OK, So What Now?

As you know by now, June 27, incumbent President Joe Biden had his first 2024 debate against once and possibly future Viceroy for Russian North America Donald Trump, and the universal consensus is that Joe did not have a good night. Which is a polite understatement on the level of “Maybe the Germans should have brought more winter supplies to invade Russia”, “Napoleon was a pretty good artillery captain” or “Michael Ironside has been in a few bad movies.”

If nothing else I got an answer to my question as to why so many people hate Joe Biden and can’t give him credit for anything his Administration does, because Americans can only see the superficial and optics are everything. And Donald Trump understands this better than anyone else. And that is why he has been leading Biden, because Biden actually looks his age while Trump wears a Tribble on his scalp and paints his face the same color they gave David Soul in that one Star Trek episode with the giant lizard head.

But Biden’s age in itself isn’t an insurmountable issue. It’s been the given for quite some time. And he has proven to be pretty sharp on several occasions this year, notably the State of the Union speech, though I recall his voice was going out there too. But in this week’s debate, Joe just seemed out of it. Like, he’d been roped into a Juneteenth celebration and he had no idea what that music was. Sure he focused and started swinging back at Trump by the second half, but that didn’t correct the lethal first impression, especially if you, like many viewers, watched for five minutes, shot your TV and then started looking up prospects for a work visa in Ireland.

The point is, Biden’s performance was so bad that after the debate, all through the night various insiders with ears in the media started making noises to the effect that Democrats need to replace him at the Democratic National Covention.
Guys: Are you really going to go there? Because if you’re serious, you need to explore just how serious your options are.

First off, as I have said, if the president dies or has to retire, he already has a replacement set up, and in this case the replacement is Kamala Harris. And frankly: If people thought Kamala Harris was up to snuff, Democrats would not be in a state of total panic right now. Indeed my position is, and has been, that Biden is only running for a second term because he knows Kamala Harris would be even less popular versus Trump than he is.

And then the second question is not whether they can pull off a brokered convention. If that decision is made, then the process is secondary. The question is who they nominate. Because just as the awful truth of the Republican Party is that there is nobody (except maybe Nikki Haley) who has a chance of winning a national election other than Trump, there is probably no one in the Democratic Party with the national profile and popularity to win the race other than Joe Biden – except perhaps Bernie Sanders, who like the running candidates is real, real old, and technically not a Democrat.

The people with the strongest profile are in different categories. First, Senators like Sanders or Elizabeth Warren. In these cases, that would be taking an incumbent Senator away from the Democrats when their margin is only technical, one seat is guaranteed to flip Republican because Joe Manchin isn’t running in West Virginia, and Democrats are going to need a Senate majority if they win the White House or especially if they don’t. Then you have some non-elected people who are prominent Democrats like Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, but in his case, he ran for President as an openly gay man and found out that certain demographics of Democratic voters aren’t as “progressive” on that issue as he needed them to be. And then of course you have Gavin Newsom, Governor of California. I’m sure he’s sincere when he says he’s supporting Biden, if only because of the practical issues involved in switching horses mid-stream. But if someone gave him a serious transition plan, I’m also sure he wouldn’t turn it down.

And then there’s Biden himself. All the news insiders are saying that the only one who can make him step down is him, and the only people who might convince him to do that are people of the same stature whom he respects, namely: Bill Clinton and Barack Obama. But then, they’re the ones who decided Hillary Clinton was a better candidate than Joe Biden in 2016, so how good is their judgment on this matter?

On an online forum for The Bulwark staff, Bill Kristol declared his position by saying, “If there is no solution, then there is no problem.” You just go with what you have, which is still the most realistic option.

And it just points out the critical difference between liberals and “conservatives” – liberals still act like facts matter. They still act like they have standards. When Biden or some other Democrat is stupid or incompetent, they will actually call it out. They may try to spin somewhat, but they don’t deny what they see. Whereas for the past few weeks, at least, Trump’s fan club and pet media have seen him on the podium insult his own audience or go into a fugue state, and they still act like he built the Pyramids, wrote the King James Bible and invented sliced bread.

Maybe Democrats need more of that. And I think I saw some of that when I looked at the YouTube comments on various people’s pages. I saw people saying basically the same things: “I’m worried, but I can’t vote for Trump.” “We can’t let Trump win.” “I’d rather vote for a ham sandwich than Trump.”

Wishful thinking and denial of reality. Democrats ought to try it out. It’s worked great for Republicans so far!

The Debate Disaster

The June 27 CNN debate between Joe Biden and Donald Trump was already expected to be a low point in the history of our republic and the choices it allows itself to have in government, and if anything, it exceeded expectations.

Leading up to this debate, Republicans seemed so eager to talk down expectations that they almost seemed scared of Joe, like he was going to stage the same comeback he did at the State of the Union speech, cause he was on COCAINE! You’ve heard of Cocaine Bear? This is Cocaine Biden!

If Joe had been coked up, he might have been better off.

For the first time, I actually saw what all the Biden-haters have been seeing in him: Joe looked scared, and lost, and OLD. Meanwhile, Trump was doing his usual rambling, evading, bragging Gish Gallop, but at least he seemed to know where he was, which is more than you could say for him in the last few weeks. As many people pointed out, shutting off the other candidate’s mic was assumed to kill Trump’s main weapon, but it actually served to his advantage by allowing him to focus, and made it that much harder for Biden to counter him, when he actually did.

And after the fact I saw a whole bunch of commentators like Keith Olbermann say that the CNN anchors did not challenge Trump on his various lies and evasions about January 6 in particular, but the thing is, it is not the job of reporters to hold Biden’s hand – or the voter’s hand – and point out the stuff that everyone knows isn’t true. Saying “that’s not true”, like Kaitlin Collins did in rump’s townhall lovefest, isn’t enough. What matters in a debate is FIGHTING BACK, and fighting back twice as hard. Imagine if Joe had been just as forceful and direct as Trump was, but with facts on his side. Of course the facts were on his side anyway, but in a TV debate, everything is optics. In this particular case, facts don’t matter. Certainly that was Trump’s strategy. What you need to do is win the day, and as we have seen with the Republican Party, far too many people who know better are willing to meekly surrender and march behind a moronic, dick-swinging bully who shits on everything he touches, as long as it seems like he’s winning. And right now, it seems like Trump’s winning.

And Biden’s performance was the sort of thing that has caused people like Bill Maher to say that Joe shouldn’t be running, and it’s “selfish” of him to hold on when he could die any day. For one thing, there’s a big difference between the President and Ruth Bader Ginsburg: If the president dies, or has to retire, there’s already a replacement set to go. In this case, that replacement is Kamala Harris.

NOW do you see why Joe is still running?

Because if you tell most Americans the choice (if they can’t stand Trump) is either Biden or Harris, most Americans would prefer Biden, probably including a majority of Democrats. After all, if Democrats had preferred her in the 2020 primaries, she would probably be president now.

But that means the issue is both Biden and Harris. You would think that with all the advantages of incumbency, which Trump no longer has, that Democrats would be able to put off the issue of whether they wish to be led by Harris, and if not her, whom, until after they win in 2024, but now more and more Democrats are starting to wonder.

The Telegraph: “White House aides have spent the last three weeks claiming that any stories about the US president’s age and mental capacity were manipulated “cheapfakes” or outright lies. But those at home watching the two men on stage tonight were left with an unavoidable conclusion: Mr Biden struggled to hold his own, and Donald Trump wiped the floor with him.” Reuters, quoting “Top Biden Donor Who Did Not Wish To Be Named”: “There is no way to spin this. His performance was disqualifying.” Analyst Amy Walter: “To be sure, Trump did not ‘win’ this debate as much as Biden lost it. Trump lobbed multiple falsehoods and lies. He failed to make a positive case for his second term, spending more time litigating Biden’s failures. But, Trump is leading in the polls and doesn’t need a ‘rest’ in the way Biden does.” USA Today: “That’s a good man. He loves his country. He’s doing the best that he can,” said Van Jones, a Democratic political analyst for CNN. “But he had a test to meet tonight to restore confidence in the country and of the base, and he failed to do that.” Jones added: “We’re still far from our convention. And there is time for this party to figure out a different way forward if he will allow us to do that.”

Jones was not the only person to say that. And indeed, the Democratic National Convention is not until mid-August. But what are we saying? Are we saying that a party convention isn’t the de facto coronation of the guy who’s got all the organizational bigwigs on his side? Especially since he’s the president?

People say that this election, and this debate in particular, go to show us how screwed this country is, but if the United States is to truly be a representative republic, it has to be led by the people who matter the most: Really old white guys who have no clue what they’re doing.

Are we going to say that Democrats aren’t going to do what they’re “supposed” to, that they’re going to do what they did before the 1980s, and actually get people on the floor to put younger, newer leaders forward and let the community decide, on the basis of who the best choice really is???

What kind of Commie un-American idea is that?!?

C’mon, MAN

As we are running towards 2024’s first presidential debate, which Trump probably will attend, because he will never pass up an opportunity to talk (unless it’s under oath) it’s becoming more clear that the Biden Administration sees the debate as a make-or-break moment. Because Biden, after everything we’ve found out about Trump, is still running behind.

This week the FiveThirtyEight poll shows Biden and Trump still tied. Quinnipiac is showing Trump 49, Biden 45. The 270toWin national poll for this week shows Biden 44.33 percent and Trump 44.67 with “Other” holding the remainder.

That IS with the post Trump trial bump.

And we know this is an issue with Biden as opposed to Democrats generally, because of polls. The Nevada Independent quoted an AARP poll showing that Biden is behind Trump in Nevada by 3 points as of June 25 (prior to Robert Kennedy Jr. being factored in) while incumbent Democratic Senator Jacky Rosen leads Republican challenger Sam Brown by at least 5 points. Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown is running 5 points ahead of his Republican challenger in Ohio, according to Politico. Trump leads Biden by 7 points in the same survey.

As Joan Rivers would say, can we TALK?

Certainly I can understand why people would hate Trump. I can even understand why some people would love Trump. He is, that much more than Ronald Reagan, an exemplar of the Republican attitude that being a great entertainer is synonymous with being a great politician. He is a dumbass for public amusement, who gleefully insults his own audience, knowing they will gleefully respond, because they think they’re flipping off the libs together. He is the Lord of Misrule that the drunks at Mardi Gras elect to be king for the duration of the festivities. The problem of course is that Ash Wednesday always comes, and with it, the hangover.

In this case the hangover was Trump Virus (TM) which ruined the economy that Trump keeps bragging about, and is the reason you no longer have local buffets, or 24-hour supermarkets, and is the reason why they actually raised minimum wage over ten whole dollars an hour in some states, with the effect that had on the economy. If not for that, Trump might have actually been re-elected. But he wasn’t because everybody could see that in a real crisis moment, he was too stupid and immature to react appropriately. But now he’s not the one in charge and everyone wants to blame Biden for the way things are, due to policies that were largely a reaction to Trump fucking everything up. As usual, all Republicans have is America’s national short-term memory.

What I absolutely cannot understand is not why some people love Trump; I understand that all too well. What I do not understand is why some people are not just un-enthused by Joe Biden but absolutely loathe him. Because while it’s easy to see both why some people love Trump and some people hate him, the worst thing you can say about Joe Biden is that he’s too dull to hate.

But just as Trump’s fan club exaggerates Trump’s alleged virtues (like his Christianity) outside their reality, they assume Biden is some kind of tyrant or monster. But part of that is Trump’s propaganda campaign acting like Biden is the real threat to freedom because he’s the one in charge and his administration is prosecuting Trump, completely avoiding all the reasons why. It’s bad enough when Trump acts like “I’m rubber, you’re glue” is a serious political strategy but it is absolutely infuriating when the mainstream media enables him to do it.

That might explain why polls also show Democratic voters blame Biden for the Gaza war (which was provoked by Hamas and its anti-American sponsors), 29% of those polled thought the Biden Administration was behind the Trump/Stormy Daniels trial (a New York case that had actually been delayed while Trump was in office) and 17% of voters actually blame Joe Biden for the Dobbs decision killing Roe v. Wade.

It could just be that many Americans are fucking hammerheads, which is my Occam’s Razor explanation for an increasing number of things these days.

The main issue affecting Americans in regard to their daily lives under Biden is inflation, and again, Biden Administration policies like the American Rescue Plan directly contributed to that, but they were a direct reaction to the effects of COVID on the economy, and those lingering effects included supply shortages that would have affected prices whether there was a government stimulus or not, and were also present in other countries that also had post-COVID inflation. Actually, the joke is that if not for COVID Trump might have actually won re-election because up to that point things weren’t so bad for most people, but once he had a moment of real crisis and challenge everybody could see that not only was he not up to it, he was actually making the problem worse by allowing the disease to spread for lack of an organized policy. And yet at the same time, the worse things got, the more Trump insisted on hogging the spotlight of the government’s coronavirus plan (or lack thereof) and demanding even more media than he already got. And so there was an inevitable contrast between this whining, braying prima donna who demanded credit for everything without getting results, and Joe Biden, who was and is the exact opposite. It worked for Biden then, but ironically, that very contrast may be what is hurting him now.

On a personal level, Biden’s biggest weakness, especially when challenging Trump’s ethics, is Hunter Biden and a gun prosecution that Hunter could have avoided but probably didn’t precisely because the system wanted to seem like it was being “fair.” But the fact that Biden has problems with a ne’er-do-well son who has drug problems is actually something that could make more people empathize with him. I’ve said this before, but the reason Biden keeps hitting that “I know what it feels like” schtick is because he can. He does know what it feels like cause he’s been where a lot of people are. Whereas Donald Trump has suffered real tragedies in life, namely the death of close relatives, but you’d never know because he doesn’t want to dispel his image of the invincible strongman who never loses. Acknowledging death (among other things) would mean acknowledging that there are some losses you can’t avoid.

Maybe that’s why Biden isn’t popular with the kind of people who like Trump. Cause they don’t want to acknowledge that reality.

Biden is normal. Biden is the guy who goes to church (and knows how to pronounce ‘II Corinthians’ correctly) and doesn’t cheat on his wife. Biden represents normal America, including ‘flyover country’ a lot better than the wannabe billionaire who said flat-out, “I don’t care about you, I just want your vote.” And everybody who heard Trump say that at the time all had a good laugh, because they think that supporting Trump is a big joke on the establishment. Which it is.

Nobody likes the establishment. Sometimes for good reasons. But all the bad things you could say about Biden and his family pale in comparison to the Trump Crime Family. While all the good things you could say about Biden come down to the fact that he’s normal and well adjusted. And clearly nobody in America wants that. It’s not entertaining. And clearly, being entertained is more important than our national security. Clearly it doesn’t matter that the president is real old and has a crooked son, cause otherwise Trump would be that much less popular than Biden. What matters, it seems, is that Trump is abnormal. He’s larger than life. He has pizazz. He’s compelling to watch.

You what else is abnormal? You know what else has pizazz? You know what else is compelling to watch? A train wreck. Or a car crash. Everybody loves to slow down to watch a car crash. A train wreck is intensely fascinating. Unless you’re in it. Then it’s either terrifying or lethal.

Now it ought to go without saying that if you survived the last year of the Trump Organization in Washington, meaning, if you are more than four years old, you know why you don’t want to give a human train wreck control of the most powerful office in the world, but apparently that’s just too much to ask of some people.

As John Oliver put it recently, don’t dismiss the premise of a second Trump term by saying we survived the first one, because not everybody did.

I don’t have to agree with everything that Biden, Harris, or the Democrats want. In fact, between the normie Biden Democrats and the Trump Party, I’d rather vote for the Republican Party, but that party doesn’t exist anymore. I’d really prefer to vote for the Libertarian Party, but THAT party doesn’t exist anymore either.

As it is, the only choice is between a normal guy and a retarded traitor who gave intelligence to the Russians. And I don’t want the best and most powerful country in the world run by a retarded traitor. I don’t know, maybe I’M weird.

But that also means that if you were going to vote for, say, Jacky Rosen for Senator in Nevada as opposed to Sam Brown, you might as well vote the full Democratic ticket now, because it’s not like a Democratic Congress can do more than put a kids’ BandAid on the hemorrhage if Trump gets in power. If you voted against the Republicans’ special ballot initiatives to ban abortion in your state, and you voted for Democrats in the midterms, there is certainly no logical reason not to vote for Joe Biden now.

As Joe himself would say, this is a big fucking deal.