Trump Goes Postal

Not too far back, I said “Very soon, and certainly if Trump is re-elected, we are all going to find out what it is like to be black people.”

Did that seem like a belligerent, or insensitive, or politically incorrect thing to say?

I meant what I said. I do not mean that white people will be discriminated against in the way that Jews and Catholics and Chinese have been discriminated against in this country. I mean that the Trump Organization, and the political party it absorbed in a leveraged buyout, are going to attack the fundamental rights of white people in the same way that black people have been attacked throughout our history.

For example, with voting.

After Joe Biden told people – in April – that resident rump would try to “kick back” the election after previously threatening to veto Post Office funding in order to ‘do all he can to make it very hard for people to vote’, Trump’s handpicked Postmaster General, Louis DeJoy, instituted certain reforms this month. DeJoy, who like most of Trump’s appointees has a conflict of interest with the bureaucracy he’s supervising, staged a “Friday night massacre” with a reorganization of leadership positions including a hiring freeze. This was combined with a severe cutback in vote sorting machines and documented cases of the United States Postal Service removing mailboxes from locations across the country.

And while these changes are defended by the Post Office as cost cutting measures, Mr. Trump, in his “I’m too stupid to NOT say the quiet part loud, and it doesn’t matter, because my party will support me even if they see Vladimir Putin bend me over a desk on live TV” way, said flat-out on Fox Business Network August 14 that “They need that money in order to have the post office work so it can take all of these millions and millions of ballots. If they don’t get those two items, that means you can’t have universal mail-in voting because they’re not equipped to have it.” The backlash to that was such that on Tuesday the 19th, DeJoy, now facing a congressional hearing and investigations, told Congress that he is suspending the planned post office changes until after the election, apparently on the assumption he will still have a job. In a statement, DeJoy announced he was reversing course “to avoid even the appearance of any impact on election mail,” which sort of implies that that wasn’t a consideration before.

Now, maybe that seems like he’s backing down, maybe he’s just backing down for the sake of appearances. But it certainly doesn’t contradict the axiom that “character is what you do when nobody’s looking.”

Why was this a bad move? Because unlike, say, Brian Kemp’s election stunts, screwing the USPS doesn’t just affect poor and black people. It doesn’t just affect people who were planning to vote by mail. It affects the mailed payrolls and insurance documents of businesses. It affects the medical documents and prescriptions of veterans. It affects Social Security payments. You know who that affects? Old people. OLD WHITE people.

You knew this was not going to work when the first sign of pushback was when a hard-right Republican Congressman and Democrat Senator got together to stop the removal of mailboxes in Montana.

Do you know how scared Republicans have to be to pull that in MONTANA?

Montana and Idaho are where the Aryan Nations and their fellow travelers love to pilgrimage. It’s their Perfect Place. Even better than Argentina, cause there’s no Jews or Spanish speakers.

For all the cheap excuses of cost-cutting and how “unfair” and “rigged” mail voting is (for everybody except Trump), you know damn well Trump wouldn’t be doing this shit if he was 5 points ahead of Biden in the polls or even at margin of error. He’d be crowing about how invincible he is and how great his polls are. The fact that he’s doing this even before his party convention betrays his own belief that he’s a goner because he can’t turn things around, and that’s because he simply doesn’t know how.

The strategy, to the extent that Trump’s baby-shark brain is capable of formulating one, is like this: Just create as much chaos as possible to undermine the credibility of the entire election process so he can bullshit his way out of losing an election just like he and his party of enablers bullshitted their way out of impeachment. The problem being, the council deciding his fate is now a lot bigger and more diverse than the US Senate.

Not just that, I think Banana Republicans have severely underestimated just how much rage the Democrats are carrying over having lost one Electoral College race with a popular vote majority 16 years prior and then the last election to a candidate they considered far more “deplorable” than George Bush. Such anti-(d)emocratic results, while perfectly fair and square under the Constitution, are not only counter-intuitive, they offend the Democrats’ need to see themselves as the heroes of America’s story. So some of them are spoiling for a fight, and the best way to give them one is to steal the election in such a way that Democrats can actually PROVE you’re doing it.

The Lamestream Media has this cliche that is nevertheless very true when they talk about Trump’s 2016 victory: They say he drew an inside straight. That is, he got a lucky set of cards that he was extremely unlikely to ever draw again, and he has in fact not done so. First and foremost of these: HILLARY CLINTON IS NOT RUNNING. It has been a lot harder for Trump to tag and slander Joe Biden, because he doesn’t have nearly as many negatives as Clinton, and because Biden himself seems like a clumsy, politically incorrect “straight shooter” who appeals to the kind of people that Trump appeals to.

The fact that Biden doesn’t have Clinton’s negatives means that the “third” party option is now much less attractive. (Sorry, Jo Jorgensen.)

Moreover, Trump no longer has the negative advantage of not being the president, and not being in the ruling party. He can no longer go to black and working-class white neighborhoods and go, “What the hell have you got to lose?” Because now we know. He cannot ask the famous question Ronald Reagan asked about Jimmy Carter, “Are you better off now than you were four years ago?” Is Herman Cain better off now than he was four years ago?

No, because the other factor is that no other president would ignore the spread of a virus from outside the continent cause “I like the numbers where they are“. No other president would have a Minister Without Portfolio who worked on a plan to address the coronavirus and supposedly threw it out because the virus was mainly killing people in Democrat-led states, as if a virus cares any more about political parties or state lines than it does about the Chinese border. And Trump, who is certainly not the cause of the “China virus” but IS the proximate cause for why we have lost a greater percentage of our population than any other Western country, is asking us to reward his performance with another term.

Are you going to reward that?? Are you going to reward the guy who is the reason you got laid off? Who is the reason people are getting foreclosed? Who is the reason your Governor is making you wear a mask? Who is the reason you can’t go to the hair salon? The movie theater? The buffets? You want four more years of the last six months??

I don’t think so, Tim.

And none of that may make a bit of difference because Trump’s singular advantage combines with the advantage he previously did not have: He’s Donald Trump, and he’s the president.

In his private career, Trump always has acted on the principle that “it is easier to get forgiveness than permission.” As president, he combines that with what could be called The Nixon Principle: “If the President does it, it’s NOT illegal.” And flatly stated, if at least one-third of the US Senate are party stooges willing to enable you, then effectively nothing you do can be illegal.

In this case, we’ve got a president deliberately holding up funding for the Post Office while cutting off the services it is still set to perform on the current budget, saying that mail-in voting is insecure, yet there wouldn’t be a national need for mail-in voting if the Trump Virus wasn’t it making it dangerous to go out in public. And yet, Trump is doing a LOT more to stop mail voting than he is to stop coronavirus.

Why, it’s almost as if Trump is doing everything he can to avoid containing the coronavirus because without a public health crisis, it would be easier for people to vote.

Does that seem like a crazy thing to say? Was it crazy when Joe Biden told people that Trump was going to try to postpone the election? Remember when Biden said Trump would try to screw with mail-in balloting, and people (including his own side) said that was crazy?
For a guy who is assumed by some to be too naive and trusting, Joe Biden seems to have Donald Trump’s number. Of course, that doesn’t mean you have to be especially savvy. You just have to realize that any disgusting thing that Donald Trump is accused of is something he either has done or WOULD do just because.

And here is one area where Trump’s approach makes a brutal, even Stalinist, sense. There is a long-term phenomenon in election returns that has entered this year’s public discussion called “blue shift“, where because Democrats and their usual demographics often use provisional ballots – which are not the same as absentee or mail-in ballots, actually – and these ballots are legally counted last. These votes have not only led to a slower count of ballots and thus later election results, the later votes are often most likely to be Democratic, and these “blue” votes made the difference in a lot of 2018 midterm races.

Thus the strategy to undermine the process: If the result is not immediately clear, or seems to lean toward Trump on Election Day, it makes it that much easier for him to whine that the whole thing is “rigged” and gum up the works so he can try to win a technical victory against the public. But that’s not the brutal and Stalinist part.

Because this strategy assumes that his cult will be willing to go out en masse in person to vote for Republicans on Election Day itself so that the results will look better for him on Election Day than they will probably be in the final outcome.

Trump is quite willing to have his core supporters risk sickness and death, and losing those people in the future won’t matter to him as long as he gets to keep being president.

If you Trumpniks have not yet realized how self-absorbed and evil the man you worship is, consider that.

Of course there are some Kool-Aid drinkers who really would risk themselves by voting unmasked for The Leader, but it is still possible to go to the polling place and take precautions. And again, that depends on whether you’re even able to go to a polling place, which is another area where Banana Republican vote suppression may affect white people too. Not only that, early voting has been a feature in some states (like Nevada) for years, as in before God-Emperor Trump reset the calendar to Year Zero.

And then, the strategy assumes that the Left won’t just call the bluff. In the Democratic National Convention, which matters as much as it normally does, meaning it doesn’t, Michelle Obama exhorted people to cast ballots “in person, if we can“. And New York Times columnist Jamelle Bouie previously expressed a similar opinion: “The only way to prevent this scenario, or at least, rob it of the oxygen it needs to burn, is to deliver an election night lead to Biden. This means voting in person. No, not everyone will be able to do that. But if you plan to vote against Trump and can take appropriate precautions, then some kind of hand delivery — going to the polls or bringing your mail-in ballot to a “drop box” — will be the best way to protect your vote from the president’s concerted attempt to undermine the election for his benefit.”

And on the other side, you had the Tulsa rally. Trump’s “comeback” had a really big crowd, and a really enthusiastic crowd, but it was only one-third the volume of the venue, which meant that for political purposes it was only one-third as big as it needed to be. Empty seats don’t lie. The event proved that Trump really does have a large number of ride-or-die fanatics (emphasis on the ‘die’) but they are almost certainly not in the numbers he had in 2016, and that’s the last card of the inside straight that he doesn’t have. Now maybe the two-thirds of the Tulsa auditorium who would have come out for Trump before corona would be willing to cast a secret ballot, especially if they got access to a mail-in ballot. But then we come to the point that Trump’s special bond with his base is that he shares all of their negative qualities. Thus Trumpniks, in all their boundless self-absorption, have to ask themselves if they truly care about Donald Trump’s welfare any more than he does for theirs.

So on November 3rd, let’s see who really goes postal.

It’s Not The Heat, It’s The Stupidity

“You know the very powerful and the very stupid have one thing in common. They don’t alter their views to fit the facts. They alter the facts to fit the views. Which can be uncomfortable if you happen to be one of the facts that needs altering.”

-The Fourth Doctor

In the wake of… all this… it’s really for the best that the Republican Party cancelled its Jacksonville convention over coronavirus, given that the whole purpose of moving it from North Carolina was that the Governor there wouldn’t let Trump have a big crowd for his acceptance speech. For one thing, for somebody who spends a lot of his time in Florida, you would think that Viceroy Trump would know what the weather conditions are like in August. I’m pretty sure a lot of people told him that if the only way to minimize coronavirus was to be stuck outside in Florida, around hurricane season, in deep August, they would just as well not go at all, which may be why most of these shindigs happen in places with indoor air conditioning.

But as we leave the first week of August 2020, we have to acknowledge the real environmental threat to our survival. It’s not climate change. Yet. It’s not the heat, it’s the stupidity.

I have to admit, since Donald Trump ran for office, I’ve gotten a lot more hard and cynical myself. For instance, I used to have more sympathy for stupid people.

By stupid, I mean subnormal intelligence, “slow” or just having average intelligence without having exposed yourself to much knowledge. I grew up watching movies like Forrest Gump where stupid people were assumed to have some kind of special wisdom compensating for their lack of smarts. Even the stupid people with criminal records (like Michael Clark Duncan in The Green Mile or Billy Bob Thornton in Sling Blade) were shown as being ultimately good at heart.

Well, fuck that.

I had done an earlier bit where I described a certain “anti-conceptual mentality” by using direct quotes from Ayn Rand’s philosophical works to describe what is often called willful ignorance. I said: “When Ayn Rand refers to this (very Randian) term, “anti-conceptual mentality”, she is describing a self-created moron. Such a person is not of medically subnormal intelligence (what used to be called ‘retarded’) but a person of at least average intelligence who deliberately does not apply it, for whom everything is an unexamined given because examination would mean taking a risk he is not willing to pursue, and thus he is almost entirely a collection of second-hand, superficial thoughts.”

See, while Ayn Rand as a person has more issues than TIME Magazine, I still call myself an Objectivist (if I have to call myself anything) because I still find the philosophy to be a practical guide to life whatever one’s opinions of Rand. Briefly: Reality exists, independently of human consciousness, perceptions, or political consensus. At the same time, the human mind and perceptions are sufficient to grasp reality as it is, and in fact they have to be, because there is no supernatural force outside consciousness that will give you a perfect understanding of an object without effort. And in practical terms, what this means is that we cannot separate morality from intellect. The only way we will be able to know the right thing to do is if we can learn things in general.

This was something that Rand herself stressed in emphasizing an “objectivist” morality over an “altruist” morality that disdained self-interest and reason over serving others and faith in non-reason, such as an organized religion, “feelings” or a “Higher Power.” And if this seems counterintutive to most people, it’s because most philosophies, even secular ones, place intellect at odds with morality.

There are plenty of takedowns of Rand if you want to look for them, and while I disagree with a lot of her personal conclusions, I don’t think most critiques address this challenge she places to other philosophies. Indeed I would say that this country in particular is very bad at placing reason and facts over opinion and feelings, and it’s largely because of that anti-rational mentality. And it’s largely because of that that we are so screwed by many factors, including a political culture that allowed just enough people in just enough states to elect Donald Trump.

This leads to a point that is implicit in Rand’s work but that I don’t think she ever actually spelled out in these words: If one has at least normal intelligence, ignorance is a choice. Stupidity is a choice. And since stupid decisions often lead to destructive consequences, stupidity is a moral choice. It’s like drunk driving. You might not be “in your right mind” when you’re drunk, but you’re still legally responsible for being DUI and any acts you commit DUI because you made the sober decision to do something reckless in the first place.

To quote again from my other post: “The anti-conceptual mentality avoids going outside his prejudices because his intuition tells him he would no longer be able to do what he wants to do. Therefore he avoids not only abstract reasoning but intuition and introspection. As the phrase goes, “if you don’t know why hitting children with tear gas is wrong, I don’t know how to explain it to you.”

I go over all this because it’s not enough to bag on the various people of mediocre or subnormal intelligence (like the various Facebook Trumpniks who commit at least three typos per paragraph) but to address the numerous people who do have brains and who might even have some conceptual ability but still choose not to consider the real consequences of serving Trump. They can do this because again, we as a culture place reason at odds with morality, and are expected to sacrifice the former to the latter. If one does not practice critical thinking even with one’s own premises, one is not practicing rationality but rationalization. Yes, that includes a lot of “Randroids” who attach to Rand’s pro-capitalist and anti-socialist teachings and use them to advocate for Republicans simply because they can mouth the right words. Even in Reagan’s day, Rand herself was not a fan: “A few months before her death, Rand told an audience of her fans, no doubt to the surprise of many, that she didn’t vote for Ronald Reagan against Jimmy Carter, whom she regarded as a small-town power luster. “There is a limit,” she told them, “to the notion of voting for the lesser of two evils.”

“Rand did welcome Reagan’s strong language toward Soviet Russia and his promises to cut spending and taxes. But she warned that his invitation of the so-called Moral Majority to the halls of power would be a long-range disaster. By tying the (supposed) advocacy of freedom and capitalism to, in Rand’s words, the anti-intellectuality of “militant mystics,” who proclaim that aborting an embryo is murder and creationism is science, Reagan’s presidency would discredit the intellectual case for freedom and capitalism and embolden the anti-intellectual, authoritarian mentalities in the country.”

The chain should become clear upon reflection: Reason is the source of morality, because to determine “right” from “wrong” we must be able to distinguish from other categories besides right and wrong. Morality cannot be the source of reason because that begs the question of what is Right in the first place, and if one cannot answer that question for oneself, it creates a situation where authority figures define your terms, and thus your thinking, for you.

A naive simpleton in power is far more dangerous than an evil pragmatist because you could expect the pragmatist to examine his own practical limits and work within them. The simpleton only operates on a moral code which was handed down to him by someone else and which he has not tested by circumstances. If unethical people work with him and they know how to push his buttons, they can get him to perform atrocities. This is what happened with George W. Bush in Iraq.

In the last couple decades, comicbook writers have gone into scenarios where Lex Luthor or Norman Osborn would run for president and win, and while they’d inevitably over-reach and get taken down, even they acknowledged some limits. When Lex became president in the DC Universe, he actually severed his ties to Lexcorp. So if you want to consider where our political culture is, consider that Donald Trump and his various people literally have less ethics than a comicbook supervillain.

Needless to say, when you have a real person who is both less intellectual than Forrest Gump and more evil than Lex Luthor, the damage he can do is that much greater than a person can accomplish with stupidity or evil alone.

This is the issue with being an intellectual who places morality at odds with intellect. If you’re a Rod Dreher, and you’re a traditional conservative, and you have a brain, and you read history, and you know, for instance, that the decades-long oppression of Francisco Franco in Spain (in the name of ‘traditional Christianity’) led to a backlash after Franco’s death that made Catholicism less popular and socialism and secularism that much more popular, you can look at the situation here. You have led yourself to the conclusion that your culture is under siege. Your morality tells you to hate the people who hate Christianity. Your intellect tells you that Trump is a grifter and a deceiver. But Trump tells you, “These people, they’re not really after me. They’re after YOU. I’m just in the way.” And it doesn’t matter that you know how many times Trump has lied, it doesn’t matter how many times he’s been proven false, how many times Trump has failed, he’s telling you what you want to hear. He’s reaffirming what you already believe. He knows what your priorities are, and he knows how to push the right button to completely bypass your intellect. And so you march in line and follow The Leader no matter what, cause you’re convinced that once They take him out, you’re next.

The punchline, of course, is that while secular liberal culture may not have any affinity with traditional religious culture, it was not nearly so hostile to the latter as the other way around, and the secular majority didn’t have good reason to oppose the religious culture until it actively supported a politics that undermined our national security for the sake of Russia and China, undermined our economy and ended up killing 150,000 Americans and counting, cause apparently wearing a Goddamn five dollar mask is gonna get you kicked out of the Real American Patriot He-Man Woman Haters’ Club.

The result that “good Christians” fear so much has become that much more likely, probably inevitable, because of the actions they told themselves would prevent it.

The execution of stupidity as philosophy was made clear again by the now-famous interview that HBO aired for Axios between reporter Jonathan Swan and Donald Trump. Other people have described the event at least as well as I could, and it’s not like Swan’s interview told us anything we didn’t know, but there are a couple of details that matter in terms of this topic.

The first question Swan asked was where he brought up Trump’s adherence to the power of positive thinking, “the mantra that if you believe something, if you can visualize it, then it will happen.” Now Trump did say this is only true to a certain extent, and that he also has to consider the downside (which he does, in a way that causes therapists to ponder). But Swan asks if that mindset is suitable to handling the worst pandemic we’ve seen in a century. And of course, Trump just accentuates the positive, with a bunch of generalities. Swan presses that communication needs to be based in reality, and wishful thinking is insufficient.

And then there was the point where Trump defends his record on coronavirus by throwing Swan a sheaf of bar graphs and Swan looks confused, and then says, “Oh! You’re doing death as a proportion of cases, I’m talking about death as a proportion of population, and that’s where the US is really bad.” And Trump just gives him this blank, pleading stare, and goes, “You can’t DO that.” Which means, “You’re not following my terms of argument when even I don’t know what they are.”

Which goes to another point of Onkar Ghate’s article: “Closely connected to this disdain for the truth is a complete amoralism. “The normal pattern of self-appraisal,” Rand observes, “requires reference to some abstract value or virtue,” such as “I am good because I am rational” or “I am good because I am honest.” But the entire realm of abstract principles and standards is unknown to an anti-intellectual mentality. The phenomenon of judging himself by such standards, therefore, is alien. Instead, Rand argues, the “implicit pattern of all his estimates is: ‘It’s good because I like it’ — ‘It’s right because I did it’ — ‘It’s true because I want it to be true.’”

When you have no standard of judgment other than “it’s good because I like it” and no means of verifying results other than “it will be true because I wish it to be true” you get the coronavirus “policy” that is on track to kill a quarter-million people in this country by the end of the year.

Which is why Swan’s interview got so much attention from the rest of the Mainstream Media, and why it is both ultimately revelatory and ultimately meaningless. It is ultimately revelatory in that it makes clear that this country’s coronavirus policy is screwed because of the evil simpleton in charge, and it is ultimately meaningless because the reason things are screwed is because the evil simpleton in charge of coronavirus policy is not the only one who follows the philosophy of wishful thinking and anti-reason, and if he didn’t have that support base, he would have been removed by impeachment if not one of his numerous other scandals.

The problem there being that even if Trump is effectively an unaccountable King now, he still has to have a formal election before he can really rewrite the system to cement his power, but he not only needs to be re-elected to do that, he needs at least a Senate to do that, and if he doesn’t get a handle on coronavirus, both the White House and Senate are in danger due to the simple fact that the virus is ravaging the voter base in Trump states later than it did in “blue” states that the Trump Organization wrote off. Trump may be telling voters to believe him over their lying eyes, but if you’re dead, it doesn’t matter if you believe Trump or not, you can’t vote. (Remember, Illinois is a blue state.)

The real irony is that people like Ayn Rand (and me) are thought of as “Social Darwinists” because we don’t agree with liberal altruism, but that in itself is a misnomer embraced by the kind of “scientific” racists who don’t agree with species evolution. In actual Darwinism, “survival of the fittest” doesn’t mean “survival of the most fascist”, it means “survival of the species best adapted to its environment.” And since human development and civilization are more mental and social as opposed to matters of physical evolution, “social Darwinism” would really mean a process in which individuals and culture become better adapted to a changing environment. “Social Darwinists” like the current Republicans don’t believe in that Darwinism any more than the Theory of Evolution, and the end result will be that the liberal-socialist triumph they fear so much will become that much more likely. Yes, hundreds of thousands will have to die to achieve that result, but if Republicans don’t care about those people, you’d think they would care about “traditional values” and their own political careers. And if they did, you’d think that they could adapt.

Play Stupid Games, Win Stupid Prizes

The big news for Thursday, July 30 – at least for one hour – was that Herman Cain, Republican activist, businessman and former presidential candidate, died today from coronavirus after attending resident rump’s campaign rally in Tulsa in June, in close quarters without a mask.

This really isn’t something that deserves either sympathy or gloating. When you refuse to take cheap, common sense precautions against a disease with at least a one-percent fatality rate, and which may cause permanent damage even if you do survive, that should not even be considered a news event. “Conservative Mask Denier Dies Of COVID-19” is no more a news story than “I Turned On The Tap And Got Water” or “Man Wearing Honey and Raw Steak On His Skin In Bear Country Eaten By Bears.”

It is no more a surprise than Wednesday’s big story, where Congressman Louie Gohmert (R.-Gohmert) revealed that HE has the coronavirus, which apparently he only found out about because he was scheduled to go with Trump on a campaign event in west Texas (Gohmert’s district area) and as part of the president’s security procedure, he had to be screened. As it turns out, it was a surprise not only to Gohmert but to his staff, who found out when he told them in person. (Most likely, without a mask.)

So no surprise either that one of the other stories surrounding the event was when a staff member sent a tweet to the reporter who broke the story and asked: “When you write your story, can you include the fact that Louie requires full staff to be in the office, including three interns, so that ‘we could be an example to America on how to open up safely,'” the aide added. “When probing the office, you might want to ask how often were people berated for wearing masks.” As it turns out, he could do this because there was no policy in Congress for containing the coronavirus other than the decision of individual politicians for themselves and their staff, and it was only as a result of this event that Speaker Nancy Pelosi instituted an official mask mandate for House buildings and the chamber. And that of course, is because so many representatives, pretty much all Republicans, resisted the idea of any guidelines for containing coronavirus, let alone requirements.

As they say on the Internet: “Play stupid games, win stupid prizes.”

I mean we’ve heard the phrase “King Midas in reverse”, and Trump certainly is that, but he also seems to be Jesus in reverse: Everyone around him seems to be getting sick all of a sudden.

What we are seeing is what happens when you assume that laws – whether the Laws of Man or the Laws of Nature – don’t apply to you, because your tribal allegiance trumps reality itself. This is what happens when you ignore the people screaming in your ear that you’re driving the car off a cliff, and tell them “Fake News” or “Look man, gravity’s just a theory.”

The other huge event – at least for one hour – was when the financial reports came out for the end of the month and the second quarter, and it turned out, “Gross domestic product shrank 9.5% in the second quarter from the first, a drop that equals an annualized pace of 32.9%, the Commerce Department’s initial estimate showed on Thursday. That’s the steepest annualized decline in quarterly records dating back to 1947 and compares with analyst estimates for a 34.5% contraction. Personal spending, which makes up about two-thirds of GDP, slumped an annualized 34.6%, also the most on record.”

It is of course not good to an incumbent president’s chances to have the worst quarter and the worst consumer spending slump ON record, but never mind that, never mind the coronavirus, never mind the coverage of John Lewis’ funeral, to Trump, the REAL atrocity is that the news wasn’t all about him, even if he is the proximate cause for most of what’s wrong with this country. So once again he sought out the short-attention-span media by making himself the biggest atrocity.

So after the economic news and the Herman Cain news, and the Barack Obama eulogy for Herman Cain, but before his press conference, Trump twitted, “With Universal Mail-In Voting (not Absentee Voting, which is good) 2020 will be the most INACCURATE & FRAUDULENT Election in history. It will be a great embarrassment to the USA. Delay the Election until people can properly, securely, and safely vote???”

Translated into Lucille Ball: “WAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA”

As one guy on Facebook said: “Well yeah, cause see, if you have enough money to travel, it’s important to be able to vote. But if can’t afford to travel, you should instead drive 5 miles to wait in line for 4 hours to vote.”

Sure, we can say that the president has no authority to delay an election on his own behalf, and the term of the president and Congress end on January 2021 whether there’s an election or not, but the fact is, Trump has been able to bullshit his way around every other aspect of the Constitution up til now – largely because the enforcement mechanisms are mostly in the hands of the president himself – so why not this one?

The fact of the matter is that the president can’t unilaterally stop an election, but as with Trump’s deliberate efforts to undermine mask wearing and an organized campaign for virus containment, he can exert influence on various voters AND state governments who take his rhetoric seriously, and get them to undermine vote-by-mail in their states. The irony being that these efforts are most likely to succeed in the states that were more likely to vote for Trump anyway, and thus discourage senior citizens and other high-risk groups (who are more likely to vote for Trump) from using alternative voting methods, and thus encourage them to either risk the coronavirus by in-person voting, or be safe and not vote at all. Thus Trump’s disingenuous bellyaching is most likely to suppress the vote in the states where he is most likely to need it. In any case, “vote-by-mail is illegal cause it hurts Republicans” (allegedly) is like saying “we should abolish the Electoral College cause it hurts Democrats.” (Mind, I have gone over serious reasons why we should ditch or at least modify the Electoral College, but ‘Democrats don’t like the results’ should not be one of them.)

Then there’s the other liberal fear that Trump will call out the troops to enforce his will, but the reason he had to cobble together his wannabe stormtroopers from the “alphabet soup” bureaucracy to engage in the suppression campaign in Portland was because after the limited military participation for Bill Barr’s publicity stunt in Lafayette Square, the negative feedback, both outside and within the ranks, was such that the Defense Department heads made it clear they weren’t going to get behind such tactics again. As for Portland, Oregon’s Governor announced Wednesday that they will begin pulling out tomorrow. So either the “riots” failed and Law & Order (TM) succeeded, or the latest distraction campaign failed and it’s time for this week’s distraction.

I mean this is the problem that Trump is only now starting to deal with. He’s such a fountain of evil ineptitude that any horrible thing he does is going to be overshadowed by the even more horrible thing he does tomorrow, but that creates its own problems. “Never mind that teenage girl I raped! Lookit all these 10-year olds I killed!”

And if Trump is starting to get pushback from “my” military when he clearly DOES have presidential authority, I am not sure he will be able to use the military to save himself once his authority is in doubt. It’s testimony to the personality we’re dealing with that his delusions of godhood become more loud and insistent the more incompetent (and impotent) he proves to be.


None of which will make any difference if Biden can’t win a clear victory in 2020, at least as clear in Electoral terms as Trump got in 2016. Which is where we come to the next round of Play Stupid Games, Win Stupid Prizes. Early this week, Joe Biden announced that he will announce his choice for Vice-Presidential running mate by next week, before the Democratic National Convention, which due to coronavirus will be mostly video-conference this year. And most people would say the choice of Vice-President doesn’t mean much, but then Joe is 77 and there’s a good chance he could die in office. He probably won’t, but then in 2016, a racist and obvious dumbass was probably not going to even get nominated by a major party, much less win an election, cause everybody could SEE how unlikely that was. I mean you have to admit, Kennedy’s choice of a running mate in 1960 was pretty consequential, wasn’t it?

Biden has already decided his running mate will be a woman, and it is increasingly likely to be a person “of color.” These are the most likely choices, with their pros and cons:

Senator Kamala Harris (D.-California) – by libertarian standards, both she and Biden are bad choices, given that both suffer a reputation for counterproductive ‘law-and-order’ legislation that they try to counter with even more ham-handed moves to the ‘progressive’ wing. Which of course makes it that much more likely that she’s going to be Biden’s pick. The main factor against her is that she cut Biden hard in the pre-primary debates when it looked like he was the weak one in the pack.

Senator Elizabeth Warren (D.-Massachusetts) – certainly the best choice from a ‘progressive’ standpoint, but that may be the best reason to keep her in the Senate where she would actually stay on the floor. As a matter of fact, that’s the main factor against any pick who is a current Senator. If Democrats are smart (and if they were, we wouldn’t be here) they would realize that taking out Mitch McConnell and/or his Senate majority is more important even than taking out Trump, because Mitch is the one who’s been enforcing a one-man veto on any government reforms even before Trump took office. If McConnell lost his seat, even if Republicans re-take the majority in 2022, it’s unlikely that any other Republican Senator will have the same seniority, or ruthlessness. And Republicans have to defend 23 seats this cycle. Prior to coronavirus, most of them were safe. Now, even Mitch’s seat is in question. All Democrats need to take a majority is a net gain of three (with the Democratic Vice-President as a tie-breaker) or four if they somehow win that many without winning the White House. But it is now feasible that they could take enough seats for a three-fifths majority. That’s not very likely, but no longer impossible. In either case, Biden will need all the Senators he can get.

Senator Tammy Duckworth (D.-Illinois) Along with Warren, she is the leading non-Black candidate to be running mate, and again, simply because she is a Senator, this is a problem. On the other hand her being maimed during active service in Iraq undermines Republican attempts to say the evil Demonrats don’t support our troops, unless of course you think that baiting a combat veteran worked better for Tucker Carlson than it did when Trump insulted McCain. And in the long run, it’s hard to say how well THAT worked.

Stacey Abrams – was the Democrat candidate for Governor in Georgia and lost largely because Republican Brian Kemp was the Secretary of State setting the rules for the same election he was running in. (Nice work if you can get it.) Con: unlike the Senators, she doesn’t have much experience with national government. Pro: simply for being who she is, she, along with Duckworth, would be the most likely choice to make Republicans cry.

Who will Biden pick? Will he survive to January 20? Will Trump declare himself Emperor? Will he make Ivanka a Senator and Jared his horse? Tune in next time for: Play Stupid Games, Win Stupid Prizes!

Guillotine Insurance

In belated honor of Bastille Day, I would like to discuss the concept of guillotine insurance.

“Guillotine insurance” is a term a lot of leftists use to discuss ideas like national healthcare, or minimum wage, or something else that is supposed to keep the peasants from revolting. There’s at least one reason why a lot of people don’t take such rhetoric seriously, and I’ll get to it later. But as I’ve said, it is irrelevant to argue that “health care is a human right” or that anything else leftists want is a “right” when we have rights that are enumerated in the Constitution and the current government won’t even acknowledge those.

For example, Portland.

Apparently the Black Lives Matter protests in Portland, Oregon had been dying down – one reason they hadn’t been in the news before now – but then someone decided to send in some people, not that anyone will take credit or give specifics. Starting July 7, resident rump sent in US Marshals Special Operations Group, Customs and Border Protection Border Patrol Tactical Unit (BORTAC) and the Federal Protective Service, which is in charge of protecting federal properties. In the early morning hours of July 15, officers in unmarked camouflage were filmed as they got out of an unmarked van and grabbed a person in a helmet. More such reports came up in social media. According to the BBC, “The role of federal troops sent to Portland is the subject of intense speculation at the moment … They belong to a new federal force created last month in an executive order signed by President Trump which tasks them to protect historic monuments, memorials, statues, and federal facilities … When asked about the arrest of a protester captured on video, the CBP said the individual was suspected of destroying federal property. They said agents had identified themselves and were wearing CBP insignia but their names were not displayed “due to recent doxing incidents against law enforcement personnel who serve and protect our country.”

The goal is precisely to make sure that no one is accountable. If the tactic works (as in, it boosts Trump’s polls), Trump can step up to the podium with his retarded-toad grin and take credit for everything, and if it blows up, he can fire the alleged guy in charge like one of his wives. It’s the same way that Peter Navarro supposedly acted outside the White House when he wrote an op-ed against Anthony Fauci when we all know that Navarro won’t pee standing up before getting verbal permission from Trump. I call it “implausible deniability.”

Trump and his people have confirmed that this lawbreaking-and-disorder effort is just a test run for a wider campaign. Supposedly they’re going to go to Chicago next. Well, at least people there have guns.

I’m almost not joking. There is no reason why civilians can’t just shoot these guys. Why not? What agency do they represent? None? You won’t tell us? For THEIR protection? But if they haven’t done anything wrong, what do they have to hide? If you won’t tell us what authority you represent, you don’t represent ANY authority, and you have no more right to use force than anyone else, therefore anyone else can use force on you. Self-Defense! Stand Your Ground, man!

As terrible as this is, and it IS terrible, because it sets yet another precedent eroding American rights against an already established standard of letting the president of either party do whatever the fuck he wants, it’s worth remembering the analyses of people who point out that if Trump hadn’t let so many people die from coronavirus and the economy wasn’t endangered as a result, he wouldn’t be resorting to the usual tactic – escalate the chaos (even if he has to create it himself) and then tell his cult that only he can solve the problem he created. And as even Fox News told him, that’s not working anymore.

This, incidentally, is why the coronavirus is directly linked to Donald Trump’s decline in the polls and declining political fortunes when nothing else, up to and including impeachment, has knocked him off. Because people in 2016 already KNEW Trump was an unqualified, bigoted idiot, and they still liked the cut of his jib. Further revelations of his low character just reinforced the support of the people who voted for Trump precisely because of his low character. As long as his character deficiencies didn’t hurt THEM, they were glad to have a head of state who was dumb for public consumption and triggered the libs. Now that Trump’s dysfunction is the proximate cause of the spread of coronavirus in America, and even those people who aren’t directly affected yet still can’t go to bars and buffets and hair salons, they can blame the governors in their states, but deep down they know the governors aren’t the reason for the virus itself. Why else would Trump get such a horrible crowd in Tulsa, when he carried Oklahoma in 2016 by over 36 points?

Back in PC (Pre-Corona) it didn’t matter that our president was Liddle Donnie Clown Boy, because he at least knew enough to not interfere with one thing he’d inherited from Obama, and that was the economy. But because Trump isn’t even deep enough to be one-dimensional, he couldn’t understand that the coronavirus can’t be left alone to spread, and that if it isn’t contained, THAT destroys the economy. (Almost as if human beings are a necessary component of said economy!) Now we actually need a plan of action, and all Clown Boy can do is juggle his balls and holler at the marks to buy tickets to his next three-ring circus.

Just as Trump’s destabilization of Portland not only made the local situation worse but is counterproductive for his image as a “strong leader” who is actually solving our problems, his constantly casting about for demons and radicals and socialists to hunt down is doing more to radicalize the population than anything the Left has done on their own initiative. The apparent radicalization of America is nothing more than a growing part of the population realizing that cops already can abuse and kill anyone when they can get away with it, and the only reason this hasn’t happened to more white Americans is that it was not politically correct for authorities to do so. White protestors are dealing with what black people have been dealing with all along.

Among the various norms that Trump has destroyed, the latest is the most ironic: he is undermining the concept of white privilege itself. This is a term often used by the Left, I would say, used to death, but if “white privilege” means anything, surely it means the privilege of not being harassed, beaten or killed, even IF you’ve committed a crime?

When you try to explain the concept of white privilege to a non-leftist, salt-of-the-earth, “Why don’t we have a WHITE History Month?” kinda guy, you can point out that when the cops confronted Dylann Roof after he shot up everyone in a black church, the FBI de-escalated and got him lunch on the way to the police station, whereas Eric Garner was strangled by cops over selling loose cigarettes. When you put it that way, a lot of people get it.

Very soon, and certainly if Trump is re-elected, we are all going to find out what it is like to be black people.

No, not in the figurative “The Irish are the blacks of Europe” sense, or the disingenuous “Irish Catholics were the first indentured servants in North America” sense, I mean in the practical sense that I’ve already mentioned. It was easy to treat black people and other minority groups as having no sovereignty because they didn’t have much in the way of numbers and even less political influence. Black people still don’t have much in the way of numbers, but as a whole, people “of color” are an increasing plurality. More than that, the country as a whole, including white people, is turning away from a Republican view of the world, even as the Republican world is becoming increasingly self-enclosed and reactionary. That’s why they’re so afraid of mail voting and absentee voting (even though upper-class groups and absentee homeowners have often had to use such measures) because they don’t think they can win elections fair and square anymore. The ruling class is afraid of public sovereignty.

David Frum was right: “If conservatives become convinced that they can not win democratically, they will not abandon conservatism. The will reject democracy.” It used to be that Republicans like Reagan and even the Bushes could win majorities by giving the public something to vote for, and a vision of government that appealed to the majority. But apparently now that’s just too hard. What you are seeing under Trump and Mitch McConnell is an effective agenda to rule not only as a plurality, but actively against the majority, sort of like apartheid South Africa. After all, Frum has also said: “The main benefit of controlling a modern bureaucratic state is not the power to persecute the innocent. It is the power to protect the guilty.”

There always was a contradiction in the Declaration of Independence in saying broadly, “all men are created equal”, but in practice asserting that only white men are equal. We have lived with this contradiction because we saw the universal point behind the declaration and worked to resolve the contradiction by creating a white ethnic “melting pot”, freeing the slaves, giving women the vote and moving towards greater equality. The Banana Republican Party now seeks to resolve the contradiction by rejecting the Declaration itself, by asserting that men are not created equal, that there is one law for the ruling class, and the law for everyone else is simply to serve. The fact that this standard would have kicked both Stephen Miller and Donald Trump’s ancestors out of the country is an irony that is lost on them, as most ironies are.

The Trump Organization is undermining the legitimacy of government itself.

Now if you’re one of those “libertarians” who always votes Republican and is perfectly fine with anonymous thugs throwing civilians in vans as long as they’re the people you hate, you can at least take comfort in knowing that your heroes are undermining support for Big Government, just not in the way you expected.

When leftists raise the concept of “guillotine insurance” they are perhaps being a bit naive in assuming that that’s how government in America works. We don’t assume we have to fight the government for our rights, which is one reason why we never assert them. We don’t have guillotine insurance in America, because we didn’t think we needed it. Partly it’s because there was more of a race culture than a class culture (compared to largely homogeneous European countries) but one of the reasons that we didn’t even have a class culture is because all of us, even the elites, actually believed in the American Dream. We had reason to believe that it didn’t matter how poor you were or where you were born, you could make it. That was the case for the white melting pot, and it’s even true for the large numbers of non-white immigrants who continue to come to America.

But that may not be the case any more. Income inequality in the US is not only higher than it’s ever been, it approaches the inequality levels of 1789 France. This is not an exaggeration. Trump Republican policies did indeed keep the economy going, but they deliberately hollowed out the safeguards we needed to keep it going in an emergency, including the pandemic response team that helped stop Ebola. And once Trump let the coronavirus spread to a national catastrophe, his Republicans only grudgingly allowed middle-class supports for a cratered private sector while cronies were allowed to dip their beaks in the limited “small” business fund. And it doesn’t matter if that was too little too late, we’ve gotta get the kids back in schools, even though there’s no vaccine and the resident is deliberately undermining mask-wearing efforts, we’ve gotta get adults back to work and get the economy going again. After all, it doesn’t matter how many people die, Wall Street bounced back, and that’s all that really matters. You’re just supposed to shut up and obey. Goosestep back into the offices, back into the shops, back into the schools, be a good little soldier, cough out your lungs and die for The Leader.

FUCK.

THAT.

A political class doesn’t do that sort of thing if it fears losing power. And if it doesn’t see a threat to its rational best interest in flipping off the public, it must be because they have reason to believe they’ll never lose an election again.

People on my side – or what I thought was my side – have used slogans like “Fear the government that fears your gun.” I would add, “Fear the government that fears your vote.”
Because if you don’t use one, you’d better be ready to use the other.

Liberty And Coronavirus

“Every government in history has been run by assholes. The beautiful thing about democracy, is that in a democracy, the assholes are us.”

-P.J. O’Rourke

I was trying to find exactly where P.J. O’Rourke said that quote. It turns out he used a marginally less offensive version that became the title of Parliament of Whores: “Every government is a parliament of whores. The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us.” The version I remember was way, way back in the old days when P.J. O’Rourke was still writing for Rolling Stone and he was doing this takedown of Senator Joe Biden’s previous attempt to run for President. Another line I remember from that article was in reference to Biden stealing speeches from British Labour Party leader Neil Kinnock: “That’s like stealing lyrics from LL Cool J.”

But another thing O’Rourke said in one of his books that is at least as relevant to the current time is this: “There is only one basic human right, the right to do as you damn well please. And with it comes the only basic human duty, the duty to take the consequences.”

Here’s the reason I bring this up. About a week ago I saw this Facebook post from the handle “Quarynnetine Valente” saying “The pandemic has managed to do what so many couldn’t: just completely disprove libertarianism and all it’s brethren – No, people will not do the right thing if left to their own devices without the government. They won’t even do so much as wear a small piece of cloth over their faces.”

I’d also seen a Reason article about how even a necessary element of Federal coronavirus response was screwed up, where the GAO reported that at least a million of the coronavirus stimulus checks were actually sent to dead people. And I’d quoted that woman’s post in commentary: “Liberal comment today on Facebook: ‘this crisis completely disproves libertarianism! We can’t even trust people to wear masks without government telling them!’
Government: [cuts off regular recipients and gives COVID checks to billionaires and dead people] “

And a Democrat partisan friend responded, “No, (she’s) right. Libertarians like to concentrate on the handful of government failings and utterly ignore the sea of benefits. One of the reasons I have a hard time taking you seriously some times.” And I responded: “This is why I don’t take government seriously some times.”

I’m serious. It was private citizens and businesses who did more to encourage the shutdown in the first weeks of coronavirus spread than anything the national government has done – indeed, while the New York City and State governments both fell down at first, they started to create serious public health policies while the Trump Organization still refuses to do so.

Monday in The Atlantic, David Frum presented a damning timeline of events that conclusively demonstrate that Trump is not only refusing to take coronavirus seriously, he is actively encouraging the spread of the disease among the public. This is less by what he is doing than what he is not doing – notably not wearing a mask and not encouraging social distancing, even though Mike Pence and even Mitch McConnell now do appear in masks. It’s as though Trump were acting to do the exact opposite of what a president should, which ties into the other recent controversy that continues to bleed out, where reporters continue to investigate credible stories that Russia offered the Taliban bounties to kill our troops in Afghanistan and that Trump was aware of this and continued to take Vladimir Putin’s side on the world stage, for example, continuing to push for Russia to be re-invited to the G7 summits.

This all makes a lot more sense if you just assume that Trump is a Putin bitch whose specific job is to do everything he can to destroy America and everything it stands for. An idea which with every passing week becomes less and less conspiracy theory and more and more Occam’s Razor. But I digress.

In the last, perfunctory coronavirus task force hearing – at which, notably, Trump did not appear – reporters asked Vice President Pence why the Administration, specifically Trump, was encouraging people to gather in large crowds for Trump rallies and not follow experts’ advice to practice social distancing and use masks in public. And Pence started his response by saying: “The freedom of speech and the right to peaceably assemble is enshrined in the Constitution of the United States.” Yes, and in Die Hard With A Vengeance, John McClane had the free speech right to walk around Harlem wearing a sandwich board with the N-Word on it. That didn’t make it good for his continued health.

This Tuesday I was watching one of the talking-heads shows on MSNBC, and Jacob Frey, the Mayor of Minneapolis spoke in reference to the subject of police reform and said, “Culture eats policy for breakfast.” For someone who has done so much to undermine American soft power, Viceroy Trump does understand how to use it, by using the power of his office to shape the public culture. It was bad enough when the “liberal” media gave Trump free airtime that they never would have given a Libertarian or Green candidate because they wanted Hillary’s ride to the coronation to be less boring. But since he is now president, the dysfunctional people who follow him have that much more justification for their beliefs. It is largely for fear of offending them that those governors who had instituted coronavirus controls started to retract them before all, or even any, states had met the White House’s own guidelines for re-opening. So now, for SOME reason, there seems to be a huge surge in virus cases, even in states like California and Nevada that seemed to have it under control. So now in Nevada, Governor Steve Sisolak made it mandatory to wear a mask in public. And I’ve had at least one friend tell me that Sisolak can kiss their ass, but really, what do you expect? Trusting that people would do the right thing without being forced didn’t work.

So Quarantine Valentine or whatever her fucking name is is right about that, but it’s not quite as simple as “Government Good Liberty Bad.” And even then, it’s not like it matters. This Sunday I had to go out and stopped to get gas and got out of the car, and realized I hadn’t brought my mask from the house. I was kind of ashamed of myself, and then I realized that none of the other customers at the gas station were wearing a mask either. And this week I went to get my car looked at, and was at the garage for over two hours, and for half of that time, I was the only one with a mask on.

If I am a libertarian, and I think that a lot of regulations are just a bureaucratic power-grab to micromanage transactions that previous generations never had to micromanage, why does this matter to me? Why do I wear a mask and encourage others to do so? Because I see the need for it, because I educate myself, and I know (from my own recent brush with sickness in March) what the stakes are. I have what is perhaps mislabeled as common sense.

To me, a large part of libertarianism is the impression that government can get in the way of common sense. And what we are seeing in America’s approach to “liberty” is that the opposite of common sense is getting in the way of government.

And all this gets to a larger point. Libertarians might not like government much, but the fact of the matter is, the reason it got as big and intrusive as it has is because people saw a need for it. Sometimes that need is even genuine. In the case of this pandemic or any other genuine emergency, you need an authority who is going to be able to coordinate resources and set policies. And then there are other cases, like the entire Transportation Security Administration, where you have government micromanaging things that we were perfectly happy doing for ourselves before 9-11. And the uselessness of the TSA is only reinforced by the fact that government policy was deformed by the shock of 9-11, yet the 9-11 attacks had an immediate death toll of 2,977 plus the hijackers, yet our government has let over 120,000 die from coronavirus, and the Republicans who demanded a security state after 9-11 don’t bat an eye.

And yet we do need a government, because we need to have some kind of treatment for coronavirus, precisely because we as a collective of individuals cannot micromanage our public lives and private behavior to contain casual contact indefinitely, we cannot get even the most authoritarian government (for example, China) to micromanage individual behavior indefinitely and we sure as Hell cannot get THIS government to manage public behavior.

Government is on some level an admission of social failure. If the Facebook poster is correct in saying that we as a people cannot be trusted to put on a stupid mask to stop the spread of disease, anything government does to encourage that will be imperfect at best. But people are still going to ask for government, because the alternative default is unacceptable. If one advocates for libertarianism, then by definition you cannot create a more libertarian society with more government and more force. It means changing the culture so that we do not need as much government, so that people do the right thing without having to be told. Because again, government cannot do everything, even if we thought that was a good idea. And changing the culture so that people are more capable of self-government requires education and socialization.

In March, I’d said: “The Trump Administration is what you get when you combine class privilege with the government’s monopoly on force. Trump himself is the natural result of a system that pretends to capitalism but actually relies on social capital – what Randians would call ‘pull’ and we in Las Vegas call ‘juice’ – in order to avoid the checks and balances that are supposed to be inherent in the capitalist system, in much the same way that party solidarity has destroyed the checks and balances written into the Constitution.” You can see this in how anti-Trump commentators go on about how Trump has undermined the “rule of law”, which as we can see in retrospect is less a rule than an agreement from all parties to follow the law. It doesn’t matter how strict the law is if the people in charge of enforcing it allow it to be broken, or ARE the lawbreakers. Which gets to the point that what we’re dealing with is psychological as much as political. If all government is just a matter of social agreement, then the same thing applies to every other social arrangement, including business. Which also means that a right-wing “anarcho-capitalism” would not work any better than a left-wing anarchy, because there is no such thing as trade without rules and enforcement of rules, and there is no such thing as common property because resources have to be administered. It doesn’t matter whether you call that administration a government or not, it will come to exist by default. And that means it doesn’t matter if things are administered through officials acting in the public sector or the private sector if they all grew up with the same expectations as to what is acceptable.

They’re the SAME FUCKING PEOPLE.

And if that ought to give pause to a libertarian who thinks that people can be trusted to do the right thing without government forcing them, it really ought to give pause to a statist who thinks government can be trusted to tell people what the right thing is.

I Was In The Pool

Ironically, Viceroy Donald Trump has something in common with Bill Maher, Stephen Colbert, and the other professional Trump-haters on late-night TV: Their jokes go flat without a live audience. And if you watch Colbert (and I’m not sure why I still do) you know he’s very vocal about wanting to get back in front of a crowd. So if it’s that bad for him, how bad must it be for Trump, who craves attention the way a tweeker craves meth?

Last Saturday, the answer proved to be: Pretty fuckin’ bad.

How must it feel to sell your soul for success? There have been many stories of making a deal with the Devil for power or fame, for example, becoming a world-famous songwriter only to die in an elevator and find out that Hell is the elevator playing Muzak versions of your songs for eternity. But for at least three years, Donald Trump got damn near every thing he wanted. He got elected president with everyone telling him it was impossible. Even after various financial and corruption scandals were exposed, nobody could touch him, because Republicans protected him. And that’s because Trump has, or at least had, a cult of fanatics who really would vote for him if he shot somebody on 5th Avenue.

But then coronavirus happened. And it happened because Trump thought that doing anything at all about it would depress the stock market. And even when that downturn proved to be short-lived, Trump refused to create a national policy or announce tests because the virus seemed to be hitting hardest in “blue” states with Those People. And the need to create public health measures meant that primary elections had to have a lot of polling places shut down, especially in economically disadvantaged areas, which to Trump and his Party is a feature and not a bug. But then the George Floyd case happened, after the Breonna Taylor case happened, after the Ahmed Arbery case happened, and the reason the Floyd case caught fire when the others didn’t might have had something to do with the fact that a whole bunch more people were quarantined or unemployed than might have been a few months ago. So a lot of those people ended up on the streets, which led to both civilian riots and police brutality, which led to Trump ordering the crowds around Lafayette Square to be gassed and dispersed so he could walk to St. John’s and hold a Bible, which was his biggest public relations fiasco until the next one. In the face of rocketing coronavirus numbers both nationally and in Oklahoma, Trump decided to hold his first big time America Is Back rally on the weekend of Juneteenth, in the safe, heavily Republican state of Oklahoma, in Tulsa, for some reason. It should have been a sign when both the pro- and anti-Trump crowds outside the venue were much smaller than expected. Then it turned out that no less than six staffers in Oklahoma already tested positive for the virus by Saturday June 20. Then by the time Trump got to Tulsa, they had to cancel the speech at the outside overflow podium because there WAS no overflow. As it turned out, a venue that had a capacity for 19,000 ended up with about 6,200 Trump fans. So by the time Trump came out to take the stage, he was the happiest man on Earth. And then, did you see the picture of Trump stomping back to the White House with his tie off, clutching a MAGA hat in his hand? Wow. He looked like Vladimir Putin paid him for an hour.

How must it feel to know that this is the price of the deal? That no, as a matter of fact, not everyone is going to love you so much that they would risk sickness and death for you? That maybe you’re NOT invincible forever?

And did anyone even care what Trump had to say about politics? All this week, all the talking heads could deal with was how Trump spent over ten minutes making excuses for why he needed to drink water with two hands. Just to prove he could, he drank water with one hand and threw the glass away, and THAT was the biggest cheer of the night, which only proves where Republican standards are. Then he went on about having to walk slowly down a ramp at West Point cause he was so afraid he was gonna slip. And this is another reason he’s losing against Joe Biden: The more he tries to ridicule Sleepy Joe and prove he’s the roughest, toughest man in the room, the more he comes off like George Costanza.

“I was in the pool! I WAS IN THE POOL!!”

But really, we’ve all gone on along enough about Trump’s greatest self-own (until the next one). The problem is, it may not matter. In fact, the shrinkage of Trump’s crowd size may not really be good news for Democrats.

What we have here is a moment that separates the men from the boys, so to speak. All of us, but especially Trump Republicans, have to face the possibility that we may not be alive to vote in November if we don’t wise up now. Half the reason Trump retained such popularity he had is because the economy was good, and now that’s endangered. But he’ll still have a certain core of cultists who support Trump because they look at the Book of Revelations and think that he might bring about the Last Days. Not that Trump is the Antichrist. Lucifer actually IS a man of wealth and taste.

But it is now proven that 12,800 people who “should” have been at the Tulsa rally chose self-preservation instead. That doesn’t mean they all became Biden voters. It means they realize they can’t vote for Trump in November if they don’t practice self-preservation. It also doesn’t mean they want the government to do anything about the coronavirus; after all their main regret about Trump, if they have one, is that “he’s not hurting the people he needs to be hurting.” It never occurred to them until now that the people he’s doing the best job of hurting are them. But he’s still doing a bang-up job of undermining the rest of the country, and since they hate this country, that’s what matters.

The dilemma, as was always the case, is having a government that lasts long enough to destroy the liberal status quo ante without being so stupid and incompetent that it destroys itself first. In the most recent primaries, Republican voter registration has actually gone up from the midterms in which Democrats made gains. The Hill: “In 2018, both parties (in Georgia) had gubernatorial primaries, and turnout was 555,000 in the Democratic primary vs. 607,000 in the Republican primary. This year, even though there were no contested statewide contests on the Republican side, almost a million voters cast ballots in the GOP Senate primary and almost 1.2 million voted in the Democratic Senate primary. That’s an increase of more than 120 percent in the number of Democratic primary voters and more than 60 percent in the number of Republican primary voters compared with 2018.

“This year, for the first time since 2008, more voters took a Democratic primary ballot than a Republican primary ballot. In the Senate primary, 53 percent of voters took a Democratic ballot — and this does not seem to have been a result of the absence of a contest on the Republican side. In the Seventh Congressional District, where the Republican incumbent is retiring, there were hotly contested primaries in both parties, and 57 percent of voters took a Democratic primary ballot. Likewise, in the Sixth District, the Democratic incumbent, Lucy McBath, was unopposed while Republicans had a contested primary to choose her challenger; yet 58 percent of voters chose a Democratic primary ballot.”

According to the Intelligencer of Charleston, West Virginia: “As voters turn in absentee ballots, turn out for early voting or prepare for the June 9 primary election, more Republicans and unaffiliated voters are registered to vote than Democratic voters this election in West Virginia. “According to voter registration numbers released Thursday by the Secretary of State, the number of voters registered with the Democratic Party as of the close of the primary election registration period on May 19 was 474,961, or 38.63 percent of the state’s 1.2 million registered voters.

“The number of voters registered with the Republican Party as of May 19 was 425,008, or 34.57 percent. The number of unaffiliated voters was 281,587, or 22.9 percent. The May 19 voter registration totals put the Republican Party just 4 points away from tying the Democratic Party in voter registration.

“If this pace continues in just over 24 months, Democrats will lose their long-held voter registration advantage,” said Melody Potter, chairwoman of the West Virginia Republican Executive Committee.”

Republicans are scared. They will not admit that they’re scared of coronavirus, but in Tulsa, they voted with their feet. And of course, they’re even more scared of Democrats. And while they may not consciously realize this (a huge part of modern ‘conservatism’ is being reactionary rather than conscious), in order to have a chance to destroy “the deep state” (formerly just ‘the state’) and create the government of their liking, they have to keep Republicans in charge of government. And that means that they have to save Trump from himself.

Just because they now realize they can’t follow Trump into the ditch, doesn’t mean Republicans have quit negative partisanship or the motivation of Trump’s cult of personality. They just have to tactically withdraw from it right now. Because as in 2016, all the opinion polls don’t matter as much as the general election vote, and in 2020, you don’t get to vote in the general election if you’re dead. Don’t look at the polls. Look at how many Republicans are registered, and look at who’s winning their primaries.

So, with all this in mind, Trump is hardly knocked out, the Biden Democrats can still make a mistake and Republicans can still pull through. All Trump has to do is focus, grasp the moment, and not be lazy, stupid or incompetent!

…In other words, Trumpniks, see you next year in Commie Muslim Transmanistan.