Category: Politics

So early voting for the Nevada Democratic caucus started Saturday. I was wondering if I should give up my third-party registration to participate, especially since while the Nevada party was sensible enough to ditch the “Shadow” app that turned the Iowa caucus into an even bigger clusterfuck than usual, there still seemed to be a chance that caucus workers could be tripped up because that decision meant the process was still in flux.

And what is the point of changing my registration when I’ve basically decided to vote for the NotBananaRepublican major nominee in the general election anyway?

But then I asked myself the question I often ask at points of decision:
What would Robert Fripp do?

What really convinced me to participate in the Democratic caucus was the fact that in addition to early voting, this version of the caucus has something equivalent to ranked-choice voting, which journalists like the New York reporter seem to think will complicate the results even further. It will probably be slower to tabulate than a standard primary but overall it will take less time than a standard caucus, especially since ranked-choice has the winnowing effect of a standard caucus without the laborious process of needing to take a whole afternoon or longer and risk having to meet other people and negotiate your preference with them, which is where civilization often breaks down.

Local news had reported long lines in some areas, but my nearest polling place was a Mexican supermarket, and I got there around noon and it wasn’t all that crowded and the line moved quickly. The process involves confirming your registration (or changing it if you aren’t already a Democrat) and then explaining the ballot, after which you were told to go into a small room in the supermarket and fill out the card. There are five columns that you fill out in order of preference, so that if you like Biden, you’d put Biden as first column and then (in the expectation that he doesn’t win) your second-best preference and so on. You don’t have to mark all the names, but you have to get at least one and leave the others “uncommitted.”

Recalling from memory, I think the ballots list the names in alphabetical order, so I eliminated Bennett, Yang and Patrick (the people who dropped out after New Hampshire), Mike Bloomberg (who didn’t think enough of my state to get himself on the ballot) and Amy Klobuchar, who is still viable but is not in my priorities. I have never seen any politician smile so much with so little cheer other than Chuck Schumer. I rest my case.

So in this order I picked: Sanders, Buttigieg, Warren, Biden, Tom Steyer.

In reverse preference: Steyer (unlike Bloomberg) at least seems to be a good guy and actual progressive (as opposed to statist). I do not like his term limits idea, but he seems to be willing to deal with corruption in the government.

Biden is, or would be, a good centrist choice. I would really prefer the Biden of 2016 to this one, but it’s been pointed out by more than one leftist that even in earlier years, Biden’s presidential campaigns have never polled much better than they are now.

Warren is a good moderate-to-progressive choice. I think she could potentially be a “uniter” in a way that my other two choices aren’t. Sanders alienates the centrists and Pete Buttigieg alienates the leftists. I am not sure why Warren isn’t doing better, but hopefully in this system, she’ll get something out of Nevada.

Now I’d already mentioned that I prefer Pete Buttigieg. I think he has the knowledge and personality elements (moderation and common sense) that made Obama a winner last decade, but he doesn’t have Obama’s naive assertion that Republicans will work with him, so he’s a little more inclined to serious changes, including eliminating the filibuster (which makes him more ‘progressive’ on that score than Senators Warren and Sanders). I also think that phrasing his healthcare plan as “Medicare for all who want it” may persuade people who are scared off by the idea that nationalized medicine will eliminate their choice. You may disagree.

Why then did I pick Sanders as first preference? Well, if in Fripp’s phrase, we need radical action to unseat “monkey mind” – the reflexive, unthinking mentality – that applies almost as much to the Democratic Party as to Trump’s Banana Republicans. I’d said before, but Trump and Sanders are parallels in certain ways (and not just the cotton-candy hair). Both of them didn’t really belong in their parties’ establishments, but they both realized that in order to accomplish their ultimate goals, they needed one of the two ruling parties behind them. It’s just that Trump’s scheme worked and Sanders didn’t, for various reasons. Namely, the Democrats were already effectively aligned with Obama’s designated successor, who’d made a deal to be in his Administration in exchange for supporting his campaign, and who superficially seemed like the best qualified candidate. Trump was dealing with a vast array of primary challengers, but he caught the support of a populist base that like him didn’t get along with the institutional party. Not only that, they were so desperate and scared of what the other party would do to change the country after years out of the White House that even the establishment types got in line. Well, that’s where the Democrats are now. It’s just a question of whether they will get out of their own way to win the election or if they would rather lose and keep a grip on their party. I’d already mentioned that a lot of old-school Democrats would rather do the latter. And along with that, I’d mentioned that while I would prefer moderate methods, what we are calling “radical socialism” is very much mainstream in other developed countries, but is now considered Satanic by the American Right, and the American Left has been basically whipped into going along. I had said, “It is still a legitimate question as to who pays for all that shit, and what the broader costs of redistribution would be, but it is not a literally unthinkable policy. I have seen people on the Internet make serious arguments – namely, the point that America spends more money on healthcare, including government money, than ‘socialist’ countries in the European Union, and gets worse results – but hardly anybody in the Democratic Party institution will make these arguments.”

In many ways, the Democratic Party – as the designated institution for support of modern American government – is the main force in the way of a serious reordering of priorities. It is conservative in the sense that it wants to keep things the way they were, for the benefit of its own group. That is a bad thing, and even the Trumpniks are capable of realizing this, which is why Trump got so much mileage out of ragging the Democratic (and Republican) establishment. But temperamental conservatism also means that Democrats are the last defenders of “the rule of law” and what Trump calls “the deep state” (that is, the institutions that do not see serving his whim as the charter of their existence). If the Republican Party is now completely lost, Democrats have to reform their own institution, so that it is trustworthy and can make necessary changes. Sanders, and arguably Warren, are the only two candidates in serious position to do that. And with every indication that the leftist/centrist/Hi, I’m Mike Bloomberg and I’m Buying This Party Because I Can wings of the party are heading towards a brokered convention, I decided that Sanders needs to maintain his momentum and demonstrate to his party, as Trump did with Republicans, that he is the person who needs to be listened to.

So there it is. I took the plunge.

Don’t make me regret this, Democrats.

After posting my last piece around noon, I went out and about and caught this article on my smartphone that I really should have included in the argument:

https://thehill.com/homenews/sunday-talk-shows/482214-sanders-obviously-i-am-not-a-communist-but-maybe-trump-doesnt-know

“Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), a 2020 White House hopeful, on Sunday dismissed concerns that his status as a self-proclaimed democratic socialist would be a liability in a general election and said President Trump’s description of his ideology as “communist” was inaccurate.

“Obviously I am not a communist,” Sanders told host Chris Wallace on “Fox News Sunday” in response to a clip of Trump using the designation in a Fox News interview, adding that Trump “maybe doesn’t know the difference.”

Sanders also called Trump a “pathological liar” for claiming Sanders was “married in Moscow.”

Wallace continued to press Sanders on how he would address criticisms that agenda items such as the Green New Deal, Medicare for All and forgiveness of college debt are both overly radical and prohibitively expensive.

“In many respects, we are a socialist society today,” Sanders responded, noting the tax breaks and subsidies Trump received from the government as a businessman.

“The difference between my socialism and Trump’s socialism is I believe the government should help working families, not billionaires,” he added.”

See, Democrats, THIS is what I’m talking about. When the mean Republican bullies call you names, you FIGHT BACK. And you don’t have to do it by being as ugly and evil as they are. All you have to do is hit ’em with the facts.

And the fact is that Trump IS a socialist. He never would have gotten to where he is without gaming the system of government preferences and loans. It’s the sort of thing that leftists refer to as “socialism for the rich,” eliding the question of why socialism for the poor is not also corrupt. It’s just a question of emphasis and benefits. With Trump, he said at this year’s State of the Union speech that he would not allow socialism to destroy Americans’ healthcare, which for most old people means the socialist crutches of Medicare and Medicaid. Trump has defined himself as a “nationalist.” A lot of his supporters, like Iowa Congressman Steve King, have more explicitly embraced the label. In terms of orienting the government towards a certain goal, the Trump Republican Party is using socialist means towards nationalist ends. One could call their party philosophy nationalist socialism. Or even, national socialism.

Now, this is going to raise the usual screaming and crying from leftists who rejected similar arguments because they want to foist the idea that socialism is an unalloyed good. It is not, as anyone whose family escaped from Cuba or the Warsaw Pact can tell you. But as Jonah Goldberg points out, a lot of the right-wing nationalists in Russia are nevertheless fans of the old Soviet Union, because that was the height of Russian military and cultural power (including republics in the Warsaw Pact that are now independent of the Russian Federation). The new Right may bad-mouth socialism but they clearly do not see it as an unalloyed evil any more than the Left does. What matters to them is not the trappings of government, but the nature of it. What Leninists and fascists have in common is that the state is a means to an end, and power is the end in itself. Lenin specifically opposed the approach of Social Democrats in Germany and elsewhere, saying “the spontaneous development of the working-class movement leads to its subordination to bourgeois ideology; for the spontaneous working-class movement is trade-unionism, and trade unionism means the ideological enslavement of the workers by the bourgeoisie.” Anything that allowed for freedom or plurality undermined the chances of achieving long-term goals, so Lenin wanted a “vanguard party” that would run things from the top down and would only work with other parties for the purpose of subverting and destroying representative government so that it could be replaced with control by one party. This was the Bolshevik approach after the March Revolution, it was the approach of Mussolini and Hitler towards the Italian and German parliaments, and it is clearly the approach of Mitch McConnell, who is more deliberate in his subversion than Donald Trump.

If Sanders and others wish to disassociate their movement from that kind of Leninist socialism, then they ought to do so, and as we see in that piece above, I think Sanders IS doing so. His counter argument gets to the other point: How does the Trump Republican Party get to say it’s against socialism? You have Trump allies smearing Lt. Colonel Alexander Vindman over his Soviet (Jewish) family background as though he had divided loyalties, but their loyalty is to a man whose campaign manager worked for Ukraine’s pro-Putin wannabe dictator, who consistently takes Vladimir Putin’s side over the intelligence of our own government, and who fired Alexander Vindman AND his brother from their government posts just because one of them was disloyal to the Party boss.

How can you claim to oppose Soviet-style socialism, when THAT is the path you want America to follow?

Look,you can still vote for the Libertarian Party, or some other party that actually believes in the Constitution as written, but You, The People, have clearly decided you don’t want that option. You have decided, on behalf of the majority, that the purpose of government is not to protect our natural rights, but to reward its patrons and punish their enemies.

So let’s quit kidding ourselves. If you’re voting for one of the two ruling parties this year, the fact is that they’re BOTH socialist. It’s just a question of which government you want: The one that covers your cancer treatment, or the one where your daughter has to fly to California to get an abortion and your favorite gardener is about to get deported?

“I’m not a member of an organized political party. I’m a Democrat.” – Will Rogers

“Moral victories don’t count.” – GURPS Illuminati

Democrats: We need to talk.

This week, Joe Walsh – not the cool ex-drunk who plays with Eagles and Ringo Starr, but the Republican ex-Congressman – announced that he was ending his campaign for the Republican nomination, referring to the Republican Party as a “cult.” As at least one journalist put it, this raised the question of why Walsh needed to run an expensive political campaign just to find that out. Now, I like Walsh’s moxie – like when he came on Chris Matthews’ Hardball this week and pronounced the Republican Senate to be “chicken shit” – and I admire the fact that he is capable of holding conservative views while still disagreeing with Trump, but by the same token, being batshit crazy on almost every other subject, Walsh is a great example of the anti-intellectual Tea Party philosophy that turned the Republican Party into the cult that it is.

And then there’s Bill Weld, who I supported as Gary Johnson’s running mate, but who is still running in those Republican primaries that allow him to do so. This makes even less sense than Walsh’s run, because again, Walsh is a Tea Partier. Turning back to the Republican Party is blanking out the point that Weld left them in the first place because he wasn’t xtreeem and edgee enough for them. He’s not a good fit for the Libertarian Party, but with his positions he’s still a better fit with the LP than with a party that has rejected his moderate, common-sense attitude. In retrospect, the Republicans never were a party of free minds and free markets, but they’ve been more clear than ever in displaying that they don’t believe in them now.

So if I’m a right-winger and I go along with the establishment’s binary logic, and the designated “right-wing” party is actually against my values, well, until the Libertarian Party steps up to the plate – assuming they want to – there’s no point in being a NTR (Never Trump Republican). Might as well be a DJTFT.

Democrat Just To Fuck Trump.

But if I’m supposed to agree that we HAVE to vote for the lesser of two incompetents because the stakes are so dire, then if I and other people who don’t normally vote Democrat are on board with that, it behooves the Democratic Party to do it’s part and QUIT FUCKING IT UP.

They should have already figured out that it’s possible to have the most evil and unworthy opponent in American history and still lose.

I mean, Christ on a cracker, if you look at Chuck Schumer give an interview on MSDNC, it makes you want to put on a uniform and drag Hispanic kids to the border camps, that’s how anti-inspirational he is to the Resistance. If Schumer was half the hardass in the Senate that Pelosi has been in the House, we might not be in this kind of mess. (I know, because Harry Reid WAS that kind of hardass, even when Democrats were the Senate minority.)

I’d like to give some advice – I can’t say it’s good advice, but it can’t be any worse than the advice that the Democratic leadership has been following, on the premise that they take any advice at all.

For one thing, there’s one word you need to burn out of your vocabulary: “bully.” Quit saying that Trump is bullying you. Quit saying it’s unfair. If you actually remember what it was like to be bullied as a kid, you remember what happened when you whined and cried and told the bully to stop picking on you? That’s right! He picked on you even more! Because you’re dealing with a sadist and a culture of sadists, and telling the sadist that you’re in pain because you can’t fight back is like a shark smelling blood in the water. It’s what they live for. It doesn’t help that so many people on the liberal side come off as just that type. I mean, I get the impression that Chris Hayes got stuffed in his high school locker on a regular basis.

Quit being losers. Quit being wimps. There’s a very wise thing that was once said by General Patton – well, actually it was George C. Scott. It was: “Americans love a winner and will not tolerate a loser.” That sort of can-do, optimistic spirit really is what makes America great. But it’s also a problem in one respect. “Winning” in itself is not a moral value. As a decidedly more liberal character said, “it is possible to commit no mistakes and still lose. That is not a weakness. That is life.” Now, in one respect it’s a good thing that Democrats have some scruples over winning at any cost, but if they think the stakes really are the future of America, they may want to find a way to win with morals. The alternative is not to just keep losing. The alternative is to get so desperate and power-hungry watching the other side remake the country that you will do literally ANYthing to win. Cause that’s what happened to the Republicans. As far as they’re concerned, America’s Apocalypse already happened, because of That Man Obama. (In their defense, they did have the minor issue of out-of-touch presidential candidates who pushed counterproductive policies that nobody liked.) They think that THEY’RE being bullied, they’re being picked on, and anything that they do to fight back is justified. This is of course, the attitude of racists and conspiracy theorists, but even the Trumpniks who aren’t at least one of those have been labeled such by association, so they don’t care anymore.

That’s part of the secret to fighting back. No, not giving in to evil and associating with the worst thugs on your side of the aisle. The trick is not caring any more. “Conservatives” know that you’re going to call them Nazis anyway, so they don’t even bother countering the argument any more. I’ll get to that shortly. But in general, what you do is you take their whining and you turn it against them. When a Trumpnik says, “Well, you’re just mad that Hillary lost!” say, “Whitey, please. Half of Team Trump is still mad that Lee lost Gettysburg.” When they say, “Well, you just hate Trump, and you’re just haters, and you’ve wanted to get rid of him before he was even inaugurated” you respond, “You’re saying that like it’s a bad thing. That’s like saying ‘You just hate colon cancer.’ There’s something WRONG with that? Trump is the colon cancer of the republic. It’s like a Yakov Smirnoff routine gone blue: ‘In Soviet Russia, asshole eats YOU!’ Speaking of Russia, why doesn’t Trump show his tax returns?”

The other point I want to make is that the Democrats need to quit playing circular firing squad. (It used to be Italian Firing Squad, but not only is that politically incorrect, the Democrats make Mussolini’s army look competent.)

Specifically, there is a perception, fair or not, that the results in the Iowa Democratic caucus were deliberately slow-walked in order to create a better impression for Pete Buttigieg over Bernie Sanders, who can claim victory by actual votes under the arcane system they’re using. The debate rules have changed so that Mike Bloomberg will be allowed to appear, when he fell under the previous standard that had excluded Julian Castro, and there are rumors that the DNC is going to reverse the rule on first-round superdelegate votes at the national convention. With Biden and even “progressive” Elizabeth Warren getting bad returns in Iowa, and New Hampshire just around the corner, the liberal political-media complex seems to be scrambling for somebody, ANYbody, other than Bernie Sanders.

Just this week, covering the Friday New Hampshire debate for MSDNC, Chris Matthews said, ““I have my own views of the word ‘socialist’ and I’d be glad to share them with you in private. They go back to the early 1950s. I have an attitude about them. I remember the Cold War,” he said. Matthews continued, “I have an attitude towards [Fidel] Castro. I believe if Castro and the Reds had won the Cold War there would have been executions in Central Park and I might have been one of the ones getting executed. And certain other people would be there cheering, okay?” Then Matthews made the connection to Sanders, claiming ignorance about whether or not the candidate did, in fact, support violence and public executions. “So, I have a problem with people who take the other side. I don’t know who Bernie supports over these years,” Matthews said. “I don’t know what he means by socialist.” The Rolling Stone article with this quote concluded, “Matthews nearly losing his mind on national television in addition to some of the debate questions about Sanders — including whether his opponents were afraid of having a democratic socialist on the ticket — shows just how terrified corporate media is of a Sanders win.”

But if my moderate first choice, Pete Buttigieg, gets appointed with the same sort of shenanigans that the Party institution pulled for Clinton, you will see the same schisms as 2016, and that will defeat the purpose of electing a moderate, which is to have a candidate who can unite the mainstream and the Left against the reactionary Republican plurality.

Bernie Sanders is not necessarily my first choice for president; I’ve already gone over that. The idea of Bernie is probably more attractive than a Sanders Administration would be in practice, and there are problems that it would create going in. (For one, Larry David doesn’t want to appear on Saturday Night Live every month for the next four years.) But while I’m chewing out the Democrats on their wimpiness towards every other subject, I need to address the mainstream party’s phobia towards socialism. And I don’t even LIKE socialism.

There’s a whole spiel I could go into about the definitions of socialism, and I think I will in another post, but for now let me focus on the point that for this year’s State of the Union speech, Trump invited Juan Guaido, the opposition leader against Nicolas Maduro in Venezuela’s government, which really is an example of socialism gone wrong. The main reason I don’t support active measures to depose the Chavista government is because we already tried that, and it didn’t work. But in any case, it’s a little odd to declare yourself an opponent of the Venezuelan approach when you want to close the border to your own citizens (as Maduro does), want to control the economy for political purposes (as Maduro does) and game the system to make sure that both the legislature and judiciary are dominated by your yes-men (as both Chavez and Maduro did).

Why aren’t we talking about that? Why is the Democrat expected to recoil like Dracula from the cross at the word “socialism”, but no one in the Democratic Party (as opposed to Facebook liberals) will compare the Republican agenda to fascism? And why is it that when you do make the association, “conservatives” on social media will either avoid the association or turn the corners of their lips, and say “So?….” Why is it not possible to acknowledge that one can reach the same destination on a different road, and that all the things that Republicans claim to hate about socialism are the result of the road we’re on now?

As the guys at Jacobin Magazine would tell you, most “democratic socialists” aren’t even socialist in the sense of seizing the means of production, they are mainly trying to create the same social supports that conservatives in Canada and elsewhere take for granted. It is still a legitimate question as to who pays for all that shit, and what the broader costs of redistribution would be, but it is not a literally unthinkable policy. I have seen people on the Internet make serious arguments – namely, the point that America spends more money on healthcare, including government money, than “socialist” countries in the European Union, and gets worse results – but hardly anybody in the Democratic Party institution will make these arguments. But that’s why Sanders and kids like “the Squad” will look at your demon-word “socialism,” smile, and say, “So?…”

There’s a pretty good reason why Senator Bernie Sanders never ran for Senate in Vermont as a Democrat and why he only registers as a Democrat for the limited period that he runs for the Democratic Party nomination. And it’s much the same reason that he’s got a serious chance to win that nomination. Because Bernie Sanders is NOT a Democrat, and I can’t imagine why anybody would be.

But yet, Sanders knows that in this binary country, if he’s going to run for a national office, he needs as broad a base as possible, and if an independent run is a “spoiler” but taking over a national party means that you get that huge group of people, a majority of whom don’t agree with you on every thing or even most things, but they’re gonna go with you anyway cause you’re their nominee, then the expedient thing to do is run in that party in hopes of accomplishing your goal.

Bernie is a DJTFT.

And even though I’m not a socialist, and I don’t think that healthcare or any good thing you want government to pay for is a “right”, I do think there’s some stuff that we are better off having government do even if it isn’t a right. We don’t think that the interstate highway system is a human right, but we were willing to pay for it (if not to maintain it). Bernie and I are opposite on many things, but we have something in common: We both avoid the Democratic Party as counterproductive to our goals and yet have to work with it to deal with Republicans who are the real problem. There are a surprising number of people – both leftists and former conservatives – who fit that description. Hell, Joe Walsh, y’know, the guy who said “Sorry Jimmy Kimmel: your sad story doesn’t obligate me or anybody else to pay for somebody else’s health care” also said after dropping out of the race, “I would rather have a socialist in the White House than a dictator.” So, if THIS guy gets the distinction between socialism and dictatorship, and understands that someone on the anti-socialist side CAN be a dictator, then why can’t the Democratic National Committee??

This goes along with a certain theme I’ve been seeing on the Internet. It’s “democrats would rather lose” or more precisely, “Democrats would rather lose to Trump than win with a progressive.” The main Party still sees the Republican Party as a factor in the political institution rather than a cancer on it. Biden is the obvious example of that. They are actually less threatened by Trump than by the idea of losing their own institutional power. After all, even if Trump wins, this may not become a one-party state. Maybe. We may still have the illusion of a multiparty system, as with Hungary or even Venezuela. The professional Democrats will still have jobs, to the extent that they can get anyone elected. And at the same time, some “progressives” would rather lose to Trump to teach the mainstream Democrats a lesson.

The “lesser of two evils” argument was no less – probably no more – relevant in 2016. And the reason Democrats couldn’t get enough people to vote for Hillary is because institutional Democrats couldn’t convince people that their future was at stake. As Thomas Frank put it just after the election: “To try to put over such a nominee while screaming that the Republican is a rightwing monster is to court disbelief. If Trump is a fascist, as liberals often said, Democrats should have put in their strongest player to stop him, not a party hack they’d chosen because it was her turn. Choosing her indicated either that Democrats didn’t mean what they said about Trump’s riskiness, that their opportunism took precedence over the country’s well-being, or maybe both.”

In other words, Democrats expected voters to treat the election as though the world was at stake while taking the voters themselves for granted.

And some of them want to do it again. And if it isn’t the old Cold Warriors trying to head off “socialism” it’s the woke “progressives” blowing off the moderates.

So in conclusion, Democrats: Grow up and get your shit together. You can’t expect me to believe that any Democrat is better than Trump if YOU don’t believe it. And there isn’t much point in NOT being a Libertarian if the Democrats are only slightly more effective in politics despite having a vastly larger budget than the Libertarian Party and the singular advantage of actually having people in office.

This morning I was on Facebook and a liberal posted, “Libertarianism is just astrology for men.”
This was of course, AFTER the Iowa caucus.

As of 5 pm Pacific time Tuesday, the results of the Monday Democratic caucus are still only about two-thirds in, and while there is no reason to suspect foul play or interference, the state party blamed a coding problem with the new app that caucus leaders were supposed to use to report their results. This meant that people had to rely on phone reports, which jammed up the phone lines because they were only meant as a backup. The end result, as one wag put it, was that it’s still taking at least 24 hours to get the results from a populace that is less than that of a mayoral race in New York.

Jeez Louise, even The Daily Beast, which does nothing but rag on Megan McCain, is admitting she was right “not to trust the Iowa caucuses.”

The results were so ragged Monday night that various candidates were able to claim at least moral victory, with Pete Buttigieg declaring victory outright. And this caused a lot of lefties (who hate him anyway) to declare that Buttigieg is a presumptuous little twerp, but I think he’s just learned the first lesson of real presidenting: Take credit early in advance of the facts, just because you can.

Of course, the real winner in Iowa was Mike Bloomberg, who deliberately avoided this political-media circle jerk to concentrate on Super Tuesday.

And of course the liberal media, which expect the whole process to be to their benefit, are so mad that they’re declaring in advance that this is going to be the last Iowa caucus ever. Somehow I don’t think so. They underestimate the fundamental conservatism (general, not political) in American culture. Nobody’s going to give up an institution just because it’s old, stupid, and incompetently managed. (In other news, the Senate is going to acquit Donald Trump on impeachment articles this week.)

Now, I was reminded by another liberal on Facebook that back in 2012, Rick Santorum won the Republican Iowa caucus 17 days after the event. Which merely proves that the entire caucus process is santorum.

The irony being that a large amount of the snag is supposedly an attempt to modernize and make the process more transparent. In addition to delegates, the state Democrats had planned to announce votes by precinct as well as total votes earned. But that just added more detail to a process that already has too much of it. Not only that, the process involved an untested app that people were not adequately trained on, called “Shadow.” Shadow was created by a Democratic non-profit called ACRONYM (I can’t confirm if the initials stand for anything) which was described by one anonymous insider as “far and away the most disorganized place I’ve ever been a part of“.

It’s actually the lefties who are pointing out how un-progressive and un-democratic the caucus process is in practice. They’ve pointed out, not just in this election, that the Iowa caucus takes place on a weekday, mostly during business hours, usually in rural community centers. A lot of people have to work or can’t get transportation, and this is a process that basically works best for people who have money, have time and don’t have to work that day – i.e. Old, upper-middle-class white people. It doesn’t work as well for urban dwellers who are “people of color” who don’t live in the main caucus areas.

As a registered Libertarian, I have no problem telling people to vote Democratic straight-ticket in November if that’s what it takes to flush the Party of Trump, but are any Democrats willing to admit that half the reason Trump won is because THIS is what he was running against?

See, this is why it matters to me. I’m in Nevada. It’s also a caucus state. And while the February 22 date is a Saturday and there is an early-voting period (because in Nevada, we think that a right to vote means it should be easy to vote and not harder than a self-appendectomy), the whole process has become questionable. Now, in another example of common sense, the Nevada Democratic Party just announced that they have abandoned plans to use the “Shadow” app. But still: I did switch from Libertarian/independent to Democrat in 2016 specifically to vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton in the caucus, and that didn’t work out, though that’s mostly due to Inner Party chicanery rather than problems with the caucus itself. But that reveals the real issue. If you have a choice between primary and caucus and you still choose caucus, that’s a priority of the state party. If we have a process that continues in a dysfunctional manner when this is not even the second election when we have told people how clownshoes it is, then maybe the duopoly and the state governments they control are dysfunctional.

I mean, there’s a lot of reasons to bag on the Libertarian Party, but one good thing about being so small is that they don’t bother with the giant national soap opera of a long (and expensive) primary season. They just have the national convention and vote for their presidential candidate right then and there. No, it’s not reflective of a state-by-state consensus, much less a democratic process, but can we honestly say that this shitshow is?

Two weeks ago – which of course is like a year in Trump physics – the New York Times took the unusual step of endorsing not only one but two women for president, presenting Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren as the choice for “progressive” Democrats and Minnesota Senator Amy Klobuchar as the choice for moderates. And the issue I had with that comes down to two famous cliches: you can’t have it both ways, and you can’t have your cake and eat it too. Again, damn near ANY Democratic candidate (with possible exceptions, which I’ll review) would be better for the country than Donald Trump, representing the great state of Vladimir Putin’s Wallet. Anybody who doesn’t get the nomination would be a great running mate or (in some cases) Senator. Only ONE of them is going to get the nomination. And since we now know that the stakes for the future are, one, Trump can commit any crime he wants, and two, Republicans are never going to stop him from doing so, it is imperative that in the binary-logic duopoly that is our political system that the designated NotRepublican party not only win the presidency but do so with enough political momentum to flush out Trump’s enablers in the downballot Senate races. And that means you need the right candidate, and splitting the difference like the Times did is splitting your focus, which the NotRepublicans can’t afford to do.

At the start of the year, there were still twelve Democrats running for president, but as of last Friday, John Delaney made the shocking announcement that he was leaving the race, which led to the even more shocking discovery that he’d been running for months in the first place. So that leaves eleven. And at this point just before the Iowa caucus, I think I should review the people who are left. Because some of those who quit the race – like Harris and Booker – are on paper more serious candidates and better choices than some who are left. To eliminate the people who really don’t need to be there: You’ve got Michael Bennett, another person who no one has heard of on the national level, and fairly recent entry Deval Patrick of New Jersey, who is at least known there but doesn’t seem to have much reason to run other than he wants to, not because he has a chance of getting more attention than he has.

Tulsi Gabbard gets a lot of attention, but not necessarily for good reasons. As with some of the centrists here, she reveals the real problem with the “two” party system in practice: It used to be that socially conservative people could be in the Democratic Party and fiscally conservative, socially libertarian people could be in the Republican Party, but polarization is not equal. As the Republicans continue to purge any non-wacko, non-Trumpnik influence, the standard for “conservative” is theoretically broad but increasingly narrow: All you have to do is agree with everything Trump says, even if it contradicts what he said two hours ago. And if you can’t keep up with a conductor who throws out the sheet music, the duopoly obliges you to put your trust in the designated NotRepublican party, even if the Democrats would really prefer to be the “progressive” party. Gabbard agrees with the liberals on a lot of spending proposals, but as a Hindu she is culturally conservative in many ways, and even if she has made overtures to the queer community, they have reason not to trust her. She’s also vocally anti-war and anti-Beltway complex, and that does impress leftists, but they already have Bernie. It also impresses contrarian conservatives and libertarians, but they already have Trump, who talks a lot about not wanting to start a war, and that seems to be good enough for them.

Then you have the men who could be grouped as The Billionaire Boys Club. The first being Andrew Yang. I like Yang. The universal basic income (UBI) concept is one of the few things that socialists and libertarians can agree on, and it reveals a long-term aspect of the economy that few politicians focus on: As more jobs become automated, larger sections of the population will be literally surplus labor. But for all Yang’s ideas, and recently increased public profile, he’s still not getting that far in the polls.

But whereas Donald Trump, who’s essentially been raising 2020 money since 2017, has raised more than $300 million this year for his campaign, Tom Steyer has raised $157 million, and Mike Bloomberg, who only entered in November 2019, has already raised over $200 million dollars, mostly his own resources.

And the thing is, it’s gotten Steyer to the debate stage, and while polls in Iowa are still sketchy, Bloomberg is doing as well as most of the second-tier candidates without even being in a debate. I agree with a leftist friend on Facebook who said that if we have to have one of these billionaires in charge, he would prefer Steyer or Yang, because they at least seem to care about the public, whereas Bloomberg is just trying to preserve the plutocracy in his own way. And he’s especially not good from a libertarian standpoint. He is a great advocate for what we call the “nanny state”, pushing large soda bans as Mayor of New York, along with the “stop and frisk” policy that concentrated on non-white neighborhoods. I might still have to vote for him if he ends up being the nominee, but he’s easily my least favorite choice. But I think Bloomberg is looking at Trump’s example and he’s concluded that if you already have a national profile, and you already have enough money (or razzle-dazzle) to expand that profile, you might as well run, and apparently some sections of the country like a pushy New York elitist in charge, but after almost four years they don’t like everything he does. Really, this ought to be Mike’s approach to campaign ads. “BLOOMBERG 2020: A Billionaire Asshole Who’s Not Trump.” Or: “BLOOMBERG 2020: A Pushy New York Billionaire Who’s Not A Putin Bitch.”

And then we get to Klobuchar. I’ve seen a lot of attempts to push her profile in recent weeks, including of course the NYT endorsement, but there have also been other efforts, like the New York magazine profile “Does Amy Klobuchar Have A Shot?” from January 10.

Liberal Media: Stop trying to make Amy Klobuchar a thing. It’s NOT going to happen.

If you’re fixated on diversity and distressed that the departure of Senators Booker and Harris means that Patrick, Gabbard and Yang are the only people of color left in the race – meaning, for all purposes, it’s an all-white race – you’re really going to be distressed by the gender politics going in. Both Klobuchar and Warren have the advantage that Hillary Clinton had going into 2016, of being the first potential woman president, and either would have the support of all the people who wanted that to happen in 2016 and are mad that it didn’t. Unfortunately, they would both have to deal with the same gender politics as Clinton, and while I think Warren has the personality and disposition to compensate for that, Klobuchar will handle that bias about as well as Clinton did, which means not at all.

Indeed, while the Times article presented Klobuchar as the best champion for centrism, Klobuchar is really a great example of why that’s not necessarily the best approach. I believe that it WOULD be the best approach in a country where the other member of the duopoly was not batshit insane and rationalizing everything on bad-faith arguments, but that’s where we are now, and if there was a legitimate reason that Trump won, it’s that the establishment approach to things is not working out for most people, and Klobuchar is nothing if not an establishment Democrat. The same New York magazine had another article just this Thursday showing how as a county attorney general, she put a teenager away for killing a child, but new reports suggest he wasn’t the guy who did it and there’s little direct evidence to suggest that he was. “It’s worth nothing that in her eight years as county attorney, cops and county sheriffs killed 29 civilians. Klobuchar’s office did not criminally charge any of the officers involved.” Now, while the Democrats can’t go too far to accommodate the woke “progressives,” they also shouldn’t try to alienate them by rationalizing this approach to government, especially since a lot of moderates and even conservatives are rethinking this approach to the law.

And ultimately, it just comes down to the same thing I have with Patrick and Bennett and to some extent Bloomberg: Why is Klobuchar here? What makes her approach better than everyone else, and why does she think her resume and profile are such that she could even get the nomination, much less beat Trump? Because again: Beating Trump is what we’ve got to be concerned with.

And so at this point I move away from the kids’ table to deal with the four people who’ve actually got a serious shot at winning the first set of races. Two are basically centrists and two are self-proclaimed progressives. I’ve already gone over my impressions of Biden and Buttigieg. I am a centrist, and Buttigieg is probably my favorite, since he reminds me of the common-sense approach of Obama, without Obama’s naive assertion that you can negotiate with Republicans on conventional terms of courtesy and compromise. And yet all the haters say he isn’t going to get anywhere once he reaches the Southern primaries with their huge black constituencies. (Klobuchar has Buttigieg’s same homefield advantage in the Midwest, but doesn’t seem to have any greater strength in South Carolina, and the media doesn’t make an issue of that.) I can’t deny that that is a factor, though. And I have to ask, if Buttigieg’s gayness is not an issue with most of the white public, how much of an issue is it for black voters who may be liberal on a lot of things but socially conservative? It’s not something one wants to acknowledge, but a lot of people didn’t want to acknowledge that Trump could win black, Hispanic and white female voters either.

Still, if Buttigieg’s youth and lack of national experience are a disadvantage in running for president, those factors in addition to his assets would make him an excellent running mate. Which means the Vice-Presidential debate with Mike Pence would be glorious.

And I like Joe Biden. But not as much as I did. I still think that there’s enough sympathy with the IDEA of what Donald Trump could be, contrasted with the ugly reality, that Biden could get support as the garrulous, politically incorrect guy who just wants to do the right thing. But even if Trump has done so much to lower the bar, I’m not sure that Democrats are going to endorse Joe the One-Man Gaffe Machine. Remember, in 2016, Republicans already thought they were in the Apocalypse. They were willing to endorse any candidate, no matter how scummy or unqualified, who had a real chance to beat Hillary Clinton and get Democrats out of power. By contrast, 2020 Democrats are still handicapped by a residual attachment to standards. This also means that they have to consider that the Ukraine smear campaign, fair or not, may work. Biden could still turn it to his advantage and point out that Trump’s Ukrainegate stunt demonstrates the depths that he and his party will go, and that they go to these depths because they’re more afraid of him than anyone else. And he does seem to be trying this, but I question how well it will work, or how flexible Biden will be in dodging the slime that he should know will be coming. The upside to sticking with Biden is the knowledge that if he isn’t chosen in the primary, Trump will pull some other skullduggery on whomever the nominee is. The bright side of that will be that Trump has already sunk so much of his attention to killing Biden that if he does, Trump’s going to have to switch it up late in the game, and it will be fairly awkward when he does. What, is he going to pressure Narendra Modi to investigate Elizabeth Warren because she’s an Indian?

Speaking of which: Now we get to the progressives. Again, I think that if you’re going to focus on Klobuchar and Warren, even though I am a centrist, that’s not necessarily the best approach, nor is the personality of Klobuchar better suited for the fight than that of Warren. To reiterate, Warren is going to be subject to much of the same snottery, bitch-calling, and other concealed and open sexism as Hillary Clinton. I also think she’ll deal with it better. The real difference between the Warren and Clinton, or Warren and Klobuchar, is personality. Warren seems nice. She seems sincere. And as they say, if you can fake sincerity, you’ve got it made. Hillary Clinton couldn’t pull off sincerity even on the issues you know she cared about. And that’s partially because she was lacking in spontaneity and partially because everyone knew she was only in it for Her. Warren lacks both of those flaws. She has genuine rapport with voters she meets, and as she says, she has a plan for each of the issues she targets, including a plan to require candidates to disclose their tax returns and place their assets in a blind trust. That in itself would be good reason to support her, since as with Buttigieg, she realizes you can’t just reset the system back to “normal” once the Democrats are back in charge, because normal under Democrats was the system that got us to where we are now.

As for Bernie Sanders: Bernie Sanders is to politics what the Ramones are to rock music: He’s only got one song, but everybody loves it. Actually since 2016, he’s branched out: In addition to dealing with “the billionaire class”, he’s gotten fixated on climate change. I don’t necessarily agree with everything, or even most things that Sanders and Warren want- in fact, Sanders signature success in 2016 and this campaign was making himself a major contender with no corporate or billionaire money, simply by bottom-up contributions and word-of-mouth. While many would claim this is socialism in theory, in practice socialism (in both ‘democratic’ and Leninist forms) has always been centralized. But by demonstrating the power of large groups of individuals, Sanders has demonstrated an alternative to both corporate and government influence even as he claims that corporate influence is insurmountable and that a larger government is needed to oppose it. Indeed, it’s largely because of government influence that corporate influence exists. Business wouldn’t spend so much money on influencing government if it were a wasted investment. I actually did support Sanders in 2016 and even changed from Libertarian to Democrat temporarily as a last-ditch shot to have someone other than Hillary against Trump. With the number of choices in the system now, I haven’t decided if I’ll do the same thing this year. Only a couple (Klobuchar and Bloomberg) are busybody statists that I really don’t like. (The other one, Kamala Harris, dropped out.) Any of the others, including Biden, would be acceptable. I would prefer Buttigieg at this point. But Sanders has the profile and the populist bona fides to fight Trump on the turf where he won.

After all this DAMN time, watching the Trumpublicans make this country more and more corrupt, watching Democrats continue to play circular firing squad, we have to pick who it is that is going to oppose Putin’s viceroy in November. And that process starts this week. A process of elimination.

Ladies and Gentlemen, boys and girls…

Dyin’ time’s here.

It becomes hard to have a democracy if one party – the GOP – no longer feels even the slightest obligation to make real arguments, and has decided there is no penalty for such bottomless bad faith.

-Greg Sargent

Well, as of the last day of January 2020, Donald Trump may not officially be a king, but by refusing to allow witness testimony at his impeachment trial, Mitch “the Bitch” McConnell has confirmed the new name of Trump’s Party: The Banana Republicans.

“No! This isn’t a Banana Republic! It’s just a system where one party has all the power, one party enforces the election rules, one party makes all decisions, one party can break all the rules they insist everyone else follow, and the Leader of that party is a law unto himself because his cronies will let him get away with anything!

“TOTALLY NOT the same thing!”

I mean, we already knew given the deliberately high standard for removing an impeached official, and the party-line consensus, that you weren’t actually going to have a removal, but they could have at least TRIED not to make it look like such a complete setup. As it is, The Party of Trump went in the total opposite direction, doing everything it could to send the message, “we can do whatever the fuck we want, and you can’t do shit about it.”

(Not that any true Republican would ever sully the air with such crude, un-Christian language.)

First, in the arguments phase, Trump’s mostly Republican staff pool of lawyers came to say in so many words, he didn’t do it, if he did do it, you can’t prove it (because we wouldn’t provide evidence as required by law) and even if you can prove it, so what, he’s the president. But as in so many cases, it took a real leftist to provide a foundation for right-wing corruption and rescue them from their own lack of imagination. That liberal being Alan Dershowitz, famed defense attorney and Trump’s fellow traveler in the Jeffrey Epstein Frequent Flyer Club. Of all Trump’s defenders, Dershowitz made the most buzz by declaring in front of witnesses Wednesday that “If a president does something which he believes will help him get elected, in the public interest, that cannot be the kind of quid pro quo that results in impeachment.” After getting his ass handed to him by public commentary, Dershowitz complained that he was misinterpreted, saying on Thursday, “They characterized my argument as if I had said that if a president believes that his re-election was in the national interest, he can do anything. I said nothing like that, as anyone who actually heard what I said can attest.”

Those two quotes are put close together. Saying “if a president believes that his re-election was in the national interest, he can do anything” is NOT in any way like the statement “if a president does something which he believes will help him get elected, in the public interest, that cannot be the kind of quid pro quo that results in impeachment”?

Sorry, Alan, but the only reason your remarks were “misinterpreted” is that they were so irresponsibly broad that they could be interpreted any way you want.

The presumption of innocence in common law already exists. There is already an institutional respect for the president’s prerogatives. But Dershowitz goes out of his way to go beyond these presumptions and actively assert that the president is the standard of judgment, and thus in his trial, the defendant is one who sets the standard of judgment. And it’s all justified by the liberals’ magic phrase, “the public interest.” As long as YOU can set the standard for what consitutes the public interest, you can literally do anything you want, because it’s “in the public interest.”

Years – or maybe weeks – from now, every political prisoner, everybody who’s lost their job because of the president, everyone who’s ever had their lives ruined by the political campaign of the ruling party, can look up and give thanks and praise to America’s great legal mind, Alan Dershowitz- that great left-wing defender of free speech and civil rights, and sole author of the US Constitution, version 2.0. A document that has one Article, one section, one paragraph: “Donald Trump can do anything he wants, cause he’s the President and you’re not. The End.”
As in, The End of the Republic.

Of course, one expects this sort of relativism and chicanery from Dershowitz, but when Ken Starr is on the same legal team as Alan Dershowitz, “conservatives” really need to take stock of where they are and how they got there.

It actually went downhill from there, as during the rest of the senatorial question phase, the Trump defense team and their amen corner in the Senate acted as though “BURISMA” was a magic word that would strike them with lightning and give them superpowers.

Bringing up Hunter and Joe Biden – or Rand Paul’s stunt of asking Justice Roberts to name the whistleblower (oh, by the way, Fuck You, Rand Paul) – were attempts to do the same thing as the Ukraine pressure campaign – smear Donald Trump’s assumed general election opponent, and in the process smear and intimidate anybody who gets in the way. Well, if Hunter Biden, who was never a Trump employee, is relevant to this case because of what he did in Ukraine during the Obama Administration, then former Trump employee Paul Manafort is relevant to this case because of what he did in the Ukraine during the Obama Administration. After all, that’s a large part of why he’s in prison himself and Hunter Biden is not. As much love as Adam Schiff gets, he really should have pointed that out.

What this behavior demonstrated above all else is that Republicans are not disinterested public servants or even political associates of Trump. They are active co-conspirators in a criminal act.

The “silver lining” in this is that there is no pretending about that anymore. There is no pretending that Republicans care about anything other than their Leader and their donor class. They don’t care about the Constitution and they sure as hell don’t care about the people who vote for them.
And this was demonstrated by the start of the endgame. Late Thursday toward midnight Friday, the elder-statesman Senator Lamar Alexander (BR.-Tennessee) stated on his position on the modern world’s preferred medium of intellectual discourse: Twitter. In a 15-post tweetstorm, Alexander went over the facts: “It was inappropriate for the president to ask a foreign leader to investigate his political opponent and to withhold United States aid to encourage that investigation.” “There is no need for more evidence to conclude that the president withheld United States aid, at least in part, to pressure Ukraine to investigate the Bidens; the House managers have proved this with what they call a “mountain of overwhelming evidence.” “There is no need for more evidence to prove that the president asked Ukraine to investigate Joe Biden and his son, Hunter; he said this on television on October 3, 2019, and during his July 25, 2019, telephone call with the president of Ukraine.” And yet, in the same paragraph where he said, “I worked with other senators to make sure that we have the right to ask for more documents and witnesses, ” Alexander continued, “but there is no need for more evidence to prove something that has already been proven and that does not meet the U.S. Constitution’s high bar for an impeachable offense.”

It’s totally cowardly, of course, but at least it’s honest. None of this smarmy defense of “my sweet little boy could never ever ever do anything wrong.” It’s flat-out: We don’t NEED more evidence because the case is already proven. We’re just not going to acknowledge it.

And notice we go back to that old bit, “he did it, but it doesn’t rise to the level of an impeachable offense.” I don’t know if that sounds familiar to you, but it was the same defense that Democrats in the Senate made for Bill Clinton in 1998. I know how much Republicans hate the Clintons, but apparently they decided the only way to beat them was to become them.

And to continue with the candy-ass: “The question then is not whether the president did it, but whether the United States Senate or the American people should decide what to do about what he did.”

If “conservatives” are going to stamp down any dissent with “It’s a Republic, not a Democracy!” it begs the question: What is the point of a representative republic if the representatives are not going to vote their own minds? If you’re going to take the choice away from the public but then when called upon to decide, you say, “let the voters decide” – well, why do we NEED you?

“I believe that the Constitution provides that the people should make that decision in the presidential election that begins in Iowa on Monday. “

Oh, don’t worry, Lamar.

We will.

In wake of the New York Times conditionally endorsing not one but two Democrats for president this weekend, I was going to go over an analysis of where the still dozen-odd candidates stand before Iowa. But that’s gonna take me a little bit of time.

So I’ll mention a couple of current events in passing. First, on Tuesday January 21, the Senate proceeded with the impeachment trial of Donald John Trump, Viceroy of Russian North America. The main news in a trial that Mitch “the Bitch” McConnell desperately wants to be over with as soon as possible is that, after first announcing that arguments would only have 24 hours over two days to proceed – two 12-hour shifts starting at 1 pm – he relented and agreed to stretch the 24 hours over three days in 8-hour shifts.

Now, I would not expect a Senate with a Republican majority to remove a Republican president. In the last impeachment, a (slim) Republican majority failed to convict President Bill Clinton. The removal of an impeached president requires a very high standard, and it is unlikely to be met even if the Republicans were not a bunch of goosestepping party hacks determined to avoid even the most blatant facts to protect their political machine. They ARE, but the fact that McConnell made even this much concession indicates that enough sensible people in his party know that publicly announcing themselves as goosestepping hacks for a political machine might hurt their re-election campaigns.

This is another reason why McConnell, even more than Nancy Pelosi, didn’t want things to get to this point, because if she was politically obliged to push for impeachment (after having a set of undeniable facts), he is politically obliged to force an acquittal in denial of undeniable facts. And that means that when the Senate refuses to judge the facts, it becomes the Senate that is on trial, and their jurors are their voters. And this year there are 35 Senate seats up for grabs, and Republicans have to defend 23. Democrats only need to pick up a net four. As a practical matter, whoever is in charge makes the rules, but also as a practical matter, they at least want to pretend to the rule of law over partisan advantage, and the blatant assertion of bad-faith arguments only goes so far.

This issue of political bad faith touches on the other observation I had. The trial of course did not start on Monday because this Monday was the official three-day weekend for Martin Luther King Day. This also happened to be the day before the Virginia Commonwealth Senate approved, as previously announced, SB 240, a bill allowing the state to remove firearms from “persons posing substantial risk”. In response, various groups announced a rally on Martin Luther King Day to protest the bill. Prior to January 20, Governor Ralph Northam actually declared a state of emergency due to alleged threats from armed protestors. Well, the event came and went Monday, and everything proceeded rather peacefully. And while a lot of right-wing media, including of course Reason magazine, emphasized that people protesting for their rights ought not to be considered a huge threat to the system, various other media emphasized how most of the protestors went outside the designated no-guns public protest space to wear not only guns but camouflage military gear.

It simply demonstrates that this country really is two enemy camps, one of which is literally armed and the other of which is starting to think that’s a good idea.

Of course if you follow Antifa – or Rage Against the Machine – you know that having a regard for political self-defense is not exclusive to the Right. And while Antifa activists were at pains to avoid the Virginia rally “citing serious safety concerns” and to avoid being associated with the right-wingers, the fact that such leftists exist means that the various Facebook liberals who call gun-rights people “fascist” while insisting that Antifa have nothing in common with fascist tactics once again have to come to a reckoning with cognitive dissonance. Be that as it may, it was very easy for liberal media to tag the protestors as a bunch of wannabe paramilitary fascists, because that’s how they intended to present themselves. Home self-defense, let alone hunting, doesn’t require guerrilla-warfare displays, and you can’t be surprised when other people feel threatened by an armed show of numbers. Not only that, Dr. King was murdered, by a racist, with a gun, in the South, and choosing MLK Day to make such a display might come off as bad form.

Keep in mind, the only reason the Right (and incidentally aligned leftists) even had to have this protest is because Virginia’s government switched to a Democratic majority as of the last election (which in Virginia is held in odd-numbered years). So it can’t be surprising that once Democrats got elected they actually set out to keep their promises. Well, maybe it might surprise you if you kept chanting “Lock Her Up” and “Mexico Will Pay For The Wall” and yet Hillary isn’t locked up and Mexico isn’t paying for Trump’s wall. The fact that the election was just last year ought to indicate the strength of the Republican Party in what was once a reliably conservative state, and indicates that this is what we can expect in the future. So if gun rights are an issue to you – or if that is only one issue along with “fetus rights” and pro-business policy – it behooves you to not vote for a party that undermines its case by saying that the rest of the country is the enemy, their political rights are a threat to yours, and if you are not allowed to rule unchallenged, you may take it to the streets.

Oh, that reminds me, Trumpniks – you sick of winning yet?

Some songs NEVER go out of style.

Well, that was a big waste of everybody’s time.

Not just because the impeachment of Donald Trump is going to be nullified to whatever extent allowed by Senate Majority Leader Mitch “the Bitch” McConnell, but because House Republicans acted as though on this day, December 18, their actions would actually have some effect on the outcome. Because even IF the Senate had 67 votes to convict Viceroy Trump, that WOULD NOT overturn the 2016 election. It would simply mean that the elected Vice-President takes over.

But almost every Republican who got to speak on the House floor tried to outdo themselves, as though the more ANGRY and HYSTERICAL they got and THE MORE THEY SHOUTED AT THE TOP OF THEIR LUNGS, the more objectively valid their arguments would get. They seriously acted as though this was the worst thing in the world, as if the other party were only impeaching their president for totally partisan reasons, and AS IF that had never happened before. But it is not the worst thing in the world. Unless Mitch knows something I don’t, he IS going to quash this thing in the Senate. And if he doesn’t, the Republican President is Mike Pence.

And the impression I got from the Trump Organization employees who used to be the Republican Party is that the most horrible thing in the world, the thing that we MUST avoid at all costs, is letting Mike Pence become president.

Maybe they know something we don’t.

But really, when it came to raving like a fanatic in the throes of supernatural possession, the real cherry on this seven-layer shit sundae was the appropriately named Representative Barry Loudermilk of Georgia, who actually said, “When Jesus was falsely accused of treason, Pontius Pilate gave Jesus the opportunity to face his accusers. During that sham trial, Pontius Pilate afforded more rights to Jesus than Democrats afforded this president in this process.”

This may seem like a strange question to ask of a conservative Christian, but: Has this guy actually READ the Bible?

And I’m guessing he’s not a Catholic, but does he know the saints?

Saint Valentine: “I heard confessions and was sent to prison by the Romans, where I died.” Saint Sebastian: “I defended Christ and was shot full of arrows.” Saint Lawrence: “I protected the poor, and was roasted on a gridiron.” Saint Donnie: “I did everything for these Christians, I gave them two Justices, I got the embassy moved to Jerusalem, and the Democrats hated me before I was even elected, and then I twisted Zelensky’s arm for dirt on Joe Biden, which is totally legal and very fair, and they impeached me!! Treason. Very unfair.”

“…Wow, dude. Must be tough.”

But face it Democrats: this really IS all your fault. You know that the Republicans don’t have any original ideas. First they stole everything from the libertarians, until they figured out that there aren’t any libertarian votes, at which point they stole from left-populism, which in their hands is Huey Long at best.

In this case, the lesson they stole from Bill Clinton and his Democratic Party was: Never give up. Always defend your Leader. No. Matter. WHAT. No matter what comes out after you stake your position. No matter what he does to embarrass himself, and by extension, you. No matter what the risk that you will lose your job next year so that he can keep his for one more day. Will you be vindicated by history? No. By God? Maybe not. But you’ll get to keep power for a little while longer, and you’ll never have to admit you were wrong. And really, aren’t those the most important things in life?

In choosing to repeat history – the first time as farce, the second time as tragedy – the Republicans have not absolved the Democrats of their historical error, but in choosing to compound it, they have made the Democrats look relatively less corrupt in comparison, which in this political environment may as well be the same thing.

They have their legacy, Republicans. And you have yours.

Your representative owes you, not his industry only, but his judgment, and he betrays instead of serving you if he sacrifices it to your opinion.

-Edmund Burke

I don’t want to deal much with Viceroy Trump anymore, because there’s not much new to say, and the subject is just depressing. And not just because of the Right, but because of the whole two-party dynamic. As the House Judiciary Committee passed two Articles of Impeachment Friday, some people were sending signals that some Democrats in pro-Trump states were willing to compromise by suggesting that censure would be preferable to impeachment. In fact one Democrat who refused to consider impeachment, New Jersey’s Jeff Van Drew, is deciding to join the Republican Party. But there was another thing that happened during the case earlier in the week. On Tuesday, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi did a press conference with Adam Schiff and Judiciary Chairman Jerry Nadler to announce the two articles of impeachment, but about an hour later she came to the cameras again to announce that Congress had agreed to the updated US-Mexico-Canada Agreement (or as the Administration calls it, USMCA).

Republicans have been whining all this time that Democrats have hated Trump from Day One, which is certainly true, and that they’ve been plotting to impeach him from Day One, which is not necessarily true. If legislation like the trade deal was more the rule than the exception, impeachment might not have happened at all. After all, Democrats really hated George W. Bush for his Electoral College victory, but they worked with him. They even authorized his war in Iraq. And that’s because they didn’t want to be seen as going against the president. Which only points up the fact that whatever you think of W, he at least tried to be the President of the United States, and not the unilateral boss of a Trump Organization that happens to include a government.

The other factor in this is that under Bush the two parties were actually cooperating to a certain extent on legislation, as opposed to Trump, who goes back on deals simply because he can, and because he actually thinks that the definition of ‘fair deal’ is “I get everything I want, and you get nothing.”

With the USMCA, 75 percent of automobiles sold in North America must be produced in the region, and 40 percent of cars must be made in factories that pay workers at least $16 an hour. The Trump Administration got the deal it wanted, but also made these concessions to Democrats and labor unions. Democrats also got the removal of a provision protecting the property protections of big pharmaceutical companies. At the same time the Administration got the Democrats to lift their demand to remove liability protections for Facebook and Twitter. Legislation got accomplished because each side got at least a little bit accomplished. Some of you might be too young to know this, but that is how the two elected branches of government used to work.

You’re not going to see that kind of compromise on impeachment. A censure resolution would have been the sensible bipartisan compromise, but if the two factions of the duopoly were still capable of such, we wouldn’t be here. It is true that some squish Democrats would like to have a censure instead of an impeachment, but their political future is not endangered if they go one way or the other. Whereas for a censure resolution to pass, Republicans would have to join it, and the entire Party has staked its entire identity on the defense that their sweet little boy never ever ever ever ever did anything wrong. Even a censure would undermine that defense, and any Republican who voted for such would be branded a RINO, and all the redcaps would be, perhaps literally, screaming for their blood, and trying to primary them out of the Party with anybody they can get, even if it’s just a mannequin with a tape recorder of Trump’s speeches inside it.

You know, like Matt Gaetz.

The fact is that the likely result is the best and most practical compromise that’s going to happen: The Democrats in the House will have a party-line vote to impeach, the Republicans in the Senate will have a party-line vote to acquit, the Democrats will get to tar Trump going into his re-election campaign and the Republicans will still get to have their little boy as King. Plus which, if getting legislation accomplished under a Republican President is apparently a liability for Democrats, then the last thing they should want is to let Mike Pence complete Trump’s term, because he might get more negotiation accomplished since he does a better imitation of a human being.

You got a compromise on the North American trade deal because both parties could get something out of it. You will not get a compromise on impeachment because Republicans will not get anything out of it and Democrats have no incentive to back off. And you have to consider, Democrats: if you’re asking Republicans to agree with your position that a sleazy pathological liar is morally unfit to be president, (a position, as with white supremacy, where your two parties seem to have switched places) I have to ask why they would. Republicans do not agree with you on taxation or redistribution of capital. They do not agree with you on abortion. They do not agree with your “diversity” and social agenda. And you are asking them to help you remove the best advocate they have.

I nevertheless have to ask Republicans: Best advocate for what?

On December 10, paleoconservative website The American Conservative published a piece by Daniel Larison, simply titled “The Case For Impeachment Is Overwhelming.”

https://www.theamericanconservative.com/larison/the-case-for-impeachment-is-overwhelming/

Larison says, “The case for Trump’s impeachment seemed quite strong more than two months ago, and the evidence provided to the House’s impeachment inquiry has strengthened it further. The president’s abuse of power is not in dispute. It is clear that he used the powers of his office in an attempt to extract a corrupt favor for his personal benefit, and this is precisely the sort of offense that impeachment was designed to keep in check. It doesn’t matter if the attempt succeeded. All that matters is that the attempt was made. It is also undeniable that he has sought to impede the investigation into his misconduct. The president has committed the offenses he is accused of committing, and the House should approve both articles of impeachment. ” He then says, “The president doesn’t have a credible line of defense left. That is why his apologists in Congress and elsewhere have been reduced to making increasingly absurd and desperate claims. The president’s defenders want to distract attention from the fact that the president abused his power, violated the public’s trust, and broke his oath of office, but these distractions are irrelevant. “

That doesn’t stop them from trying, even in this magazine. In reaction to the Conservative victory in British elections, American Conservative writer and senior editor Rod Dreher looked at the liberal media culture in this country that rooted for Labour, and said “these NYT clowns are just daring me to vote for Trump”. He earlier said, in reference to an internal debate within conservative Christianity, that “While some Evangelical leaders have gone way, way over the top with their Trump enthusiasm, it is an inconvenient truth that the short-fingered vulgarian from Queens, who has given no evidence of being a Christian in anything but name only, is the only major Republican figure who seems willing to side with us deplorable Bible-thumpers on these matters. “

A while ago, after a vacation in Spain, Dreher did an analysis of the state of Christianity there, finding it to be a hollow shell in a secularized social-democrat culture (like the rest of Europe) and reviewed it in terms of how it got to that point, only a few decades after the death of dictator Francisco Franco. Dreher examines the Spanish Civil War largely in terms of how awful the Socialists were, but concludes not only that “had Franco not won, Spain would almost certainly have fallen under left-wing dictatorship, and been no better off — and perhaps worse off” but “Franco was not a good man, and that there’s really no way for Christians to get around that fact.” In reviewing a Franco biography by Peter Hitchens, Dreher grapples with Hitchens’ question: “How do we defend what we love without making false alliances with cynical powers?” Even then, Dreher says after returning from Spain, “We have already seen, in the example of Trump, that conservative Christians will embrace politically a bad man, not because they have any love for him but because unlike left-wing leaders, he doesn’t despise them, and seek to demonize them.” (Of course, simply because you’re exploited for your votes rather than demonized doesn’t mean that your manipulator doesn’t despise you, and I’m not sure Dreher admits this to himself.) And that while Dreher would prefer not to choose a “lesser evil” in such a way that it leads to something like the Spanish Civil War, and seems to blame the Left for letting things get to this point, “I also deeply wish that American Christians would recognize that our strength in American culture, political and otherwise, is superficial, and politics alone cannot sustain what has decayed from within.”

TAC writer Grayson Quay reaches a similar conclusion: “After all that bloodshed, repression, and censorship, the best that can be said is that what would have happened in the ’60s happened instead 20 years later with a slightly more punk-rock flavor. In fact, he may have done more harm than good. To this day, Spanish Catholicism and conservatism are, in the minds of many Spaniards, tainted by Franco’s legacy. … At the time of Franco’s burial, the unmistakable message of the basilica that served as his tomb was that Satan’s minions had been vanquished and the Caudillo could enter eternal rest secure in the knowledge that he had saved Catholic Spain. After his exhumation (in October), the message for us is that the Christendom that endured from Constantine until the middle of the 20th century cannot be preserved, certainly not by force. If we try, we’ll only make things worse. “

If we are to agree that Francisco Franco was not a fascist, but simply a pragmatic right-winger who took extreme but necessary actions against radical socialism, and we are to interpret Trump on the same lines, then by Dreher’s own analogy, the best-case scenario is one where the public abandons traditional religion and embraces hard-socialist politics within a generation after the death of El Caudillo. Again: that’s the BEST case scenario, because Franco was actually competent. For one thing, just because Hitler helped him get to power, Franco didn’t feel obligated to become his puppet in foreign affairs. Trump is another story.

I know that Pat Buchanan and maybe Rod Dreher would prefer Francisco Franco to Barack Obama, but Trump is not General Franco. He’s Archie Bunker without the intellectual depth.

So on one hand you have a respected hard-right website where one of the senior columnists says that even if conservatives should prefer Trump to a Democrat opponent, the case for impeachment is overwhelming. And then you have an editor at that site saying essentially, “to hell with the facts, I have faith.” And then he laments that the next generation considers faith to be morally inadequate.

I quote Rod Dreher this much not just because he is probably the most articulate advocate for the “trad” position in political writing, but as a writer who touches on politics as much as religion and culture – because of course they are all related – he is also one of the more articulate advocates for what I call the Trump rationalization. Unlike outright Trumpniks who embrace malice and anti-logic, Dreher presents his case from the view of a principled man who feels forced into his current alignment by the impression that the only other path in the political system would be far more immoral – which is of course the same presentation as a lot of other conservatives who use a lot less theology to get there. But this presentation is based on the critical error of assuming that Trump is like Franco in being a ruthless pragmatist in defense of what could be seen as a greater cultural crusade. Trump only cares about his own self-preservation and indulgence, and was very much a part of the secular culture he now aligns against. He only picked up with “conservatives” because he shares many of the same prejudices. He is lying to them in the same way that pre-Trump Republicans lied to libertarians, only with far greater consequences, not just because of numbers because traditionalists and populists are far more inclined to use government to punish the people they hate. And Dreher repeatedly brings up how Franco’s ruthlessness in defense of the Church only served to taint the Church by association. When Trump is gone – or if he ends up losing the next year and taking the Senate with him – Dreher and other traditionalists will be in the same position as Trump’s Atlantic City creditors, along with his two-and-counting ex-wives.

Dreher may think the popular culture hates people like him now, but before 2017, there wasn’t that much rationale for such hatred. But when you push a bill to re-implant an ectopic pregnancy when all medical knowledge says that’s impossible, it makes people think you don’t actually care about the welfare of the unborn. And when you wail about the precedent set by Bill Clinton’s perjury and adultery and wish to absolve Donald Trump of far worse, it makes people think you weren’t serious about morality and precedent the first time. It’s almost as if Christians DON’T believe that there is a supernatural authority that judges us in the afterlife, because they sure don’t act like it.

Dreher is correct when he says leftists would hate people like him regardless, but that just means that all you can control is your own actions. Apart from supernatural revelation, the only way you can judge the morality of Christians is by their actions. And just as Dreher himself left the Catholic Church over its corruption, many people have judged that religion is not a moral guide and is in fact destructive to moral growth. And just as the Church tainted itself by association with the authoritarian Franco, professional Christians are creating a better advertisement for socialism than the socialists themselves could accomplish with their limited imaginations. It doesn’t help when “conservatism” has embraced all the intellectual vices that both conservatives and Objectivists had observed in the Left.

Republicans were so obsessed with their hatred of Clinton Democrats that they decided that the only way to beat them was to become them. Not just in the sense that they worship a slick, superficial salesman, but that they offer the exact same excuses in his defense, such as “you can’t impeach a president who’s committed no real crime when the economy is good!” They were so jealous of the success of postmodernism that they embraced it (‘truth isn’t truth‘). And they were so obsessed with Saul Alinsky’s Rules for Radicals that they embraced its amoral pragmatism as a how-to guide, so that any trick is fair as long as you win (‘The ninth rule of the ethics of means and ends is that any effective means is automatically judged by the opposition as being unethical’) and that the opposition must be not simply opposed but literally demonized (‘[Christ] allowed no middle ground to the moneychangers in the Temple. One acts decisively only in the conviction that all the angels are on one side and all the devils on the other’).

But if there is any sentiment in the “conservative” movement that combines secular error with magical thinking, it’s a certain flimsy New Age-y pop philosophy that “only the present is real.”

While one could make a case in philosophy that the present is the only reality, this has never been a conservative argument. G.K. Chesterton was famously quoted as saying “tradition is the democracy of the dead.” Edmund Burke is counted as the father of conservatism in the Anglosphere, and he is quoted as saying “People will not look forward to posterity, who never look backward to their ancestors.” (He is also quoted as saying: ‘the only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for good men to do nothing.’) But more broadly, a disregard for the past is a disregard for how things got to a certain point, a disregard for the idea that actions have consequences, and a disregard for the very concept of causality. Forget Judgment Day: To act as though Republicans themselves had not impeached a president for far less than Trump’s acts is to deny the precedent they set (just as Democrats ignore the precedent they set in enabling Clinton’s criminality). It is to deny their very agency in the matter. It is to act as though we are not setting an additional precedent and that by sheer stubbornness and will, we can stay in the present moment forever. As such, Republicans are not simply Donald Trump’s defense team, but his co-conspirators.

And if conservatives persist in defending the unlimited powers of Donald Trump, as if the office were only synonymous with him, and that is a legal precedent that stands by their actions, then when a future Democrat President signs executive orders jacking the top tax rate to 95 percent, or mandating federal funding of abortions, then the eternal present for conservatives will be full of tears, and very, very long indeed.