks were offered but subtly discouraged, even as Trump himself made sure to be on podiums where his exposure to the masses was minimized. His staffers, and Secret Service detail, weren’t so lucky. This may be why Hope Hicks ended up getting the virus. Which allegedly is how Trump got it. But according to Chris Wallace, Trump was not independently tested in Cleveland prior to Tuesday’s presidential debate, and we might not even know now that he was sick if Bloomberg hadn’t reported the news about Hicks. After all, Thursday October 1 (between the debate and the breaking news) Trump was at a fundraiser at his Bedminister, New Jersey golf resort where he was in casual contact with at least 30 donors, without masks. The campaign apparently knew about Hicks at the time but hadn’t released her condition. And while both Brazil’s Jair Bolsonaro and Britain’s Boris Johnson survived their own cases, the Trump Organization is being cagey about exactly what the president’s symptoms are. One ominous sign: He isn’t tweeting all that much.

If only Trump had never run. And if that’s the thought going through his mind right now, I don’t think it would be the first time.

As I said about Freddie Mercury, I have no problem saying that he and other gay men died as a direct result of their lifestyle when the AIDS crisis first happened, just as us fat folks have to be careful with Type II diabetes and smokers are almost sure to get lung cancer.

Coronavirus is something I would not wish on my worst enemy. Which right now happens to be Trump. But whatever you think of him, the President being laid low is a very serious event. It’s especially serious to his party with about four weeks left to campaign. So because everything is so serious, Republicans are expecting us all not to joke, or gloat, at a time like this.

But as most professional Christians would tell us, gay men could not defy reality forever without either succumbing to the plague or changing their lifestyle, and so we have here. This is not callousness against the unfortunate. There’s a difference between having compassion for one in needless suffering from a random event and walking into the lion pen at a zoo with a raw steak on your head and expecting a healthy result.

I have often told friends that the phrase “The Republican Party” is how Americans pronounce “Schadenfreude.” But there isn’t even much point in feeling Schadenfreude here. It’s like when Stephen Colbert said, “some people are saying this is an October Surprise. It seems more like an October ‘well… yeah.”

We do not need to cast curses on Trump and his cult or say they “deserved” this. As a once-wise man said, “Deserve’s got nothin’ to do with it.” This is cause and effect.

Cause and effect is not the same thing as karma. “Karma” is a nebulous concept from Eastern religion that holds that two apparently random events are connected by spiritual intent. It’s like when Penn Jillette defined the concept of luck as “taking probability personally.”

If ‘karma’ was a thing, or casting bad vibes at a person actually worked, or the Old Testament God was real, some people would be piles of ash now. You’re not going to get anywhere sticking pins in Donald Trump dolls because you hate him so much. I mean, if witchcraft was real, we could prove it. If witches really did cast a curse on Donald Trump, then his entire life would spiral out of control all of a sudden, he’d get sleepy and confused, and his dick would be like a mosquito.

I have mentioned before that I am, or at least was, a big fan of Ayn Rand. And just as the same Trumpublicans who delight in liberal tears are fluttering their fans at liberals daring to say bad things about our Bestest Most Americanest President Ever now that he’s really suffering, those same liberals who pride themselves on their compassion loathe Rand because of her deliberate lack of compassion in her non-fiction and fiction works.

A big example of this is in the center of Rand’s epic Atlas Shrugged, where the railroad company Taggart Transcontinential had advertised the run of a fancy new diesel-powered train through the Rockies, only to have the train break down. There were no other diesel engines available, and the only other rail transport was an old-timey coal burner. This method was not recommended because the tunnel through the mountains was sufficiently long that a coal-burning train would not be able to get through because the tunnel was not set up to ventilate the smoke. Nevertheless, a connected politician demanded that railroad employees set up a coal train to go through the tunnel so he could get to his destination without having to wait. The result, as predicted, was that the engine went midway through the tunnel and ended up choking to death on its own fumes. As did the politician and all the other passengers. At which point an Army munitions train, going in without knowledge of the makeshift schedule because the diesel train would have normally cleared the route by then, ran into the passenger train and the fumes ignited the munitions and blew everything up.

And over the course of this scene, Rand goes over various individual cases of deaths: “It is said that catastrophes are a matter of pure chance, and there were those who would have said that the passengers of the Comet were not guilty or responsible for the thing that happened to them.
“The man in Bedroom A, Car No. 1, was a professor of sociology who taught that individual ability is of no consequence, that individual effort is futile, that an individual conscience is a useless luxury, that there is no individual mind or character or achievement, that everything is achieved collectively, and that it’s masses that count, not men. … The woman in Bedroom D, Car No. 10, was a mother who had put her two children to sleep in the berth above her, carefully tucking them in, protecting them from drafts and jolts; a mother whose husband held a government job enforcing directives, which she defended by saying, ‘I don’t care, it’s only the rich that they hurt. After all, I must think of my children.’
… The man in Bedroom A, Car No.14, was a professor of philosophy who taught that there is no mind – how do you know that the tunnel is dangerous? – no reality – how can you prove that the tunnel exists? – no logic – why do you claim that trains cannot move without motive power? – no principles – why should you be bound by the laws of cause and effect? – no rights – why shouldn’t you attach men to their jobs by force? – no morality – what’s moral about running a railroad? – no absolutes – what difference does it make to you whether you live or die anyway?. He taught that we know nothing – why oppose the orders of your superiors? – that we can never be certain of anything – how do you know you’re right? – that we must act on the expediency of the moment – you don’t want to risk your job do you?”

One moral difference that does exist between reality and Rand’s fiction is that she established that everyone in the passenger train was on some level complicit in their fate because the system they endorsed led to that result. This is another reason liberals hate Rand, the suggestion that those who suffer deserve it because of their politics. In reality, the Republicans have made lots of innocent people suffer before them, largely because of their politics and the idea that some people didn’t matter. Like the mother in Bedroom D, Car 10, they didn’t care, cause only the bad people got hurt. And then they did too. Rand’s targets were the left wing collectivists and anti-capitalists, which is why she is so hated by the “compassionate” people, but the principle is the same. Compassion, however virtuous, is not the issue. If one really wants to reduce suffering, one must act on its causes.

The ‘Taggart Tunnel’ was not an example of karma. It was the author’s attempt to demonstrate an ultimate chain of cause and effect. The Atlas Shrugged train disaster is taken by Rand’s critics as a prime example of how preachy and didactic she was, especially since the this-is-the-house-that-Jack-built chain of events were engineered by the author just to demonstrate a certain point. But what we have in reality is a scenario that Rand would have rejected as too obvious and didactic.

According to one report, for every 1000 people in their mid-70s or older who get the coronavirus, 116 will die. Trump is 74.

In the days immediately preceding the Tuesday debate, Trump hosted a Rose Garden party to present Amy Comey Barrett, his choice for the new Supreme Court Justice, who has survived her own case of coronavirus earlier this year. Most of the people at the outdoor event were not wearing masks. After the speeches, there was a lot of casual contact amongst the audience. By Saturday evening, more than a dozen people connected to the White House were reporting positive cases, including Republican National Committee Chair Ronna McDaniel, Utah Senator Mike Lee, who attended the Barrett event, Trump campaign manager Bill Stepien, and publicist Kellyanne Conway.

The fact that Senators are affected may ultimately ruin the majority that Trump and Mitch McConnell need to push this nomination through the Senate. It would be Rand Paul all over again, only exponentially more so.

In the short term, Trump is literally killing, or at least maiming, the Republican Party. And as I’ve said, that will create the very result they most claim to fear. Not only are we going to be stuffed to the gills with “socialism” (because we’re going to need A LOT of government spending, and tax hikes, to cover the costs of a preventable illness that Trump let spread, and to stimulate an economy that he decimated) but we on the Right are going to be undermined in our attempts to stop the Left from nanny-stating all aspects of life “for your own good.” Because it’s pretty damn clear that there really are people who not only don’t care about their own good but are actively working towards their own evil. (The fact that they spread misery and death to so many other people in the process is just a bonus.)

And in the meantime- there’s Donald Trump. A man who has probably never heard of Elizabeth Kubler-Ross and her five stages of coming to terms with loss. And while Trump is very good at the denial and anger part (it’s got him to where he is now) and has spent most of his life trying to avoid depression, let alone acceptance of that which he cannot change, I’m sure Mr. Art Of The Deal is very much engaged in the bargaining stage right now:

“Hey, ah, God? Yeh, it’s me, Donald. So all these preachers around me are telling me I should talk to you. You know how they are. I don’t know how you can stand ’em myself. I only put up with them cause they get me votes. All they says is like ‘love no man or money more than Jesus.’ ‘Anything is possible if you believe on Jesus’ name.’ It’s Jesus this, Jesus that. Jesus, Jesus, Jesus. Jesus! I mean really, who died and made HIM God?”

“But they’re right about one thing. There’s no way I could have gotten to this point without you. Remember that Access Hollywood tape? Remember me begging for Russian help with Hillary’s emails? And I WON anyway? Remember all those times that people thought I should resign or I’d be impeached, and then I was impeached, and nothing happened! I KNEW you were looking out for me! Everything that’s happened so far must be an act of God! I knew you wouldn’t have let things get to this point if I wasn’t part of your plan! So I can’t die now!

“…what do you mean, ‘I don’t need you anymore…’?

“Nobody says that to Donald Trump! I say that to my wives!!!

“Who do you think you ARE! You know who I am, buddy? Who’s your fucking manager??

“Whaddya mean, I’m subject to the same diseases as anybody else? Whaddya mean I’m not immortal? Who SAYS??

“I’m DONALD TRUMP!!! My entire life has taught me that I don’t have to obey the same rules as other human beings! I’M NOT A HUMAN BEING!!!!

“Wh- you- you better be nice to me, God! You better be NICE to me! This is very unfair! I know where you buried the bodies!! Michael Cohen told me stories about Jerry Falwell Jr. that would curdle your balls! Bill Barr’s a Catholic, he can investigate your Pope! You know what pervy shit he can find out there!

“Look at all these Justices I got ya! You don’t think that counts for something?? I can get ya more! LOTS more! Just let me live!!
“Goddamn it, God, YOU OWE ME, MOTHERFUCKERRRRR”